November Blowtorch pattern continues (precipitation, cities, world, USA)
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Never underestimate the ability of that subtropical high east of the Bahamas to show its power at any time of year.
I would wait at least until next week to see where the models go...
Yes, the southeast ridge has more of a direct impact on the I-95 corridor southward. What are you thinking for interior northern New England? More seasonable temps and snowfall by early to mid December?
This pattern change is just taking much too long. Even after next weekend temps don't look much below average at all. Oh well. I am not holding out too much hope for decent snow and cold on a consistent basis this winter east of the Rockies.
It's only November. Still have December - March
Quote:
Originally Posted by GraniteStater
The GFS computer model found on the NCEP operations homepage. The GFS model comes out 4 times a day and I mainly look at the 500mb thickness charts to gauge temperature trends in the medium and longer range.
The GFS is a good model but the Euro is better.
Quote:
Originally Posted by GraniteStater
Yes, the southeast ridge has more of a direct impact on the I-95 corridor southward. What are you thinking for interior northern New England? More seasonable temps and snowfall by early to mid December?
I think northern New England will have a great winter. It is really typical in a La Nina.
^
Do you have a link to the Euro model? I know that others have said for the GFS that the 0Z and 12Z are usually held at a higher regard than the 6Z and 18Z. Is that the case?
11-28-2011, 06:16 PM
Status:
"From 31 to 41 Countries Visited: )"
(set 11 days ago)
4,640 posts, read 13,923,623 times
Reputation: 4052
November Blowtorch pattern was definitely true for areas of the Northeastern USA.
New York City had a record high of 70 degrees today.
This was the 7th warmest November on record for New York City. For Boston, this tied the 2nd warmest November on record. Worchester Massachusetts tied for 1st place the all time warmest November in recorded history.
Record Warmth in the Big Apple - weather.com (http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/record-warmth-northeast_2011-11-28 - broken link)
Wow, and this happened right after a record October snowstorm and when some places in the Northeast had record lows for Late October and record snow (Such as New York City, areas of Massachusetts, Philadelphia, other spots in the Northeast too).
However, this November areas of the Midwest, South, and Western USA had mostly average and even below average temperatures.
Areas of the South the next 2 days might be experiencing a somewhat rare November snowstorm. Rare November Snow in the South - weather.com
Places like Vermont, New Hampshire, and Upstate New York state the past 2 days and for tomorrow are warmer than Georgia, Missisippi, Alabama, including the city of Atlanta! The past two nights those areas of the Northeast were also much warmer than Texas. That seems to be rare for Late November.
Most of Alaska(Especially Fairbanks) had one of the coldest November’s in recorded history.
that's a strange combination! It's way too warm for it to snow in the next few days. As I found out in another thread, it's colder in Houston than here.
that's a strange combination! It's way too warm for it to snow in the next few days. As I found out in another thread, it's colder in Houston than here.
Unfortunately, the NAO and AO are still in positive territory. It will gradually get colder, but the southeast ridge is very strong.
I would like a repeat of December 2010. Basically the entire month was cold.
I think December will likely be warmer than average for the East Coast but obviously much colder than the current month of November. Check the AO as it is forecasted to be 4 standard deviations above the average. The ridge of high pressure in the west is the only thing going right now for those that want some colder air down the road. If the PNA was still in negative territory it would be a continuation of blowtorching on the East Coast indefinitely.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
That seems to be rare for Late November. 
