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Old 10-31-2012, 06:05 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,080 posts, read 51,252,674 times
Reputation: 28328

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Quote:
Originally Posted by LordBalfor View Post
No it probably will.
I DO expect "complaining" - as you infer, there's ALWAYS "complaining". The key question will be "How Much?"

Ken
In every disaster there is a coming together period that eventually unwinds to an anger and blame game as people become understandably frustrated with the unavoidably slow process of recovery. We'll still be coming together by Tuesday.

 
Old 10-31-2012, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Beautiful Niagara Falls ON.
10,016 posts, read 12,583,826 times
Reputation: 9030
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cinebar View Post
If he wasn't such a scumbag, I could almost feel sorry for the guy!
This is the best post I have seen all week!!!!
 
Old 10-31-2012, 06:15 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,340,545 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
In every disaster there is a coming together period that eventually unwinds to an anger and blame game as people become understandably frustrated with the unavoidably slow process of recovery. We'll still be coming together by Tuesday.
I don't know.... Americans are not very patient when it comes to being inconvenienced. I suspect that by the end of the weekend people will be getting plenty tired of things if there's not be basic infrastructure improvements. No one is expecting houses to be rebuilt of course but power needs to be back up in Manhattan and folks without homes are going to want to be placed SOMEWHERE real soon.

Fortunately I think things are - at least so far - moving remarkably smoothly (wayyyyyy better than after Katrina to be sure) but there's still a LOT of work to be done.

All in all I expect things to go relatively and for Obama to benefit at the polls as a result, BUT I'm not 100% sure of that. It's wayyyyyy too complex a disaster to be THAT comfortable.

Ken
 
Old 10-31-2012, 06:34 PM
 
6,129 posts, read 6,813,834 times
Reputation: 10821
It's practically Thursday. The election is Tuesday. It would be incredibly hard for Romney to close the gaps in the big states in 5 days.

He made a hell of a come back run for it but right now the odds are not in Romney's favor to say the least.
 
Old 10-31-2012, 06:47 PM
 
Location: Mount Dora, FL
3,079 posts, read 3,122,755 times
Reputation: 1577
The GOP spin machine is in full effect when it comes to the state polls. These guys are complaining hard. Boy, when Obama wins on Tues. night they're gonna go bananas on fox.
 
Old 10-31-2012, 06:55 PM
 
27,624 posts, read 21,136,796 times
Reputation: 11095
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordBalfor View Post
I don't know.... Americans are not very patient when it comes to being inconvenienced. I suspect that by the end of the weekend people will be getting plenty tired of things if there's not be basic infrastructure improvements. No one is expecting houses to be rebuilt of course but power needs to be back up in Manhattan and folks without homes are going to want to be placed SOMEWHERE real soon.

Fortunately I think things are - at least so far - moving remarkably smoothly (wayyyyyy better than after Katrina to be sure) but there's still a LOT of work to be done.

All in all I expect things to go relatively and for Obama to benefit at the polls as a result, BUT I'm not 100% sure of that. It's wayyyyyy too complex a disaster to be THAT comfortable.

Ken
I don't think Cuomo will be faulting Obama and neither will the the Governor of NJ, Obama's new best friend.
 
Old 10-31-2012, 06:57 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,340,545 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by sickofnyc View Post
I don't think Cuomo will be faulting Obama and neither will the the Governor of NJ, Obama's new best friend.
No I don't think EITHER of those will happen. I was referring to whatever issues come up with the recovery efforts (and there's ALWAYS issues with the recovery efforts) and how much coverage they get in the media.

Ken
 
Old 10-31-2012, 06:59 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,340,545 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by kingtodd View Post
The GOP spin machine is in full effect when it comes to the state polls. These guys are complaining hard. Boy, when Obama wins on Tues. night they're gonna go bananas on fox.
No, if and when Obama wins on Tuesday, FOX will be pretty somber and quiet (just like they were last time Obama won).

Ken
 
Old 10-31-2012, 07:01 PM
 
13,186 posts, read 14,984,135 times
Reputation: 4555
Can somebody please explain to me how fivethrityeight uses this strange math formula to forecast winners of elections?

https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/...65684725633024
 
Old 10-31-2012, 07:14 PM
 
Location: Pluto's Home Town
9,982 posts, read 13,766,994 times
Reputation: 5691
Quote:
Originally Posted by padcrasher View Post
Can somebody please explain to me how fivethrityeight uses this strange math formula to forecast winners of elections?

https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/...65684725633024
I am reading the guy's book. He is quite chatty, and he cannot resist lecturing. Cruise over to his website and read a few entries. Most are like short stats articles. Total nerd, but a surprisingly good communicator.

I am sure he could explain his reasoning much better than I could.
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