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Old 05-07-2012, 05:52 PM
 
Location: Hinckley Ohio
6,721 posts, read 5,204,343 times
Reputation: 1378

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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobtn View Post
We did NOT lose 800k jobs in May, 2007. 4 years ago.
May 2007 was 5 years ago, DUH.
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Old 05-07-2012, 05:53 PM
 
Location: Long Island, NY
19,792 posts, read 13,956,603 times
Reputation: 5661
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigJon3475 View Post
By that logic there were no losses in wealth when the housing bubble crashed.
Sorry for setting you up as I knew you would respond with that.

For people like me, who bought a house and obtained a mortgage in 1992, it made no matter. The difference is that there was a housing boom and many people bought homes within a few years of the crash at inflated prices. Many others borrowed on the equity on their homes. For them, it was an actual loss in equity.
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Old 05-07-2012, 06:04 PM
 
29,939 posts, read 39,477,016 times
Reputation: 4799
Quote:
Originally Posted by MTAtech View Post
Sorry for setting you up as I knew you would respond with that.

For people like me, who bought a house and obtained a mortgage in 1992, it made no matter. The difference is that there was a housing boom and many people bought homes within a few years of the crash at inflated prices. Many others borrowed on the equity on their homes. For them, it was an actual loss in equity.
And the millions who invested in tech stocks? The hundreds of thousands who lost jobs in the tech sector?

Your propaganda skills are atrocious.
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Old 05-07-2012, 06:09 PM
 
Location: Long Island, NY
19,792 posts, read 13,956,603 times
Reputation: 5661
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigJon3475 View Post
And the millions who invested in tech stocks? The hundreds of thousands who lost jobs in the tech sector?

Your propaganda skills are atrocious.
I don't have propaganda skills, just facts.

Millions invested in tech stocks but not all at their highs. Your $6T number is assuming they did. Where does your "hundreds of thousands who lost jobs" estimate derive from?
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Old 05-07-2012, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Hinckley Ohio
6,721 posts, read 5,204,343 times
Reputation: 1378
Dude, you're being childish. Most economists USED to say 250,000 before the boomers started retiring. Here are a few years of birth data. Note that before and during the war live births were about a million less than the years just after the war. All things being equal there are at least a million more retiring in 2012 verse 1944+66=2010. You're living in a new normal. Take 100,000 off that 250,000. They used to say the earth was flat...

Year live births births per 1000

1935 2,377,000 18.7

1940 2,559,000 19.4

1945 2,858,000 20.4

1950 3,632,000 24.1

1952 3 3,913,000 25.1

1953 3 3,965,000 25.1

1954 3 4,078,000 25.3

1955 4,104,000 25.0

Today birth minus deaths give us 1,600,000 new citizens. Crude math but that also says a bit under 150,000 population growth a month.



Quote:
Originally Posted by afoigrokerkok View Post
The quote actually said that most economists sbay 150,000-200,000 and that Barclays Capital says differently. Barclays Capital =/= most econeomists

Ii was NOT the one who said that we need jobs because people move around if that's what you're suggesting. That's laughable. I said we need jobs because of population growth. And I am certainly not the one who said we needed 250,000 - I said 150,000.
And - BTW - some baby boomers are retiring early, but just as many are retiring late.

Since you retired in 2006 (at 52 or 53 no less, an age at which the vast majority of people would never be able to retire), I gather you think that only 75,000 new jobs were needed per month then? Right? I bet not...you would probably say 250,000...because that was during the Bush years.
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Old 05-07-2012, 06:15 PM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,977,520 times
Reputation: 7315
Quote:
Originally Posted by MTAtech View Post
I don't have propaganda skills, just facts.

Millions invested in tech stocks but not all at their highs. Your $6T number is assuming they did. Where does your "hundreds of thousands who lost jobs" estimate derive from?
Same as homes; few bought at the peak pricing, and the media largely reported unrealized losses.
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Old 05-07-2012, 06:16 PM
 
8,263 posts, read 12,202,785 times
Reputation: 4801
Apparently a lot of the shriking workforce is from baby boomers starting to retire.

Boomer retirements drive down jobless rate | The Des Moines Register | DesMoinesRegister.com (http://www.desmoinesregister.com/usatoday/article/54791590?odyssey=mod%7Cnewswell%7Ctext%7CBusiness% 7Cs - broken link)
Quote:
Many more employed than unemployed Americans dropped out of the labor force last month, likely indicating that most were retirees rather than discouraged workers, says Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics. Of the 6.7 million people who dropped out of the labor force last month, about 60% were employed.

That's been the pattern since at least 2010. The number of employed Americans leaving the job market has risen, while the ranks of unemployed dropping out have fallen.

Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist of Barclays Capital, cites more evidence from government data. In the first quarter, 18.8% of Americans who were not in the labor force and said they didn't want jobs were 55 or older, up from 17.8% when the recession started.

He says that closely tracks the rise in Social Security recipients. Maki says the increase in Boomer retirements likely means job growth of only 75,000 to 100,000 a month is needed to keep the unemployment rate steady.
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Old 05-07-2012, 06:18 PM
 
Location: Hinckley Ohio
6,721 posts, read 5,204,343 times
Reputation: 1378
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigJon3475 View Post
And the millions who invested in tech stocks? The hundreds of thousands who lost jobs in the tech sector?

Your propaganda skills are atrocious.
That is the difference between you guys and normal people. You're talking "propaganda" and spin, we're talking FACTS, no more, no less. You should try it.
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Old 05-07-2012, 06:21 PM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,977,520 times
Reputation: 7315
Quote:
Originally Posted by buzzards27 View Post
May 2007 was 5 years ago, DUH.
Oops, we also were not losing 800k in May, 2008.

The bigger picture is 800k was going to end no matter the POTUS. Corps could not function if they chopped at the rate any longer.
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Old 05-07-2012, 06:21 PM
 
Location: Long Island, NY
19,792 posts, read 13,956,603 times
Reputation: 5661
We know that the job gains are lack-luster. The question is what to do about them? The conservative answer is cut spending and cut taxes for rich people. The progressive answer is fiscal and monetary stimulus.
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