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At 48,045 from 2010-2018, York county SC is almost identical to Durham. By 2022, York county should reach 300,000. When it comes to raw numbers, York is SC's 2nd fastest growing county. I understand that this is NC'S forum, but we all know that York is very much so synonymous with Charlotte.
York County is also the Charlotte metro's largest county after Mecklenburg and the fastest growing.
I think in Greensboro's case, even if Durham surpasses Greensboro in the upcoming years, Greensboro does have the ability to ultimately grow a permanent larger population than Durham due to the fact that Guilford County is much bigger geographically than Durham County and there is just much more land to annex. Eventually Durham will run out of land to annex and will have to rely solely on new people moving into the city. Currently Greensboro is heavily relying on annexation but when Greensboro's economy start boom on the level of Raleigh and Durham, Greensboro will be able to grow its population quite a bit through annexation and immigration. Once Durham runs out of room to expand, the city is going to have to combat this problem with how new development is built. Developers are going to have to focus less on typical subdivisions and build more compact and dense residential development.
Here is a map of population growth in the NC counties between 2010 and 2018. Guilford County, while still not on the level of Wake and Mecklenburg, is starting to see an uptick in people moving to the county. Guilford County leads the Triad in population growth.
But there is a difference between Guilford County and Wake/Mecklenburg. Notice the surrounding
and outlying counties of Wake and Mecklenburg saw significant gains in population growth. Population around Guilford County is mixed. Rockingham County directly north of Guilford lost population and there are smaller gains in Randolph County to the south. The only counties around Guilford that are a darker blue are Alamance and Forsyth. Even the way land is developed, when you drive through the Raleigh or Charlotte areas you go from rural to suburban to urban. Greensboro is different. You go from rural to urban. It doesn't take long to start seeing farm land or very conservative rural towns when you leave Greensboro or Winston-Salem.
Two notes about that map.
First Onslow County has kind of gone under the radar for its growth this decade...really having an influence along the coast...many people focus more on Carteret because of the beaches and waterfront. Note that there is no interstate in Onslow County and none proposed. Seems like a missing piece with that much growth occurring. From Richlands to Swansboro to Holly Ridge, growth is occurring in all corners of the county that can be developed (obviously the base cant be).
Second is that the map is prior to Hurricane Florence, which is likely going to influence the population/growth in the affected counties potentially making the loss worse for the decade.
Charlotte 889,019
Raleigh 485,679
Greensboro 292,265
Durham 279,501
Winston-Salem 247,222
Fayetteville 208,254
Cary 170,330
Wilmington 123,432
High Point 113,791
Concord 96,635
Greenville 93,184
Asheville 91,587
Gastonia 78,647
Jacksonville 66,479
Huntersville 61,484
Chapel Hill 59,738
Rocky Mount 55,241
Burlington 53,858
Apex 52,980
Kannapolis 51,622
Wilson 49,356
Wake Forest 46,133
Indian Trail 41,945
Hickory 41,044
Holly Springs 39,035
Holly Springs takes over Mooresville
What's really interesting about this is the suburban towns that have soared past some of NC's legacy towns. Just a few decades ago, places like Wake Forest and Apex were known as small sleepy towns and Holly Springs and Indian Trail may have only been vaguely recognized (and that's by NC natives). Now they are close to Hickory's population, and will likely be well beyond it soon. If you go beyond the top 25 cities, the same issue is happening (places like Fuquay-Varina and Cornelius roaring past places like Lumberton and Kinston). I'm sure with the development of places like Chatham Park, that trend will continue for the foreseeable future.
Right. With the Hampstead bypass being started soon, it would appear that upgrading 17 or doing a new road to the Hampstead bypass would potentially give Jacksonville interstate access, which could then be tied into the 17 bypass through the base. Considering the access to MOTSU via I-140 it would seem to be the best way to get funding. But Im sure they would want Highway 24 upgrade to get to I-40 as well.
Cary will wind up within the top 5 largest cities, I suspect.
It should pass Fayetteville either this decade or soon into the next one. But it seems weird it could take a run at Winston-Salem. How Western Wake starts redevelopment will be one of the most fascinating changes in the state over the coming years. Fenton is just the first of many.
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