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Also, the storm curves south after reaching here, so if it doesn't curve south as early as models predict it could get further inland. All it takes it 30 miles shift north here and Raleigh is in the area where 7 inches of rain is expected. So state officials here should watch closely when this thing begins to curve.
May have been posted somewhere back but a GREAT tool for surge tracking. Updated just after NHC updates (2,5,8,11am/pm). Storm specific. Shows worse case surge scenario based on if predicted surge hit at high tide there. This does not factor in rainfall trying to drain out. This was developed after Sandy and this is first year it's available. Considered a prototype but it's really good at seeing how water feeding into bays or oceans backs up.
Even crazier the rainfall total for Matthew would put many areas of eastern NC at their greatest yearly rainfall totals ever with still 3 month of the year to go. Many places will be over 120 inches of rain in the past 2 years.
HURRICANE MATTHEW TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
300 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2016
...3 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE...
A NOAA station at Settlement Point on Grand Bahama recently reported
a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a wind gust of 48 mph
(78 km/h). A National Ocean Service station at Lake Worth Pier,
Florida, recently reported a sustained wind of 40 mph (65 km/h) and
a wind gust of 47 mph (76 km/h).
SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 78.3W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF FREEPORT BAHAMAS
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM ESE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Brennan
While the sun sets on Nicole, Matthew's eye is set on Florida. Gonna be a long night for those folks. Loop last 4 hrs. 12:45pm-4:45pm
Is it me or is that eye trying to wobble more north already. Might be an illusion ..
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