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Old 10-19-2012, 11:07 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,091 posts, read 51,283,353 times
Reputation: 28336

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Quote:
Originally Posted by FargoBison View Post
What polls are you talking about? All the polls I've seen from today have been pretty positive for Mitt.
Really? The only polls that matter anymore are WI, IA, OH, and (as a backup) NV. Obama leads in all of them and the latest polling continues to strongly suggest that he will win those states. You can forget PA (and MI), it ain't gonna happen for Romney in either of them. I think Obama will take VA too, but the polls there aren't backing me up as strongly. But VA is just icing on the victory cake.

 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:08 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,433,519 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by GMUAlum08 View Post
IMO they don't really. I'm just throwing out the updates
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
They affect perception. It is not good to look like you are losing. The vast majority of people do not follow every silly poll like we on C-D do. They see the headline. I get the impression from the huge shift in some polls after the first debate that a lot of the undecideds are bandwagon voters, if you will.
The poll referenced, Hartford, about 45% of the respondents identify as Dems to about 35% Republican.
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:10 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,433,519 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by padcrasher View Post
Gallup poll out. Romney lead revised down 1 point. Still a huge outlier from the other polls showing Obama lead in "national" polling. Will be revised down in coming days as well.

Great day for Romney!.....LOL
So two days of post debate polling and Obama is not getting much of a debate bump and looks like his comment of the murders in Libya not being optimal is blowing up. One of the mothers of the victims has come out hard against it.
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:11 AM
 
Location: Lost in Texas
9,827 posts, read 6,942,353 times
Reputation: 3416
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
romney isnt leading PA just because some mickey mouse poll says he is. that poll isnt even listed on 538 or rcp. its also from the examiner which means its not even credible to begin with.

here are the first two official post debate polls:
Iowa: Obama 51 Romney 43
Wisconsin: Obama 51 Romney 45.

with those being solid, that means Obama needs Ohio to win the election.

Michigan/PA are safe blue which is why i dont mention them. NH i assume is still toss up
I wouldn't bet the farm on it right now Otis....
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:12 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,091 posts, read 51,283,353 times
Reputation: 28336
Quote:
Originally Posted by EdwardA View Post
The poll referenced, Hartford, about 45% of the respondents identify as Dems to about 35% Republican.
Here they go again .
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:13 AM
 
Location: Fargo, ND
1,034 posts, read 1,245,892 times
Reputation: 326
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Really? The only polls that matter anymore are WI, IA, OH, and (as a backup) NV. Obama leads in all of them and the latest polling continues to strongly suggest that he will win those states. You can forget PA (and MI), it ain't gonna happen for Romney in either of them. I think Obama will take VA too, but the polls there aren't backing me up as strongly. But VA is just icing on the victory cake.
I've never thought Romney would win PA or MI. But a poll showing him +3 in VA is pretty big. The NH poll is also very good news for him considering it is all post debate.

We'll see what PPP has to say about IA....
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:14 AM
 
Location: Fargo, ND
1,034 posts, read 1,245,892 times
Reputation: 326
More bad news for Romney...

IA(PPP)
Romney 49
Obama 48

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/259340521795895297
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:15 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,981,416 times
Reputation: 7118
Romney matches obama in "favorability";

For first time, Romney's favorability rating tops Obama's | WashingtonExaminer.com

Again, once people got a look at Romney for themselves, instead of listening to the corrupt MSM repeat obama's LIES and SMEARS, they would realize they were AGAIN being DUPED by obama, just like in 2008.
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:15 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,091 posts, read 51,283,353 times
Reputation: 28336
Quote:
Originally Posted by FargoBison View Post
I've never thought Romney would win PA or MI. But a poll showing him +3 in VA is pretty big. The NH poll is also very good news for him considering it is all post debate.

We'll see what PPP has to say about IA in an hour or so.
Neither of those matter - and PPP is another robo poll with an automated voice that does not call cells phones. Marist, in theory at least, is more reliable. If I were a Romneyan, I would be very worried about the trend I see in early voting in IA. It shows Obama's vaunted ground game there is proving to be everything they said it would be.
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:17 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,981,416 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by FargoBison View Post
I've never thought Romney would win PA or MI. But a poll showing him +3 in VA is pretty big. The NH poll is also very good news for him considering it is all post debate.

We'll see what PPP has to say about IA....
It's not that we think Romney will win MI, PA, it's the FACT that if those two states are this close, others, like FL, OH, CO are likely already GONE for obama.

Quote:
Originally Posted by FargoBison View Post
More bad news for Romney...

IA(PPP)
Romney 49
Obama 48

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/259340521795895297
A DEMOCRAT pollster with an agenda at that.
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