[Cambium]

Cant wait to see the radar Sunday. I think someone over 2500' will see over 2 inches of snow accumulate. Just have to see where will have the best chance.


Same type of airmass that happens in winter happening in May. More instability around. I see chances from Michigan to NY to even Mountains of West Virginia, and into New England.


Lake Erie is at +7C so a -7C air mass aloft will create some Lake Effects.




Northern NY-VT & Adirondacks

National Weather Service Burlington VT
657 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016


Strong frontal boundary then continues pushing east through the
region Saturday night with widespread showers expected and any
thunder threat ending by early evening. As colder sub-0C 850 mb
air streams into the region after midnight, some of the showery
precipitation will transition to wet snow at elevations above 3000
feet or so, mainly across the Adirondacks.


By this coming Sunday into Monday a
large scale upper trough/closed low will evolve across the
southeastern Quebec/northern Maine/maritimes region setting up a
deep cyclonic, moist northwesterly flow across our area. This
winter-type pattern will spell continued solid chances of showers
across the region, especially on Sunday into Sunday evening when
added support from yet another shortwave passage will aid in
dynamical support. Given mean 850 mb temperatures will average in
the -2C to -4C range, much of the showery precipitation will fall
as mixed rain/snow and/or all snow at higher elevations above 3000
feet or so. Here some minor wet accumulations of several inches
will be possible by Monday morning.

[Cambium]

Some 40-50 degree ranges out there today. Wow! From 30s to 80s in Vermont.

Min temps today



Max temps today. Widespread 80s in New England. Warmer than points south. (Sun vs Clouds)




ObsMaps

[cloven]

Was warm enough Thursday for me to refrain from fully opening curtains during daytime, to obscure the sun's heat.
Normally (most months/seasons) I want as much sun/daylight inside as possible, but this was first time since last year that I felt like "okay, that's plenty".

Sounds like weather will shift away from warm & sunny in coming days, my new fan is staying in the box 'til the hot weather is definitively in place.
Another subjective/individual measure of "how 'summer-y' is it ?" is digging summer clothing out of storage & putting away cold-weather garb. Haven't gotten to that stage yet...

[tkln]

Originally Posted by Cambium

70s and 80s today. I bet you enjoyed it. Very warm day across the region. I'll post max temp map later

Ehhhhh I probably sound very picky but it was too warm too fast lol!!!!! But I'm sure on Sunday and Monday I'll be missing it!!!!

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by cloven

Was warm enough Thursday for me to refrain from fully opening curtains during daytime, to obscure the sun's heat.
...

I am the same exact way! In fact I had them closed yesterday for a little and it was only in the 70s. Strong sun this time of year but I got good news. In just 5 weeks its the peak and then it will start setting sooner and sooner and angle will be lower and lower. We wont notice it for another 2 months though.

Originally Posted by tkln

Ehhhhh I probably sound very picky but it was too warm too fast lol!!!!! But I'm sure on Sunday and Monday I'll be missing it!!!!

It's funny because we have seasons but during the seasons it can be other seasons. Our weather is so variable and ranges are so high and low. I don't mind. I mostly complain in the summer. lol I do love 60s and 70s in Spring with sun and low humidity


BTW .. here comes the airmass. Snowing in Manitoba and Ontario and even South Dakota hills got some snow.

[Cambium]

Accuweather says only the Northeast part of Vermont with the potential


I think there will be more coverage than that. Mid 30s can yield to frost and entire state should be in the 30s. Maybe they see no ground moisture around to form the frost?

[Cambium]

Interesting Map of places with the locals saying, "if you don't like the weather , wait 15 minutes."


The density in the Plains is surprising but I bet that's more for storm related as opposed to New England with the Variety for all weather?





https://twitter.com/Climatologist49/...763648/photo/1

[Cambium]

I have a question and who better to ask then the fine folks of Vermont........



What the heck does teens and 20s feel like in Mid May?? I never experienced that.


Current Wind Chills.

Check out the flow! The thin black lines are the surface pressure. Surface winds are straight From the North. Those are some cold winds going on.

Poor Farmers in Nebraska and Iowa. Gees.

[Cambium]

Hey guys, what spot is that 3-5" snow total projection? What peak? Any webcams from there?

https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/s...54046570057728

[cloven]

Originally Posted by Cambium

I have a question and who better to ask then the fine folks of Vermont........
What the heck does teens and 20s feel like in Mid May?? I never experienced that.

I don't know. I live in comparatively warm/mild/sheltered part of the state.
I can say that when it gets cold (30's) at night this time of year I don't notice it much,
because the warmth of the daytime and longer hours of sunlight buffer indoor temperature from falling as much as the outdoor temp. does.
Of course, strong winds will whip away any lingering warmth, but since I'm not experiencing those conditions can't really answer the question...

Originally Posted by Cambium

Hey guys, what spot is that 3-5" snow total projection? What peak? Any webcams from there?

Purely guessing, the dot of 3-5 inch snow forecast (Green Mntn. National Forest) between Bennington & Brattleboro could be Bromley, Mt. Snow or Stratton.