Lina Hidalgo clinging to 1-pt lead against GOP's Alexandra del Moral Mealer (statistics, safety)

[Suesbal]

Why only one point?

[As Above So Below...]

Ill just leave this here. If I were a betting man the striking down of Roe probably has at least a little to do with it even though its not a local issue:

https://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/a...ew-poll-finds/

[supfromthesite]

Originally Posted by As Above So Below...

Ill just leave this here. If I were a betting man the striking down of Roe probably has at least a little to do with it even though its not a local issue:

https://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/a...ew-poll-finds/

Could be but the first poll looks like it was conducted after Roe v Wade. Probably this new poll is more accurate.

[usc619]

Meh, I think folks who are tied of the crime situation in Harris county are going to show up at the polls.

[crone]

Originally Posted by usc619

lol, give me a break you'll be the first one screaming "how can they prove who was driving"?

I'm talking about broken tail lights, not speeding. I saw that red light camera movie years ago. They stopped the cameras but I didn't;t get my money back for DH running a stale yellow.

The cop who lived 2 blocks from my house was shot and killed when he stopped a car with a broken tail light. They can sure send a notice in the mail telling people to fix their brake lights.

[As Above So Below...]

Originally Posted by usc619

Meh, I think folks who are tied of the crime situation in Harris county are going to show up at the polls.

They will, but they will probably be outnumbered.

[Dopo]

Can somebody change the title of the thread to
"Lina Hidalgo clinging to 10-pt lead against GOP's Alexandra del Moral Mealer"

[SanJac]

Originally Posted by SanJac

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/pol...l-17304798.php

Quote:
Hidalgo leads del Moral Mealer 48 percent to 47 percent with 5 percent undecided, among likely voters, putting the two candidates in a “statistical dead heat” in the Harris County 2022 county judge race, according to the report.

Del Moral Mealer holds a 31-percentage point advantage over Hidalgo among white voters, while Hidalgo holds a 66-point advantage over del Moral Mealer among Black voters. Del Moral Mealer holds a 3-percentage point edge over Hidalgo among Latino voters. Hidalgo holds a 14-point lead over del Moral Mealer among women, while del Moral Mealer holds a 13-point edge among men.

It's stunning to me how loyal Blacks are to the Democratic party. This also confirms what many have denied...that the Latino vote is leaning more conservative even in the city of Houston.

Many of you predicted a blow-out win for Hidalgo in November... this does not appear likely. This will be a race to watch!

Something weird going on with Latino vote counting if you ask me.

This 10 percentage point lead by Hidalgo is notably higher than the 1 percentage point lead she garnered in the Hobby School election survey released in July.

Del Moral Mealer holds a 19 percentage point advantage over Hidalgo among white voters, 58% to 39%.

Hidalgo holds a 71 percentage point advantage over del Moral Mealer among Black voters, 79% to 8%, and a 44 percentage point advantage among Latino voters, 69% to 25%.

Hidalgo enjoys a 14 percentage point lead over del Moral Mealer among women, 53% to 39%, but only a 2 percentage point lead among men, 50% to 48%.

No way the Roe decision is impacting the Latino vote like this…maybe a screwup with the original poll or the current one. The female vote differential is the same but the male vote shifted… go figure.

[ParaguaneroSwag]

Originally Posted by SanJac

Something weird going on with Latino vote counting if you ask me.



No way the Roe decision is impacting the Latino vote like this…maybe a screwup with the original poll or the current one. The female vote differential is the same but the male vote shifted… go figure.

The majority of the Latino vote is still democrat. While there has been a Republican shift, a shift doesn’t detone the majority. And frankly the shift is exaggerated by die hard republicans. Especially in an urban county like Harris County.

[Dopo]

Nothing weird,
Upper class Hispanics vote Republican, lower class Hispanics vote democrat
Very simple