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Virginia and Nevada matter, it's funny Bernie Sanders' fans conveniently neglect these states.
Let's see who wins Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania.
Basically at this point they have both taken a couple swing states. The bulk of Hillary's pledged delegate margin (which will likely be around 200 or so when everything with tonight is counted) does come from states that neither Sanders or Clinton have a chance to win in the General Election. The early Primary calendar tends to be tilted in Republican leaning states.
With that being said, I certainly agree on Florida, Ohio and Michigan. Clinton right now has a solid advantage and the polling in those states does favor Clinton (though there hasn't been much polling). Michigan is next week, Ohio and Florida are on the 15th (along with Illinois, North Carolina) and a couple others mixed in. If Bernie is going to get back into this and really have a shot he needs to do it by the 15th. Clinton will likely lead by roughly 200 or so when tonight is all set, he needs to cut that a bit by then. If it is basically the same, he is not done, but left himself with less room to catch up and is in even more trouble, if Clinton gets a larger lead he pretty much is in a hole too deep. If he can cut it by a bit, he could make things quite interesting, but due to the gap he faces now with Pledged Delegates, he needs to do something within the next couple weels with some big delegate states popping up.
A few hours ago I was worried, but now I see Bernie is doing really well, considering how long he has come against the establishment, and the millions of small donors (including myself). I'm seeing 541 (Hilliar)/347(Bernie) delegate count at this moment. Looking forward to more good news in the next few weeks.
Thanks and kudos to the voters in the states that gave Bernie more votes than the corrupt liar and criminal bought by Wall Street.
Last edited by snowmountains; 03-01-2016 at 11:31 PM..
She narrowly won Nevada because of heavily African American support (after being 50 points ahead). They are like 85-15 for her across the nation. Its not a proper swing victory because these African Americans are not going to go Trump or third party in the general election. She has Kim Jung Un numbers among the AA community.
Basically at this point they have both taken a couple swing states. The bulk of Hillary's pledged delegate margin (which will likely be around 200 or so when everything with tonight is counted) does come from states that neither Sanders or Clinton have a chance to win in the General Election. The early Primary calendar tends to be tilted in Republican leaning states.
With that being said, I certainly agree on Florida, Ohio and Michigan. Clinton right now has a solid advantage and the polling in those states does favor Clinton (though there hasn't been much polling). Michigan is next week, Ohio and Florida are on the 15th (along with Illinois, North Carolina) and a couple others mixed in. If Bernie is going to get back into this and really have a shot he needs to do it by the 15th. Clinton will likely lead by roughly 200 or so when tonight is all set, he needs to cut that a bit by then. If it is basically the same, he is not done, but left himself with less room to catch up and is in even more trouble, if Clinton gets a larger lead he pretty much is in a hole too deep. If he can cut it by a bit, he could make things quite interesting, but due to the gap he faces now with Pledged Delegates, he needs to do something within the next couple weels with some big delegate states popping up.
She narrowly won Nevada because of heavily African American support (after being 50 points ahead). They are like 85-15 for her across the nation. Its not a proper swing victory because these African Americans are not going to go Trump or third party in the general election. She has Kim Jung Un numbers among the AA community.
Hillary carried the WHITE vote in 8 states (whereas Sanders only carried in 7) according to exit polls: 2016 Election Center - Presidential Primaries and Caucuses
Alabama - Clinton +12
Arkansas - Clinton +27
Colorado - No exit polls available but Sanders carries it for sure
Georgia - Clinton +17
Iowa - Clinton +3
Massachusetts - Sanders +1
Minnesota - No exit polls available but Sanders carries it for sure
Nevada - Sanders +2
New Hampshire - Sanders +24
Oklahoma - Sanders +20
South Carolina - Clinton +8
Tennessee - Clinton +15
Texas - Clinton +16
Vermont - Sanders +73
Virginia - Clinton +15
Nope I just checked. 99% of the votes in Georgia are counted. 700k is like 7% of the population. In Texas it will be even less than 7%. She wins on name recognition pretty much. Not because people love TPP, corruption in politics or more wars in the Middle East.
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Alaska primary
