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Old 03-05-2013, 04:21 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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Well.. Euro agreed with everyone else last night. Yes you read that right.. The GFS since Sunday has shown a closer track to us and lots of snow. Then the NAM was on board. while the Euro continued to show flurries. now Euro agrees.

This means... Most likely Nobody is going anywhere on Thursday. Slow moving system with a lot of precip. Warm Atlantic waters plus the Nor Easter staying far enough away, with cold air in place means we're getting snow.

Here's the Euro snowmap. Pretty much 9-12" in the whole state except for Hartford valley 6-9". Eastern CT up to 24".

I'll keep you all updated and hopefully safe. Also keep in mind.. heavy wet snow and high winds could bring down branches and wires. We're not new to this but get your checklist in order.
This is NOT historic but will cause issues.

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Old 03-05-2013, 04:23 AM
 
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I was hoping to not see one of these threads. LOL
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Old 03-05-2013, 04:42 AM
 
5,064 posts, read 15,902,409 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Here's the Euro snowmap. Pretty much 9-12" in the whole state except for Hartford valley 6-9". Eastern CT up to 24".
What! I was just flipping through the weather forecasts on TV and didn't see any totals projected yet. I was feeling cautiously optimist until I saw this thread. I hope your totals don't come to pass.
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Old 03-05-2013, 04:45 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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yeah.. I'm thinking a lot of people want this thing busting. This time we need a track farther away to bust rather than closer. Closer would do more damage.


Upton typical antics..
After todays 12z run, them and Boston should be more realistic with totals.

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Old 03-05-2013, 04:52 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
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That's because Upton and BOX still think it will be mostly rain......
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Old 03-05-2013, 04:55 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Euro00z Wind gusts Wednesday 7pm.. Add snow into the mix and we got Blizzard criteria. depending how long winds last.

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Old 03-05-2013, 05:02 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,299 posts, read 18,892,517 times
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BOX's description notes: "NO TWO EVENTS ARE IDENTICAL BUT THIS LOOKS A LOT LIKE 10 FEB 2010 SNOW BUST."

Was that the event where the snow got up to Staten Island but no further, or was that the weird one where the rain/snow line was east-west right on the NY/CT border, rain in CT and snow in NY?
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Old 03-05-2013, 05:06 AM
 
Location: Connecticut
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Weather Underground was saying 5 inches last night. I wake up this morning and they are saying 1 inch.
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Old 03-05-2013, 05:26 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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Default SREF Plumes Snow Totals

Nice posts guys thanks, always nice to see the other side of things... As we all know, its weather and anything can happen.

Here's SREF plumes. Black line is the average of all their members.

11" mean for BDL
10" mean for BDR

Notice some members go to 15"+ for Windsor Locks. (thats extreme here but who knows)

Need Google Chrome to view. Refresh and make sure its latest update. Click on dots on map below to get station.
NCEP SREF Plume Viewer


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Old 03-05-2013, 05:31 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,299 posts, read 18,892,517 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RogerAnthony View Post
Weather Underground was saying 5 inches last night. I wake up this morning and they are saying 1 inch.
Again, the issue doesn't seem to be so much whether the storm is missing us or not anymore, but more how much of it is snow vs. rain. If you read the OKX and BOX discussion, seems to trend to mostly rain except for snow Wed. night into Thurs. morn which is where a lot of the varied inch amounts go. The really high (10-20") projections assume most of the storm is snow. It's really going to be a close call either way.

March is always tricky when it comes to this......think the (relative) 2001 bust vs. say the 1993 "superstorm".
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