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Sestak is reaching out to independants already and Specter is making some very ill advised desperate attempts to reach out for the base. Its almost funny its so sad.
How long before obama cuts Specter loose? It is common knowledge that Specter has the backing of the whole DC/PA political machine, obama has campaigned for him. Another embarrassing defeat (hopefully).
I just hope that obama has a heavy campaign schedule in the fall.
Although obama is NOT going to make a last minute appearance. Based on his record of campaigning for fellow democrats, that would have assured a Specter loss.
Organizing for America, the former grass-roots campaign arm for President Obama’s 2008 campaign, is trying to rally supporters to phone bank and get out the vote in Pennsylvania for Sen. Arlen Specter, D-Penn., the former Republican locked in a tight primary race with a far more progressive Democrat, Rep. Joe Sestak, D-Penn.
Report: White House preparing for Specter loss | pa2010.com (http://www.pa2010.com/2010/05/report-white-house-preparing-for-specter-loss/ - broken link)
Quote:
Bob Schieffer, the chief Washington correspondent for CBC, appeared on the local Philadelphia affiliate Monday morning, and said administration officials have told him on background that “the White House is preparing for a specter loss and that the president doesn’t want to be associated with that.”
Too late bambam. You went all out for the old coot, organizing for him, campaigning for him, trying to rally the troops for him....possibly to no avail.
The ironic thing here for Specter is the area that caused him to switch parties in the first place will probably be his undoing in the Primary (suburban Philly). For many years Specter's base was in the Philly suburbs, which long had a moderate Republican tradition. When Toomey ran against Specter in 04, he almost knocked him off, Specter put up huge margins in suburban Philly which is what helped hold off Toomey. However, over the past few years suburban Philly has seen massive party switchers. GOP registration in the four main suburban counties has dropped by nearly 90,000 since the 04 Primaries, including Philly itself its up over 120,000 and even higher if you include some of the further outlying areas with ties to Philly. Due to this it resulted in the GOP Primary electorate to become much more conservative, ad the moderates fled the party in droves. So Specter became a Democrat since his base basically became Dems.
Specter's problem now is that he is facing off against Sestak, who is running to his left and represents a suburban Philly district. Specter and Sestak share the same suburban Philly base, but it appears Sestak is stronger with the base.
-the enthusiasm of the Specter/Sestak supporters to be willing to vote for the other candidate
-the position of the moderates and independents
I'd like to see Specter get the boot. Considering he's had two rounds of cancer and has been in the Senate longer than some people have been alive, he really needs to go. I don't understand why he decided to run for re-election. If I were him, I would've "retired" in 2004 and taken the nice benefits package that our Congress critters get at our expense.
For the general election, at this point Toomey still leads and he'll be hammering Sestak/Specter about the large deficits and spending programs that has occurred under the Obama administration. The next Democratic candidate is going to have to juggle two knives; he has to appeal to his liberal base that may be discouraged and he also has to prove that he can show some fiscal constraint in order to win back some of the independents and counter Toomey's positions. Either way, the person who wins is going to face a very tough primary challenge.
-the enthusiasm of the Specter/Sestak supporters to be willing to vote for the other candidate
-the position of the moderates and independents
I'd like to see Specter get the boot. Considering he's had two rounds of cancer and has been in the Senate longer than some people have been alive, he really needs to go. I don't understand why he decided to run for re-election. If I were him, I would've "retired" in 2004 and taken the nice benefits package that our Congress critters get at our expense.
For the general election, at this point Toomey still leads and he'll be hammering Sestak/Specter about the large deficits and spending programs that has occurred under the Obama administration. The next Democratic candidate is going to have to juggle two knives; he has to appeal to his liberal base that may be discouraged and he also has to prove that he can show some fiscal constraint in order to win back some of the independents and counter Toomey's positions. Either way, the person who wins is going to face a very tough primary challenge.
Toomey is going to have some major problems in suburban Philly. In the end I think the margins of his losses in suburban Philly will be too much to overcome.
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