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Old 09-29-2012, 05:54 AM
 
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I was in Shelton yesterday, and the rain was absolutely torrential for more than an hour, with steady rain for hours. It only thundered once, though.

 
Old 09-29-2012, 12:09 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Posted the 23rd. Who thinks the Euro is going to be right?


Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
The latest Euro just said...Ba Bye 70s. (except for Thursday only). Euro is usually the warm bias one.
  • Either way it's looking like the daytime will be below normal while the nightime seasonable (50s)
  • Coldest night next 5 days will be Sunday night. Monday night will be runner up.
  • Expect rain chances all weekend (cloudy) as upper level low moves away..
  • We clear out Monday maybe seeing some Sun.
  • Next rain chance is Wednesday from a system in the gulf moving up but looks to dry out as it approaches. That day we'll hear about accumlating snows in low elevations of Montana and upper MidWest.
  • GFS is crazy showing 20s in Litchfield mid October.
Lock it in folks, this winter wont be the same as last.... unless I see a complete 180 in the atmosphere by November, I feel this is the pattern for winter... bundle up.
 
Old 09-29-2012, 07:18 PM
 
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I thought it was funny that the sun came out just in time to set and that was all I saw of it the whole day.
 
Old 09-30-2012, 08:40 AM
 
Location: USA East Coast
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Meteorologists Brett Anderson just issued his latest interpretation of the ECMWF weekly long-range forecast output that goes out to the week of Oct 22nd: Updated Weekly Long-Range Forecast Outlook - Canadian Weather Blog - AccuWeather.com

What strikes (and is much more important I think) is the lack of normal or below normal temps in Canada - the forecast is for warmer than average across a large area of Canada. If Brett is correct (who knows) then I think much of the USA will see a rather late start to this winter, since the cold air will have little time to build. Of course this is just one forecast...and there are many others. However, I do think that he has picked up on the jet stream staying in Canada for most of October and the USA seeing normal to even slightly above normal temps. So I see little cold air in the United States until November at this rate. I guess will have to wait to see if he is right:

It looks like it will be unseasonably warm to our north (New England/Canada), and mild and wet on the East Coast from the Tri-State area southward again for the week of October 1st through October 7th (well we know this part is close to right as we are forecast to see mild and wet weather for a few days this week):





Then it looks like almost a summer pattern with warmth and humidity along much of the East Coast the week of October 8th through 14th:






…and then still warm along the East Coast (Connecticut to Georgia) the 3rd week of October 15 – 22nd.




.

Last edited by wavehunter007; 09-30-2012 at 08:51 AM..
 
Old 09-30-2012, 02:16 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Thundering & lightning in SWCT. You kidding me??? Is anyone else tired of these storms but me?? Lets finish with these already.

 
Old 09-30-2012, 02:32 PM
 
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Send them my way, we've had very few storms here this summer.
 
Old 10-01-2012, 12:50 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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I wont make a big deal about 50s and 60s now since normals are dropping.... but a Quick mention that after this coming weekend, we could be using the heat for the first time next week. More on that tomorrow.
 
Old 10-01-2012, 01:57 PM
 
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this is turning out to be the worst weather year ive seen as far as being warm and no precip
 
Old 10-01-2012, 03:07 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,522 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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Just to keep myself fair and balanced, I said I hate the way these maps present themselves before and I'll say it again...

I hate these maps from NOAA. Blue or Red.

This just shows "probability". Obviously the MidWest chances of being below normal are higher here but they are shifting the cold east more and so the NorthEast will be below normal after this weekend.

So basically if normal high is 68 now. This could mean 65 for the high. These maps dont give the true aspect of whats actual. But it sure is nice to see BLUE INK with NOAA now. Gees.




Here's what they think for October... BDR is at 19 consecutive above normal months. Just focus your eyes on Alaska there. whisper to yourself....Ridge over Alaska = Trough in East.

 
Old 10-01-2012, 03:24 PM
 
Location: Somewhere on the Moon.
10,098 posts, read 14,972,719 times
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I took this photo in Stamford. Notice the downpour that was sweeping through Long Island (it was heading towards the left rather fast.) A few minutes later another cell came over Stamford. In fact, as I was opening the door of my car the giant drops started to fall. Within seconds it was pouring cats and dogs! lol

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