February & Early March 2016 U.S Stormy Pattern (Rain & Snowstorms) (town, seasons)
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GFS now has the storm for the 24-26 go out to sea with very little precipitation of any type for the Northeast
Sometimes I call GFS having a "Mid Range Crisis". Always loses storms in its mid range. LOL
February 24-26 Storm Update:
Euro00z on left. GFS6z on right. Both come from the south tapping into the Gulf moisture and ride up the Eastern Seaboard or just off the coast.
NOT a track for a big snowstorm for big cities.
But WV, PA, Binghamton, Albany and Vermont benefit from this track. GFS is LOADED with precip. Buries Vermont in Feet of snow. Euro does too but because it stalls over the region so as the cold air rushes back into the storm many of us change to snow.
If you guys want to see the GFS6z click "Loop All" on the right. You can speed up the frames or click "next" & "Prev" on your own. Get to the time frame of next week and watch the storm form in the Gulf and come up the coast. Keep an eye on that important 850mb Freezing line.
This track is closer to a snowstorm for NYC than yesterdays riding up the Appalachians. We only need a 100 mile shift as opposed to a 300 mile shift.
Euro model is very expensive thats why theres only limited number of parameters for free. You can see the full surface pressure frames here. Also with paid sites like AccuPro you have each frame available every 6hrs as opposed to 12 or 24.
I wonder if Atlantic ocean water temperatures are impacting storm tracks this year in that area?
I bet has a factor but I been hand plotting all winter storms since 2012. There were plenty of other storms that stayed off shore this month but they do follow a certain path.
The last one and now maybe this one on 25th could go against that path. Not sure why they want to stay on land now.
Both GFS12z & Canadian12z today is a rain storm for I95 areas. Canadian has a nice snowstorm for many though from central PA, NY, and New England.
Heres the snowfall from that run. Should we start chanting to shift south and East? Plenty of time to watch the changes
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