Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
I know I'm late to the party but I just found out about the site FiveThirtyEight about 2 or 3 weeks ago.
When I first browsed through the site, I was thrilled to see Clinton's chance of winning was 89% and I immediately bookmarked the site and have been checking it every day. The election forecast is updated every couple of hours or so.
Every time I check, the percentage has gone down, just by a little bit. It's now down to 82.7%. That's still a high number, but I'd sleep a little better at night if the trend was going up or staying the same.
Anyone know why the numbers have been going down, and how do you think this forecast will play out in the upcoming weeks?
The more America knows about Hillary, the more Americans hate her.
When the "data dumps" happen in October, America will be introduced to the "real" Hillary.
The more America knows about Hillary, the more Americans hate her.
When the "data dumps" happen in October, America will be introduced to the "real" Hillary.
Didn't we hear this same nonsense about Obama?
How'd THAT turn out?
Trump is in BIG trouble. Early voting starts in a bit over 2 weeks - not in October.
Trump also has the "silent" supporters.
All the people that are too scared to publicly say so.
It's driving the other side nuts because they can't determine what the level of silent support is because it's well, uh, silent. But yeah, it's anybodies guess whether it's enough to win or not.
I know I'm late to the party but I just found out about the site FiveThirtyEight about 2 or 3 weeks ago.
When I first browsed through the site, I was thrilled to see Clinton's chance of winning was 89% and I immediately bookmarked the site and have been checking it every day. The election forecast is updated every couple of hours or so.
Every time I check, the percentage has gone down, just by a little bit. It's now down to 82.7%. That's still a high number, but I'd sleep a little better at night if the trend was going up or staying the same.
Anyone know why the numbers have been going down, and how do you think this forecast will play out in the upcoming weeks?
I've seen enough of these POTUS races to know that fluctuation is very normal and they always seem to get closer in polling numbers. I think that the REAL fluctuations will happen after the Debates, if there are any.
Come on man! If you are at 90% chance of winning how much more of an upside can you possibly go to. Of course she will go down a bit since that's about the only direction she could possibly go. Why not just breathe and wait. You we're expecting her at 100%?
I'm sure in some precincts she will get well over 100% percent of the vote just as Obama did.
The problem with Democrats this cycle is going to be getting enough energy to get out of the house to pull a lever for a known crook.
It's an overall apathy by democrats this election cycle. After Hillary stole the delegates from Bernie in new Hampshire even though Bernie won the popular vote, democrats are either surging for the3rd party or just planning on staying home. Very low popular voting numbers in the democratic primary.
Lol! Not bad odds? Las Vegas must love it when you show up.
A hot streak 15% win will get you 86'd out of Vegas forever.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
