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View Poll Results: Will the UK disintegrate?
Yes 158 33.47%
No 314 66.53%
Voters: 472. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 03-30-2017, 12:14 PM
 
Location: Itinerant
8,278 posts, read 6,285,760 times
Reputation: 6681

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Quote:
Originally Posted by paull805 View Post
To be fair EU can cope without USA. Not this minute I'll grant you but if that were the direction of travel I am pretty sure the EU could be a powerful military force if the US pulled out of Nato. They would be forced to.
Sure they could, Germany alone posed an imminent threat. However consider the effects of the EU economies, of increasing defense spending not just 2% to meet NATO commitments, but enough to present enough of a defensive threat to any enemies (which then would include the US). Current US spending is projected at $582,000,000,000 (plus change), the EU combined is around $140,000,000,000 plus change (removing the UK, since it won't be in the EU). To close the gap the EU would have to increase spending by in excess of 4 times just to keep pace with the US on technology and forces, to close the gap it would need to increase spending significantly higher perhaps 8-10 times higher. In such a situation, exactly how would the EU manage this increase in spending?
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Old 03-30-2017, 12:18 PM
 
Location: Scotland
7,956 posts, read 11,859,077 times
Reputation: 4167
I am with ya. I look to none war as a starting point though lol. But yeah I get you need a strong military. And I think the EU would achieve that if the US pulled out of Nato (which I don't think they will ever do even with Trump at the helm). I am not against a European army. Obviously, England wouldn't have any part in it which is fine and their choice but yeah I don't see why not. If Nato was disbanded and we needed to counter the threat from Putin we would be mad not to. And remember the US aren't our enemy lol. We don't need to spend anywhere near US spending. Maybe match Russia spending. which is easily achievable



Russia manages to provoke the US nearly everyday and look at how much less they spend.

Again Brexiteers aren't covering themselves in glory in security matters

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politic...atant-10121279

Last edited by paull805; 03-30-2017 at 12:27 PM..
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Old 03-30-2017, 01:24 PM
 
2,639 posts, read 1,999,374 times
Reputation: 1988
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gungnir View Post
. To close the gap the EU would have to increase spending by in excess of 4 times just to keep pace with the US on technology and forces, to close the gap it would need to increase spending significantly higher perhaps 8-10 times higher. In such a situation, exactly how would the EU manage this increase in spending?
You are discussing a situation that is very hypothetical. Would an isolationist USA-on the other side of an ocean-really be a threat to the EU?

Another hypothetical-would the USA be threatened by an EU arms build up? Defenses against Russia would emphasize the defeat of an army crossing EU borders. Think infantry, anti-tank weapons, and aircraft for close air support. Useful for defense, but not adequate for power projection far beyond Europe.
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Old 03-30-2017, 02:25 PM
 
10,075 posts, read 7,562,454 times
Reputation: 15502
Quote:
You are discussing a situation that is very hypothetical. Would an isolationist USA-on the other side of an ocean-really be a threat to the EU?
right... when the US pulls out, the largest threat in europe would be the one with the largest army... Germany

germans don't have a good war history in europe when they were the largest power

think US worked well because as the largest army, we were still separated by an ocean, you can't say the same if everyone is on the same continent

EU wouldn't have a unified "build up", they are a coalition army, they aren't unified under a single flag like the US if it came down to EU vs US, governance/bureaucracy would get in the way of moving that large a force in the EU, the UN has that problem as is
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Old 03-30-2017, 02:30 PM
 
Location: Scotland
7,956 posts, read 11,859,077 times
Reputation: 4167
France is bigger actually well more capable.
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Old 03-30-2017, 03:30 PM
 
2,639 posts, read 1,999,374 times
Reputation: 1988
As I see it, two threats to EU security that are plausible:

1. Russian army.

2. Jihadist/terrorists.
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Old 03-30-2017, 04:12 PM
 
Location: Scotland
7,956 posts, read 11,859,077 times
Reputation: 4167
Terrorists have been attacking Europe for decades it really isn't a threat as in changing our way of life.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlos_the_Jackal

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1961_V..._train_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyprus_Airways_Flight_284

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piazza_Fontana_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swissair_Flight_330

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McGurk%27s_Bar_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/JAT_Flight_367

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Munich_massacre

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_R..._and_hijacking

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M62_coach_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dublin...aghan_bombings

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Italic...s_bombing_1974

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TWA_Flight_841_(1974)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cafete...olando_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birmingham_pub_bombings

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kingsmill_massacre

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_Mon_restaurant_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hotel_...ag%C3%B3n_fire

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bologna_massacre

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oktoberfest_terror_attack

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyde_P..._Park_bombings

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Droppin_Well_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Train_904_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1985_El_Descanso_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EgyptA..._648#Hijacking

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1985_R...irport_attacks

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plaza_...nicana_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1987_Hipercor_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remembrance_Day_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1987_Z...rracks_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/City_of_Poros_ship_attack

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan_Am_Flight_103

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shankill_Road_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Omagh_bombing

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graph...ism-in-europe/

Spain March 11, 2004
Netherlands November 2, 2004
United Kingdom July 7, 2005
United Kingdom June 30, 2007
Sweden December 11, 2010
Germany March 2, 2011
Bosnia and Herzegovina October 28, 2011
France March 20, 2012
Bulgaria July 18, 2012
United Kingdom May 22, 2013
France May 25, 2013
Belgium May 24, 2014
France December 20, 2014
France December 21
France January 7–9
France January 9, 2015
Denmark February 14–15
Bosnia and Herzegovina April 27, 2015
France June 26, 2015
France August 21, 2015
Germany September 17, 2015
France November 13, 2015
Bosnia and Herzegovina November 18, 2015
France January 7, 2016
France January 11, 2016
Belgium March 22, 2016
France July 14, 2016
Germany July 18, 2016
Germany July 24, 2016
France July 26, 2016
Germany December 19, 2016
United Kingdom March 3, 2017
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Old 03-30-2017, 04:50 PM
 
Location: London, UK
4,098 posts, read 3,738,799 times
Reputation: 2900
Quote:
Originally Posted by paull805 View Post
That's right we are completely illiterate without outside help.

And with your argument. Collaboration. We are screwed, scientifically, without EU grants. UK wide.

https://www.theguardian.com/educatio...-funding-fears

All these arguments about being worse off don not was when coming from Brexiteers now. Height of hypocrisy.
1. You do realise that the UK is a NET contributor to EU funding by quite a large margin? Meaning that the UK subsidises the rest of the EU whereas other countries receive our taxpayers money.

2. This means we can easily fill the void of funding available ourselves with some left over...the article says, “Our research income will of course fall significantly after we have left the EU unless a Brexit government guarantees to cover the shortfall,” Lord Patten said. - This is something that can be done as we will now have control of that money that goes into the EU purse.

3. Your claim at hypocrisy is not parallel to the reality. You can't compare a subsidised nation (Scotland) to major net contributor to the EU (UK). Your analogy fails.

4. The UK has 5 of the top 20 ranked universities in the world, the EU has none!! The UK is second only to the USA in top ranked universities and there are many scientific research partnerships we can explore with the US. We will more than survive in this field.

Last edited by Pueblofuerte; 03-30-2017 at 05:06 PM..
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Old 03-30-2017, 05:31 PM
 
Location: Scotland
7,956 posts, read 11,859,077 times
Reputation: 4167
Did you read the article? And having good universities is all well and good but I would rather have a system like Finland who has the best education in the world. How many of us go to Oxford or St Andrew? Hardly any of us.
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Old 03-30-2017, 05:47 PM
 
Location: Cannes
2,452 posts, read 2,387,711 times
Reputation: 1620
The UK will be better of in the long run...No worries my friends
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