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All I have to say about the weather here for the next week or longer is that there are multiple chances for freezing temperatures here, which will damage or kill the flowers on the trees and shrubs that have broken dormancy, it’s gonna be a hard week to see what is ruined by the freezing temperatures
Today was just about perfect. Storms rolled through overnight. Was cloudy til about 9 and only dropped into the low 60s. Dried out with steady NW winds. Got up to about 75/76 but was very dry. Felt almost cool in the shade.
Lake house showed at 130 (about solar noon) that it was 78 with a dew point at 60. An hour later temp was the same but DP dropped to 50. By 615 the temp was 77 but with a dp below 40!
Quick cool down. Sat morning could be in the upper 30s. Yuck.
Got pretty warm today - high was 86F. Some strong to severe t-storms in the area this evening with front. Looks like some hail producers. A good bit of lightning.
Easter Sunday could be rough with a higher end severe threat possible. SPC mentions outbreak potential across the deep South.
Quote:
...DISCUSSION...
An outbreak of severe thunderstorms appears possible on Sunday
across parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and possibly into
Georgia by Sunday night. Tornadoes (potentially strong/long-tracked)
and widespread damaging winds are expected to be the primary
hazards.
...D4/Sunday: TX Gulf Coast eastward through the Southeast into the
Carolinas...
Ingredients for a potential severe thunderstorm outbreak appear
likely to come together Sunday into Sunday night. An ejecting
shortwave trough is forecast to take on a neutral to somewhat
negative tilt by Sunday afternoon as it moves quickly
east-northeastward across the Southeast states. Rich low-level
moisture will be drawn inland from the Gulf of Mexico in advance of
a deepening surface low that will move from the mid-MS Valley into
the Ohio Valley by Monday morning. Moderate destabilization in
conjunction with an 80-100 kt midlevel jet and 50-60 kt low-level
jet will result in a very favorable environment for organized
convection, including the potential for long-track supercells and a
corresponding strong tornado risk. Very strong low/midlevel flow
fields will also support widespread damaging wind potential.
Some uncertainty remains regarding the northward extent of the most
significant severe potential, given the presence of widespread
convection in advance of the ejecting shortwave. Guidance also
continues to trend slightly slower, with the GFS still a notably
fast outlier. A 30% probability contour has been introduced from LA
into central/southern MS/AL and southwest GA, where confidence is
highest in the outbreak potential at this time.
An organized severe thunderstorm threat will likely continue into
Monday morning, with the potential for damaging wind and/or a few
tornadoes likely spreading into portions of the Carolinas by 12Z
Monday.
We dipped down to the freezing point overnight. Winds overnight kept frost at bay, though, but frost is expected tonight. Temps should remain slightly above freezing though. After a high only in the 40s again today, tomorrow should reach the upper 50s and then 60 for Sunday. But then we're back in the 40s next week. Depending on where you are in central Indiana, our average last freeze is still a week to two weeks away so while we are below normal, this is certainly not unusual.
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