Mystery Chinese virus (thought, deaths, Canada, border)

[Chuckity]

Originally Posted by Taratova

Over 57 million people infected in a months time.on the prediction scale..that is crazy!! I hope that scale is off! Am I reading that right?

Yep - you're reading it right.

It will be interesting (to say the least) to see how this shakes out.

[Chuckity]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...d18_story.html

China’s health minister said the coronavirus is increasing in virulence and now could be contagious even before people exhibit symptoms, making apparently healthy people possible carriers.

Yikes.

[middle-aged mom]

Originally Posted by TimAZ

That is how all viruses work — nothing new here. Flu virus and common cold do the same as the disease runs its course.

How the flu ( any flu) kills:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/a...y-kill-people/

“ Worldwide, the flu results in 3-5 million cases of severe illness and 291,000-646,000 deaths annually, according to the CDC and WHO.

[Taratova]

Originally Posted by elan

Why do you need to buy water? Why Candles? I get the hand sanitizer and medicine, but why the other stuff?

worse case scenario...If there is a major sickness , people may not be able to go to work.or afraid to go to work..china is shut down and who knows power outages,, the unexpected, the worst scenario possible.. bad storm.. water, who knows, maybe if the sewer plant workers don't want to go to work..and refine the water..

[middle-aged mom]

Originally Posted by Chuckity

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...d18_story.html




Yikes.

“ could be”

[Taratova]

Originally Posted by middle-aged mom

How the flu ( any flu) kills:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/a...y-kill-people/

“ Worldwide, the flu results in 3-5 million cases of severe illness and 291,000-646,000 deaths annually, according to the CDC and WHO.

They are predicting over 1 million deaths in less than a month. Did you see the prediction scale posted?

[middle-aged mom]

Originally Posted by Taratova

Over 57 million people infected in a months time.on the prediction scale..that is crazy!! I hope that scale is off! Am I reading that right?

Three months ago, a scientist at John Hopkins modeled a fictional virus that projected 65 million deaths.

https://www.businessinsider.com/scie...-deaths-2020-1

[Chuckity]

Originally Posted by middle-aged mom

Three months ago, a scientist at John Hopkins modeled a fictional virus that projected 65 million deaths.

https://www.businessinsider.com/scie...-deaths-2020-1

Listen, I'm not freaked out over this.

But I do find it fascinating.

I also think that it's only a matter of time before there is a true global pandemic. Is it this coronavirus? Maybe. Maybe not.

We're about due for Mother Nature cleaning some serious house.

[Chuckity]

Originally Posted by Taratova

They are predicting over 1 million deaths in less than a month. Did you see the prediction scale posted?

Honestly, I have no idea who "they" are ... so take that prediction scale with a large grain of salt.

[cdnirene]

If the behavior of this virus is similar (but less lethal) than the 1918 pandemic, it may come in waves.

“There were 3 different waves of illness during the pandemic, starting in March 1918 and subsiding by summer of 1919.”

“The pandemic peaked in the U.S. during the second wave, in the fall of 1918. This highly fatal second wave was responsible for most of the U.S. deaths attributed to the pandemic.”

“A third wave of illness occurred during the winter and spring of 1919, adding to the pandemic death toll. The third wave of the pandemic subsided during the summer of 1919.”

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-res...hree-waves.htm

There are no signs this virus will ever mutate to be as virulent as that Pandemic though. Several years ago I read many contemporary accounts of what happened back then. A couple of stories stuck in my mind... A man seemed perfectly fine in the morning but was dead of the flu by the end of the day... A young girl left her home to use the outhouse and died before she could make her way back.