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Old 09-17-2016, 12:45 AM
 
1,327 posts, read 723,398 times
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The reason is she's a lying, selfish woman who's terribly ill on top of her miserable record. No one likes her and her numbers are going to continue to sink. Eight years of the idiot obama was more than enough for most people.
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Old 09-17-2016, 07:52 AM
 
Location: Kansas
25,963 posts, read 22,132,993 times
Reputation: 26715
Quote:
Originally Posted by Butler15 View Post
I know I'm late to the party but I just found out about the site FiveThirtyEight about 2 or 3 weeks ago.


When I first browsed through the site, I was thrilled to see Clinton's chance of winning was 89% and I immediately bookmarked the site and have been checking it every day. The election forecast is updated every couple of hours or so.


Every time I check, the percentage has gone down, just by a little bit. It's now down to 82.7%. That's still a high number, but I'd sleep a little better at night if the trend was going up or staying the same.


Anyone know why the numbers have been going down, and how do you think this forecast will play out in the upcoming weeks?
As more and more people became involved with the election and informed about the message and history of the candidates, the tide began to turn. Many of the younger people, especially, were not aware of Hillary's attack of the women that Bill had sexcapades with which kind of dampened "pro-woman", other offended by the stance that we would betray our gender if we didn't vote for Hillary.

The Dems threw the blacks under the bus thinking they could amnesty for the illegal aliens which didn't pan out and now Hillary is working to try to undue the damage, but the clock is ticking and after almost 8 years of Obama and people just a few weeks asking themselves, "Are we better off today than we were 8 years ago?"

People wised up, information has a way of bringing wisdom.
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Old 09-17-2016, 12:11 PM
 
11,186 posts, read 6,510,171 times
Reputation: 4622
Quote:
Originally Posted by Butler15 View Post
I know I'm late to the party but I just found out about the site FiveThirtyEight about 2 or 3 weeks ago.


When I first browsed through the site, I was thrilled to see Clinton's chance of winning was 89% and I immediately bookmarked the site and have been checking it every day. The election forecast is updated every couple of hours or so.


Every time I check, the percentage has gone down, just by a little bit. It's now down to 82.7%. That's still a high number, but I'd sleep a little better at night if the trend was going up or staying the same.


Anyone know why the numbers have been going down, and how do you think this forecast will play out in the upcoming weeks?
Since you wrote that 3 1/2 weeks ago on 8/26, Hillary's chance of winning has dropped from 82.7% to 59.8%; Trump is up to 40.1%.

I'm among the shocked that Trump is not only still in the race, but he's one Hillary coughing fit/collapse/brain freeze/seizure/spasm away from winning.
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Old 09-17-2016, 04:00 PM
 
Location: Kansas
25,963 posts, read 22,132,993 times
Reputation: 26715
Quote:
Originally Posted by jazzarama View Post
Since you wrote that 3 1/2 weeks ago on 8/26, Hillary's chance of winning has dropped from 82.7% to 59.8%; Trump is up to 40.1%.

I'm among the shocked that Trump is not only still in the race, but he's one Hillary coughing fit/collapse/brain freeze/seizure/spasm away from winning.
From what I have been hearing, another "health incident" will finish her quickly maybe in more ways than one!
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Old 09-29-2016, 02:24 PM
 
Location: Charlotte, NC
107 posts, read 180,193 times
Reputation: 125
Update:


Before the debate, the now-cast model showed Trump had finally pulled ahead and was winning.


As of right now, the now-cast model has Clinton's chance of winning at 72.4%. It now appears the first debate was nothing short of an Orange Crush.
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Old 09-29-2016, 04:24 PM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,643,000 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by Butler15 View Post
Update:


Before the debate, the now-cast model showed Trump had finally pulled ahead and was winning. \.

LA Times Daily Tracking Poll shows Trump winning by wide margin.

Then there is this.

https://twitter.com/LogicalCampaign/...54046795214848
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Old 09-29-2016, 04:35 PM
 
26,584 posts, read 14,454,648 times
Reputation: 7441
Quote:
Originally Posted by Butler15 View Post
Before the debate, the now-cast model showed Trump had finally pulled ahead and was winning.
i'm curious about this. i heard this claim and saw a supposed screen grab on a 3rd party blog but...... nothing on the 538 "how the odds have changed" chart indicates this lead change.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ex_cid=rrpromo
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Old 09-29-2016, 04:37 PM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,643,000 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
i'm curious about this. i heard this claim and saw a supposed screen grab on a 3rd party blog but...... nothing on the 538 "how the odds have changed" chart indicates this lead change.

This website also said that Trump had no chance at being the nominee.
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Old 09-29-2016, 04:52 PM
 
Location: new yawk zoo
8,697 posts, read 11,086,262 times
Reputation: 6386
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
This website also said that Trump had no chance at being the nominee.
/thread
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Old 09-29-2016, 04:56 PM
 
Location: 500 miles from home
33,942 posts, read 22,537,022 times
Reputation: 25816
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
LA Times Daily Tracking Poll shows Trump winning by wide margin.

Then there is this.

https://twitter.com/LogicalCampaign/...54046795214848
There's a reason that no one but you quotes the "La Times Daily Tracking Poll."

Add about 6 points to Clinton and you will have a closer idea of what the real polls look like.
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