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Old 05-14-2017, 05:26 PM
 
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Why working class Americans voted with their middle finger | New York Post


And yes, the Democrats deserved that treatment.
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Old 05-14-2017, 06:46 PM
 
Location: Gone
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BobNJ1960 View Post
So now only 35% of Americans are working class? Me thinks someone is very confused but then again most trumpets are.
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Old 05-14-2017, 07:55 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Casper in Dallas View Post
So now only 35% of Americans are working class? Me thinks someone is very confused but then again most trumpets are.
It was enough to decide Donald Trump would be POTUS, and for that, I am most grateful for the white working class.
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Old 05-14-2017, 08:12 PM
 
Location: Gone
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BobNJ1960 View Post
It was enough to decide Donald Trump would be POTUS, and for that, I am most grateful for the white working class.
True, the system saw to that. I assume you only mean the right-wing working class, or do you actually believe that only right-wingers are the working class?
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Old 05-14-2017, 08:18 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Casper in Dallas View Post
True, the system saw to that. I assume you only mean the right-wing working class, or do you actually believe that only right-wingers are the working class?
I mean the entire working class. The system our founders wisely chose continues to work beautifully today.

MAGA
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Old 05-14-2017, 08:23 PM
 
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White working class is generally defined as white non-college because data analysis is generally based upon educational attainment, gender and race/ethnicity. There isn't a data element captured for a murkier category like "white working class." According to the exit polls, non-Hispanic non-college grads made up 34% of total votes cast, so the 35% figure cited is in the ballpark but perhaps a tad high, if based on exit polls.

The white non-college share of total votes cast have been falling on average at a rate of about 3% per presidential election because it is a far older group than the minority groups and white college grads. The share of white non-college total voter registrations is what's dropping as new voters in that group isn't sufficient to replace those that die and hasn't been for over 36 years now. Here's a breakdown of how the non-college White share has declined by nearly half since 1980.

White Non-College Share/Share of GOP Vote

1980= 65/70
1984= 62/68 -3%
1988= 54/60 -8%
1992= 53/55 -1%
1996= 46/49 -7%
2000= 46/54- no change
2004= 43/52 -3%
2008= 39/50 -4%
2012= 36/? -3%
2016= 34/? -2%

Prior to the 2012 election, non-college whites had been the largest of the groups. As per Exit Polls, in 2012 non-Hispanic whites made up 72% of total votes cast nationally with the white vote evenly split between white college and non-college at the 36% each. The white vote has been averaging a 2% drop of total vote cast from 1 POTUS to the next. The usual pattern has been -3+1+2. White non-college losing 3% with white college gaining 1% and total minority gaining 2. Most forecasters expected the national vote in 2016 to be 37% white college grad, 33% white non-college and 30% total minority. In reality, the only group to hit that target was white college at 37%. White non-college over performed at 34% instead of the projected 33%. Minorities were projected to hit 30%, but with low black turnout only rose 1% to 29%.


Attached is a link to the 2016 CNN Exit Polls and a pre-election voter composition forecast. Due to demographics, total minorities should pass the percentage cast nationally by white non-college by probably 2024 or 2028.

What's the political breakdown by demographic group? White non-college remains by far the most Republican group (R+37 in 2012). On the other extreme, minorities were overwhelmingly Democratic (D+53). White college grads are in between these 2 polarized groups and in 2016 were R+3.


Exit Polls 2016

Mapping the 2016 Electorate: Demographics Don't Guarantee a Democratic White House
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Old 05-14-2017, 08:26 PM
 
Location: North Carolina
313 posts, read 152,731 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BobNJ1960 View Post
It was enough to decide Donald Trump would be POTUS, and for that, I am most grateful for the white working class.
You are welcome. Glad we could be of service. I agree that was a wonderful piece of writing.
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Old 05-14-2017, 08:35 PM
 
34,059 posts, read 17,081,326 times
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Originally Posted by NotGonnaHappen View Post
You are welcome. Glad we could be of service. I agree that was a wonderful piece of writing.
Their Sunday columns are always spot on.

The Rust Belt shift is a game-changer. Acela Belt plus West Coast is dozens below 270, even after census reset.
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Old 05-15-2017, 01:35 PM
 
Location: New Albany, Indiana (Greater Louisville)
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Rust Belt shift is critical in our electoral system because GOP could make up for lost electoral votes in Southern states
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Old 05-15-2017, 02:23 PM
 
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I know alot of white working class people and I don't agree with this quoted below. I also know people who were once middle class and became wealthy. These people would see gold as garish. In fact if they struck it rich, they would make sure their parents were set, buy Harley's, Quads, a Jeep and a nice upper middle class home. These people aren't for flash and glitz.

Quote:
Donald Trump epitomizes this idea, having made his fortune “in garish casinos that sold a working-class brand of luxury.” Gold-covered everything is exactly how you’d decorate if you were from Appalachia and struck it rich.
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