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Old 05-25-2021, 03:19 PM
 
Location: Madison, Alabama
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City estimates from July 2020 are supposed to be released May 27 (2 days from now). Those should be interesting, as well as controversial.
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Old 05-25-2021, 06:25 PM
 
Location: Mobile,Al(the city by the bay)
5,002 posts, read 9,151,507 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RocketDawg View Post
City estimates from July 2020 are supposed to be released May 27 (2 days from now). Those should be interesting, as well as controversial.
Someone posted lost a lost on FB. It had Birmingham at 207k and Huntsville at 205k. I didnt see Mobile and Montgomery on the list.
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Old 05-26-2021, 02:37 PM
 
Location: Madison, Alabama
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PortCity View Post
Someone posted lost a lost on FB. It had Birmingham at 207k and Huntsville at 205k. I didnt see Mobile and Montgomery on the list.
I've seen more than one source that gives different estimates for July 2020 (at least one with similar numbers the post had), but I think they must be the source's estimate, not the Census Bureau's. I doubt any of the ones I've seen, or the one you saw, will match what officially is released tomorrow. They'll be pretty close though.
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Old 06-09-2021, 07:12 PM
 
1,378 posts, read 1,218,312 times
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April Building Permits:

StateWide:1564
Madison County: 356
Baldwin County: 260
Lee County:177
Jefferson County:147
Shelby County: 128
Mobile County: 78
Montgomery: 78 (this is one shocked me, highest since 2005)
Tuscaloosa County: 61
St.Clair: 39
Limestone County:28
Autauga County:27
Colbert County:17
Elmore County:17
Coffee County:16
Houston County:16
Morgan County:15
Russell County: 15
Lauderdale County:13
Tallapoosa County: 13
Chilton County:8
Cullman County:7
Bibb County:5
Talladega County:5
Walker County:4
Blount County:3
Calhoun County:3
Etowah County:3
Henry County:3
Dale County:2
Dallas County:1
Pike County:1
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Old 06-10-2021, 08:38 AM
 
Location: Madison, Alabama
12,967 posts, read 9,489,942 times
Reputation: 8956
Quote:
Originally Posted by Surge0001 View Post
April Building Permits:

StateWide:1564
Madison County: 356
Baldwin County: 260
Lee County:177
Jefferson County:147
Shelby County: 128
Mobile County: 78
Montgomery: 78 (this is one shocked me, highest since 2005)
Tuscaloosa County: 61
St.Clair: 39
Limestone County:28
Autauga County:27
Colbert County:17
Elmore County:17
Coffee County:16
Houston County:16
Morgan County:15
Russell County: 15
Lauderdale County:13
Tallapoosa County: 13
Chilton County:8
Cullman County:7
Bibb County:5
Talladega County:5
Walker County:4
Blount County:3
Calhoun County:3
Etowah County:3
Henry County:3
Dale County:2
Dallas County:1
Pike County:1
Surge - where do you find these numbers? Got a link?
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Old 06-10-2021, 08:42 AM
 
1,378 posts, read 1,218,312 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RocketDawg View Post
Surge - where do you find these numbers? Got a link?

https://www.acre.culverhouse.ua.edu/markets/mobile


"Building Permits/Housing Starts" tab under DATA

It also gives city building permits, but it will designate a city only one county, like Huntsville will only show building permit in Madison County even if the building permits happened within city limits in Limestone County

Last edited by Surge0001; 06-10-2021 at 08:52 AM..
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Old 06-10-2021, 12:01 PM
 
Location: Madison, Alabama
12,967 posts, read 9,489,942 times
Reputation: 8956
Quote:
Originally Posted by Surge0001 View Post
https://www.acre.culverhouse.ua.edu/markets/mobile


"Building Permits/Housing Starts" tab under DATA

It also gives city building permits, but it will designate a city only one county, like Huntsville will only show building permit in Madison County even if the building permits happened within city limits in Limestone County
Thanks.

It's unfortunate they don't include multi-family permits though, which seems to be the dominant form of residential construction here now.
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Old 06-10-2021, 03:49 PM
 
1,378 posts, read 1,218,312 times
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2020 May residential roundup part one (houses sold) (major metro/cities)

Baldwin County:833
Birmingham Metro: 1725
Dothan: 181
Lee County: 284
Montgomery: 563
Tuscaloosa: 337


The are y'all high with yoy increases but the predictions made by UA were awful. Every single one so far for May except for Baldwin County are between -3% and -10%. Huntsville and Mobile are only ones left to be updated. I'm 100% that Huntsville prediction will be negative as they for the entire year (still doing well but not as well as predicted). Mobile will likely be in the positive imo. The rest of the major cities/counties/metros have a predicted jump between 70 and 100 houses between April and May, while Mobile's there is no jump. (I'm curious if they are using a different equation for Mobile as they predict no such jump just similar to April. They have also been incredibly accurate with the Mobile prediction with only 1-4% deviations outside of April, compared to the rest that have deviated about -10% to 10%)
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Old 06-10-2021, 06:49 PM
 
Location: Madison, Alabama
12,967 posts, read 9,489,942 times
Reputation: 8956
Quote:
Originally Posted by Surge0001 View Post
2020 May residential roundup part one (houses sold) (major metro/cities)

Baldwin County:833
Birmingham Metro: 1725
Dothan: 181
Lee County: 284
Montgomery: 563
Tuscaloosa: 337


The are y'all high with yoy increases but the predictions made by UA were awful. Every single one so far for May except for Baldwin County are between -3% and -10%. Huntsville and Mobile are only ones left to be updated. I'm 100% that Huntsville prediction will be negative as they for the entire year (still doing well but not as well as predicted). Mobile will likely be in the positive imo. The rest of the major cities/counties/metros have a predicted jump between 70 and 100 houses between April and May, while Mobile's there is no jump. (I'm curious if they are using a different equation for Mobile as they predict no such jump just similar to April. They have also been incredibly accurate with the Mobile prediction with only 1-4% deviations outside of April, compared to the rest that have deviated about -10% to 10%)
The ways ACRE reports the numbers are a little bit apples and oranges. They list the Birmingham Metro (either 6 or 7 counties, depending on which definition they use) while for the others, using Huntsville as an example, delineate Madison and Limestone Counties, both of which define the Huntsville Metro. Looks like they'd either report each county, or report each metro for consistency.
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Old 06-10-2021, 07:00 PM
 
1,378 posts, read 1,218,312 times
Reputation: 615
Quote:
Originally Posted by RocketDawg View Post
The ways ACRE reports the numbers are a little bit apples and oranges. They list the Birmingham Metro (either 6 or 7 counties, depending on which definition they use) while for the others, using Huntsville as an example, delineate Madison and Limestone Counties, both of which define the Huntsville Metro. Looks like they'd either report each county, or report each metro for consistency.

For the residential sales, I think they do do metros, they just call the Huntsville metro and Montgomery metro "areas" instead of "metros" not sure why tho
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