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Old 03-25-2021, 08:16 AM
 
9,741 posts, read 11,152,452 times
Reputation: 8482

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Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
Why would I start a business in an industry that I have no experience or connections in?
Why? Because soon, you are going to be screwed! What are you going to do when semi-trucks are autonomous? I guess you are not familiar with the concept called re-tooling. Back at ya! You drive a truck. So using your approach, you only can start a trucking company... Got it!

What's the saying... People are where they are for a reason. Maybe I did win the common sense lottery?! I never looked at it that way before...

Anyways, I wish you the best!
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Old 03-25-2021, 08:51 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,587,616 times
Reputation: 9169
Quote:
Originally Posted by MN-Born-n-Raised View Post
Why? Because soon, you are going to be screwed! What are you going to do when semi-trucks are autonomous? I guess you are not familiar with the concept called re-tooling. Back at ya! You drive a truck. So using your approach, you only can start a trucking company... Got it!

What's the saying... People are where they are for a reason. Maybe I did win the common sense lottery?! I never looked at it that way before...

Anyways, I wish you the best!
I'm pushing 40, and I have a hands on local position driving a tanker truck. My job will be safe until I retire. Long haul drivers will be the first to be replaced by automation, and even that is farther away than the techies will let you believe
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Old 03-25-2021, 09:01 AM
 
Location: Phoenix
30,355 posts, read 19,128,594 times
Reputation: 26228
Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
I'm pushing 40, and I have a hands on local position driving a tanker truck. My job will be safe until I retire. Long haul drivers will be the first to be replaced by automation, and even that is farther away than the techies will let you believe
I for one am grateful for people like you driving trucks and believe the pay should be higher for what you are doing. I also think it will be awhile before automation takes over truck driving. However, I believe the new Tesla semi is going to disrupt the truck hauling market in the next few years.
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Old 03-25-2021, 09:14 AM
 
Location: az
13,687 posts, read 7,973,244 times
Reputation: 9380
Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
I'm pushing 40, and I have a hands on local position driving a tanker truck. My job will be safe until I retire. Long haul drivers will be the first to be replaced by automation, and even that is farther away than the techies will let you believe
Hope you're right.
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Old 03-25-2021, 09:24 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,587,616 times
Reputation: 9169
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3232 View Post
Hope you're right.
Believe me, I've been in this industry awhile. Over half of trucks still have manual transmissions (and plenty of new trucks with stick shifts are still being bought) and only the mega carriers can afford to regularly replace trucks.

And there's a lot more to this job then just driving down the road
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Old 03-25-2021, 09:25 AM
 
9,741 posts, read 11,152,452 times
Reputation: 8482
Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
I'm pushing 40, and I have a hands on local position driving a tanker truck. My job will be safe until I retire. Long haul drivers will be the first to be replaced by automation, and even that is farther away than the techies will let you believe
My brother formally drove a tanker truck then a bulk trunk. Now he drives a mass transit bus.

You might be "safe", but will your wages be safe? The answer is no. When the long-haul drivers are replaced, they will see the writing on the wall and chase after hands-on jobs. You can convince yourself otherwise, but that simply boils down to your favorite class (macroeconomics 101). AI and other automation will be reek havoc for a lot of people. From Radiologists to telemarkets to couriers. It's not if, but when. Position yourself accordingly.

Last edited by MN-Born-n-Raised; 03-25-2021 at 10:21 AM..
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Old 03-25-2021, 09:30 AM
 
9,741 posts, read 11,152,452 times
Reputation: 8482
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3232 View Post
Hope you're right.
Google "conformational bias" because that's what's what is going on. Much smarter people disagree and are betting billions of dollars. Meanwhile, I am going to start a video rental business. Wish me luck!
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Old 03-25-2021, 09:45 AM
 
Location: az
13,687 posts, read 7,973,244 times
Reputation: 9380
Quote:
Originally Posted by MN-Born-n-Raised View Post
Google "conformational bias" because that's what's what is going on. Much smarter people disagree and are betting billions of dollars. Meanwhile, I am going to start a video rental business. Wish me luck!
My guess is within 10 years we'll see fleets of automated trucking going across country. As mentioned billions are being spent to make this happen. Yes, there will still be work for those wanting to drive a truck but...wages will fall. It's inevitable.
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Old 03-25-2021, 09:54 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,587,616 times
Reputation: 9169
Quote:
Originally Posted by MN-Born-n-Raised View Post
My bother formally drove a tanker truck then a bulk drunk. Now he drives a mass transit bus.

You might be "safe", but will your wages be safe? The answer is no. When the long-haul drivers are replaced, they will see the writing on the wall and chase after hands-on jobs. You can convince yourself otherwise, but that simply boils down to your favorite class (macroeconomics 101). AI and other automation will be reek havoc for a lot of people. From Radiologists to telemarkets to couriers. It's not if, but when. Position yourself accordingly.
When will be at least 25 to 30 years out for a job like mine, and I'll be retired by then
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Old 03-25-2021, 09:55 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,587,616 times
Reputation: 9169
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3232 View Post
My guess is within 10 years we'll see fleets of automated trucking going across country. As mentioned billions are being spent to make this happen. Yes, there will still be work for those wanting to drive a truck but...wages will fall. It's inevitable.
10 years lol, shows what you guys know about my industry. They can't even perfect the self driving cars yet, let alone trucks

I would only agree that I wouldn't advise anyone younger than about 35 to get in this industry at this point. Other than that, I disagree
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