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View Poll Results: When will El Nino be present?
Before September 2018 2 6.25%
Between September 1- October 31, 2018 6 18.75%
After November 1st 14 43.75%
Spring 2019 10 31.25%
Voters: 32. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 02-18-2019, 04:07 AM
 
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There never was a El Nino this winter.
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Old 02-18-2019, 04:25 AM
 
Location: Bidford-on-Avon, England
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
There never was a El Nino this winter.
Surely there must be, with temperatures as high as 18°C later this week in parts of Wales, its like 1998.
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Old 02-18-2019, 05:08 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Randomguy1234 View Post
Surely there must be, with temperatures as high as 18°C later this week in parts of Wales, its like 1998.
I am sure every other state had a El Nino but not FL like always. Nothing even close to 97-98 when i got over 35" of rain in the fall- winter. I have had nothing almost this month for rain, and nothing for the next 3 months for my area, Record fires are coming.
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Old 02-18-2019, 06:30 AM
 
Location: Bidford-on-Avon, England
2,413 posts, read 1,040,369 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
I am sure every other state had a El Nino but not FL like always. Nothing even close to 97-98 when i got over 35" of rain in the fall- winter. I have had nothing almost this month for rain, and nothing for the next 3 months for my area, Record fires are coming.
That's impossible.
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Old 02-18-2019, 02:45 PM
 
Location: Southern Ontario
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
There never was a El Nino this winter.
El Nino is a global phenomenon. Unless you live on Mars, there was an El Nino.
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Old 02-18-2019, 04:42 PM
 
30,434 posts, read 21,271,177 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheRealDavid View Post
El Nino is a global phenomenon. Unless you live on Mars, there was an El Nino.
Just as well be for my area. I saw no rain from any El Nino this winter. Had 4.30" in Jan and had 4" last Jan. So big hairy deal, i got .30" more this Jan. No cold weather at all, nothing below 42f and never in my life have i seen a winter in my area since i started keeping records 41 years ago that there was never any 30's.

So far this month has been well above normal with .50" of rain vs 1"last Feb. This El Nino was a dud just like i called it last summer. Just more and more proof the planet is seeing run away heating at a unreal rate that no one even 7 years ago would have dreamed of.

So there was no El Nino effects for my area plane and simple. There are only two El Ninos i would call the real deal back in 1983 when i was fishing 100 miles offshore and could never get out there since it blew every 3 days and in 1997-98 when we had 35" of rain in 3 core months in the fall- winter. Now they are what i call a El Nino.
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Old 02-20-2019, 10:32 AM
 
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Maybe more traditional Modoki El Nino conditions will come out during Spring



https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...24067461689350
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Old 02-20-2019, 11:40 AM
 
29,537 posts, read 19,626,354 times
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So does the El Nino stay throughout summer? Does it weaken or strengthen. It's all up in the air this early on. Also Atlantic is on fire. Maybe a busy hurricane season later this year


https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/stat...99212880203778
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Old 02-20-2019, 12:41 PM
 
Location: Juneau, AK + Puna, HI
10,561 posts, read 7,763,547 times
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My part of Alaska hasn't experienced the typical El Nino weather this winter, which would be relatively warm and wet. It's been drier and cooler than expected.

Hawaii has also been quite cool by their standards, one of the coldest winters ever I believe. Big Island has experienced drier than average conditions but the other islands have seen plenty of rain.
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Old 02-20-2019, 03:06 PM
 
Location: Southern Ontario
308 posts, read 225,600 times
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The IRI ENSO forecast, which has a good track record, is expecting weak El Nino conditions to continue into summer.
https://iri.columbia.edu/our-experti...enso-sst_table

https://twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/1097886525390491648
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