[SteveM85]

Originally Posted by Johnho771

Not really. The margin of error in these polls is usually around 5%. So add the 5% error in ned's votes to the the 5% error of bob's votes you get the 10% there. So in all actuality we are looking at a dead even race.

Let there be no doubt, Lamont is beloved in CT now, more and more as time goes on.

[mdovell]

Originally Posted by Johnho771

Not really. The margin of error in these polls is usually around 5%. So add the 5% error in ned's votes to the the 5% error of bob's votes you get the 10% there. So in all actuality we are looking at a dead even race.

That is not how margin of error works. It's a margin of error for the whole thing not on each candidate. Generally the population polling factors it in. Usually you want 3% or less.

I think it's much closer to what they thought. If Ned gets in with less than 50% that isn't going to help, especially if he's on three lines on the ballot. This is not a mandate or landslide by any means.

will there be an october surprise? Who knows.

[Mike 75]

Originally Posted by Stylo

Oof, I highly doubt that. Even my Republican friends are voting Ned.

Also, I don't think that's how margin of error works...

Lots of signs for local GOP candidates here, but few for Stefanowski.

[JayCT]

Originally Posted by Johnho771

Not really. The margin of error in these polls is usually around 5%. So add the 5% error in ned's votes to the the 5% error of bob's votes you get the 10% there. So in all actuality we are looking at a dead even race.

You realize it more likely will go the opposite way and the margin of errors could add 10% to the difference. I know of no one, except hardcore Republicans that are voting for Bob Stefanowski. Independent voters makes up the largest voting block in our state and the ones I know are generally pleased with Lamont. Will see. Jay

[dazzleman]

I don't think Stefanowski stands a chance of winning. Governor's elections are often close, possibly because people want to check the power of the legislature. But I don't think Stefanowski can win unless something major changes between now and election day.

[SteveM85]

Originally Posted by dazzleman

I don't think Stefanowski stands a chance of winning. Governor's elections are often close, possibly because people want to check the power of the legislature. But I don't think Stefanowski can win unless something major changes between now and election day.

He needs an act of God or a miracle. His work is cut out for him if thinks he stands a chance against a Titan on the rise like Lamont, an exalted hero for the masses in CT.

[clutchrider]

The problem with Stefanowski is he is basically Lamont Light. Not that we need a hard right candidate but he just isn’t that different and is in my mind a little lame duck in his efforts. I’d much rather have seen someone like Sue Hatfield running, someone who excites and can use social media much better to get their messaging out.

I’m a conservative so I’ll vote R but I’m not enthusiastic for the state. I’m more just tired of our senators and people like purple hair still coming out with so much of the vote. Would be nice to see a change and they are part of my reasoning for term limits.

[JayCT]

Finally Stefanowski has come up with a really good issue to hang his hat on. He’s calling for the repeal of 8-30g which I’ve said many times is a bad law because it allows developers to build what they want, where they want. It’s absolutely amazing that people don’t see the danger in that and why the complete lack of accountability and control of development is bad, all in the name of adding affordable housing units to our communities. Let’s see where this goes. Jay

https://www.hartfordbusiness.com/art...le-housing-law

[robr2]

But does he have a replacement policy that will allow construction of affordable housing.

This sounds very much like the MA 40-B law that allows developers to build larger projects as long as they meet affordable guidelines. Often they use 40-B as a threat so they can get approval to build what they really want. Here in my town, the planning board works with 40B friendly developers in order to reach a compromise on what gets built.

[JayCT]

Originally Posted by robr2

But does he have a replacement policy that will allow construction of affordable housing.

This sounds very much like the MA 40-B law that allows developers to build larger projects as long as they meet affordable guidelines. Often they use 40-B as a threat so they can get approval to build what they really want. Here in my town, the planning board works with 40B friendly developers in order to reach a compromise on what gets built.

I wish it was like that. It then might be acceptable. With 8-30g though developers are negotiating nothing. They are building what they want, where they want. The town gets nothing but an eyesore. Jay