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Old 01-15-2018, 07:16 AM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,327,824 times
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It's not going to happen. It might one day but it's still years off into the future. I've been in a self driving car and it was impressive but we aren't ready for a fleet of completely driverless cars yet.
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:18 AM
 
Location: alexandria, VA
16,352 posts, read 8,121,655 times
Reputation: 9726
What happened to the horse and buggy makers of the early 20th century?
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:21 AM
 
4,399 posts, read 10,688,016 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jackwinkelman View Post
Good for them. I have read the cotton gin analogies.

GM, Uber and lots of other businesses with skin in the game seem to believe its going to happen much sooner.
Self driving cars are not even commercially available at all. It is pretty silly to believe that they will be widespread in much less than 20 years.
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:24 AM
 
4,399 posts, read 10,688,016 times
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Originally Posted by Neuling View Post
That's not a good development. That whole productivity mania is turning managers into economic fascists that don't give a damn about society.
And as usual it will be the jobs of less educated people that will disappear first. What are those supposed to do? Commit suicide just because they don't have a college degree and the economy would not miss them if they were gone?
What about the fact that the likely result of self driving cars is reduction of traffic deaths by maybe 90% or more. Is that not a worthwhile development?
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:25 AM
 
30,271 posts, read 11,901,825 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cjseliga View Post
Just because all those companies have put money into the technology, doesn't mean it still won't be another 20 years before it becomes "mainstream".
It may be 20 years before there are no longer any human driven cars on the road at all. However these advancements are happening exponentially and we are already at the cusp of this being a viable reality. GM is not going to built a fleet of self driving taxi's just to use them as experiments to be in the real world in 20 yers. The cost savings and safety improvements that self driving taxi's and tractor trailers would bring to the marketplace will win out, rather quickly IMHO.

Only thing that would slow things down is if the government does not grant its use. And I don't see that happening.
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:26 AM
 
30,271 posts, read 11,901,825 times
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Originally Posted by jdm2008 View Post
Self driving cars are not even commercially available at all. It is pretty silly to believe that they will be widespread in much less than 20 years.
Government regulation is the reason not technology.
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:27 AM
 
Location: alexandria, VA
16,352 posts, read 8,121,655 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jdm2008 View Post
Self driving cars are not even commercially available at all. It is pretty silly to believe that they will be widespread in much less than 20 years.
Plus they'll have to wait until enough of us "old school" types die off before they have a sufficient customer base. I don't think I could ever trust a "self-driving" car.
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:40 AM
 
30,271 posts, read 11,901,825 times
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Originally Posted by r small View Post
Plus they'll have to wait until enough of us "old school" types die off before they have a sufficient customer base. I don't think I could ever trust a "self-driving" car.
Where I live in a medium sized city there is rarely a day that goes by where I don't see the aftermath of a serious collision. Usually its someone running the light after it turns red while someone else is making a left.

I really don't trust human drivers. Self driving cars won't make those sort of mistakes. Perhaps there will be other issues with them. But most of the testing has shown they drive much better than most of us do.
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:42 AM
 
Location: OH->FL->NJ
17,021 posts, read 12,632,414 times
Reputation: 8932
Quote:
Originally Posted by jackwinkelman View Post
Good for them. I have read the cotton gin analogies.

GM, Uber and lots of other businesses with skin in the game seem to believe its going to happen much sooner.
Yea but 1 year from now seems very overly ambitious...

Ill swag 7 years.
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Old 01-15-2018, 07:48 AM
 
4,399 posts, read 10,688,016 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jackwinkelman View Post
Government regulation is the reason not technology.
That is not true. Self driving cars are allowed on the road right now.
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