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Old 07-24-2020, 10:00 AM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,557 posts, read 17,256,908 times
Reputation: 37268

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Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
what's the evidence to support that claim?


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...nton-5491.html
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordBalfor View Post
There is no evidence, because it didn't happen. Like nearly everything else Trump and his supporters claim, it's just make up BS.

Ken
Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
that would be my guess.
Then "guessing" is your best game. Too bad.



Here's your proof:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...952.html#polls


Expand the chart and you will see that nearly every poll switched to Likely Voters by early November. Notice that back in July nearly all polls were of Registered Voters. Like they are today.


Likely Voters are the only group that really counts.
Today, Trump scores 49%/49%. That's actually a point ahead of Obama.
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Old 07-24-2020, 11:05 AM
 
Location: Living rent free in your head
42,839 posts, read 26,236,305 times
Reputation: 34038
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
Likely Voters are the only group that really counts.
Today, Trump scores 49%/49%. That's actually a point ahead of Obama.
ruh roh..if likely voters are the only group Dear Leader is in big trouble
Change Research Likely Voters: Trump 43% approve 57% disapprove

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...s/?cid=rrpromo
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Old 07-24-2020, 11:08 AM
 
51,651 posts, read 25,790,245 times
Reputation: 37884
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2sleepy View Post
ruh roh..if likely voters are the only group Dear Leader is in big trouble
Change Research Likely Voters: Trump 43% approve 57% disapprove

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...s/?cid=rrpromo
Oh, dear.
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Old 07-24-2020, 11:32 AM
 
26,562 posts, read 14,434,478 times
Reputation: 7421
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
Expand the chart and you will see that nearly every poll switched to Likely Voters by early November. Notice that back in July nearly all polls were of Registered Voters. Like they are today.

thanks for posting that. i will look into it.
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Old 07-24-2020, 04:06 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,557 posts, read 17,256,908 times
Reputation: 37268
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2sleepy View Post
ruh roh..if likely voters are the only group Dear Leader is in big trouble
Change Research Likely Voters: Trump 43% approve 57% disapprove

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...s/?cid=rrpromo

That poll was from July 10. Rasmussen, who polls daily, recorded a 45% approval on that day, and 49% approval for the last 2 days.
Things change fast.


I think the biggest change would come if Trump would not run for reelection and some other person who is better able to unify the country ran instead. I don't look for it to happen, and at this point I think Trump can win, but it sure would be nice to see all this rioting stop. Four more years of this would be misery.
But I still cannot vote for a Democrat.
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Old 07-24-2020, 05:35 PM
 
Location: Living rent free in your head
42,839 posts, read 26,236,305 times
Reputation: 34038
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
That poll was from July 10. Rasmussen, who polls daily, recorded a 45% approval on that day, and 49% approval for the last 2 days.
Things change fast.


I think the biggest change would come if Trump would not run for reelection and some other person who is better able to unify the country ran instead. I don't look for it to happen, and at this point I think Trump can win, but it sure would be nice to see all this rioting stop. Four more years of this would be misery.
But I still cannot vote for a Democrat.
Ok here's another July 17-22 Echelon Insights likely voters 37% approve 60% disapprove

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...s/?cid=rrpromo
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Old 07-24-2020, 08:41 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,557 posts, read 17,256,908 times
Reputation: 37268
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2sleepy View Post
Ok here's another July 17-22 Echelon Insights likely voters 37% approve 60% disapprove

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...s/?cid=rrpromo
I saw that one, and if it makes you feel better then you should believe it.
Rasmussen polls 5 days a week and has for a very long time. So that's the outfit I have always used. The day before the 2016 election Rasmussen forecast Hillary 45%; Trump 43%; Johnson 4%. Actual results were 48.3%; 46.2%; 3.3%.
That's why I follow Rasmussen. Tell us why you "follow" Echelon.


FWIW: I disapprove of Trump. I think he is a terrible President. Some of the things he says and does are unseemly to the point of his being a psychotic. He fired Rex Tillerson and then publicly excoriated him. He doesn't know when to build a consensus and when to keep his mouth shut.
But I will never vote for a Democrat. I will vote for Trump. My reasons are Schumer, Pelosi, The Squad, Maxine Waters, Frederica Wilson, Adam Schiff, BLM; Antifa, and Joe Biden's family. And this is BEFORE Biden announces his choice for VP.
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Old 07-24-2020, 09:34 PM
 
21,430 posts, read 7,449,182 times
Reputation: 13233
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
I saw that one, and if it makes you feel better then you should believe it.
Rasmussen polls 5 days a week and has for a very long time. So that's the outfit I have always used. The day before the 2016 election Rasmussen forecast Hillary 45%; Trump 43%; Johnson 4%. Actual results were 48.3%; 46.2%; 3.3%.
That's why I follow Rasmussen. Tell us why you "follow" Echelon.


FWIW: I disapprove of Trump. I think he is a terrible President. Some of the things he says and does are unseemly to the point of his being a psychotic. He fired Rex Tillerson and then publicly excoriated him. He doesn't know when to build a consensus and when to keep his mouth shut.
But I will never vote for a Democrat. I will vote for Trump. My reasons are Schumer, Pelosi, The Squad, Maxine Waters, Frederica Wilson, Adam Schiff, BLM; Antifa, and Joe Biden's family. And this is BEFORE Biden announces his choice for VP.
You're in luck.

Trump will lose, we will have a better president and you will not have to take any of the blame.
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Old 07-24-2020, 09:37 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,557 posts, read 17,256,908 times
Reputation: 37268
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hesychios View Post
You're in luck.

Trump will lose, we will have a better president and you will not have to take any of the blame.
If you run a candidate who can get more than 49% of the vote you will win.
Good luck.
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Old 07-24-2020, 09:54 PM
 
Location: The 719
17,986 posts, read 27,444,769 times
Reputation: 17300
Trump 49%
Obama 48%
Biden nurses blow air up his nostrils and give him pillows
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