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Old 11-15-2018, 11:24 AM
 
8,505 posts, read 4,571,170 times
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The Democrats pick up the Maine 2nd District seat as Golden wins the race after the 2nd choice count that was mandated since no candidate initially got a majority. The Republican Poliquin's last gasp legal motion to stop the 2nd choice count was denied by a judge. Maine voters had twice approved this in statewide referendums.



Democrats flip another House seat after ranked-choice runoff in Maine

Golden (D) 50.5%
Poliquin's (R) 49.5% [incumbent]


https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/15/polit...den/index.html
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Old 11-15-2018, 11:36 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,194 posts, read 19,479,349 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by workingclasshero View Post
gaining 39, when you had 44 retiring, and a few democrats had zero competition...not realy a wave worth surfing... may look pretty, but when you "gained" socialist AOC, who is now battling the "party leader" of Pelosi.. the in fighting has just begun
Some of the retirements were in uber safe districts. Fact of the matter is this is the 3rd biggest gain since 1974, that is a wave period.
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Old 11-15-2018, 11:40 AM
 
3,221 posts, read 1,740,449 times
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Still no cause to celebrate, the real battle is in the state legislatures and governorships going into 2020. We have to prevent yet another massive gerrymandering like in 2010. Democrats got lucky this time due to Trump's general odiousness. Vigilance people!
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Old 11-15-2018, 12:15 PM
Status: "everybody getting reported now.." (set 28 days ago)
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,594 posts, read 16,564,108 times
Reputation: 6047
Quote:
Originally Posted by Valhallian View Post
Still no cause to celebrate, the real battle is in the state legislatures and governorships going into 2020. We have to prevent yet another massive gerrymandering like in 2010. Democrats got lucky this time due to Trump's general odiousness. Vigilance people!
When it comes to congress, North Carolina will get a new map, as will Michigan, Missouri, Utah and possibly Colorado.


Democrats could net 10 new congressional seats out of that group of states

Utah's new maps will be state legislature level as well, not sure about the other states.
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Old 11-15-2018, 02:59 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,873 posts, read 9,560,189 times
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Average change in controlling party in midterm elections in the House since 1970 has been -23. Current number is -36.
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Old 11-15-2018, 03:39 PM
 
Location: Texas
38,859 posts, read 25,562,839 times
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^^^

36 and growing...

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Old 11-15-2018, 03:44 PM
Status: "Let's replace the puppet show with actual leadership." (set 2 days ago)
 
Location: Suburban Dallas
52,706 posts, read 47,996,677 times
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It was not a blue wave like left-wingers would have anyone believe. You can blame the forty-five Republicans in the House who could not support President Trump and who have decided to retire at the end of their terms. That's what caused the big flip in the House in the first place, as many of their seats flipped the wrong way. Had a lot of them stayed, you might have seen a different result. Conservatives will come back in 2020 and retake the House. Bank on it.
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Old 11-15-2018, 04:02 PM
 
Location: Clyde Hill, WA
6,061 posts, read 2,014,523 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
Average change in controlling party in midterm elections in the House since 1970 has been -23. Current number is -36.
PERSPECTIVE: Seats in Congress won or lost by U.S. presidents during their first full terms (1910-2018)

The average since 1934 has been -32.4. That is a bigger sample size and therefore more accurate. And the average in the senate is -1.7. With Scott likely to win in FL, the number will be +3, so that is a 4.7 seat underperformance for Dems.

That does not constitute a 'wave' in my opinion, but in the end that is just a question of semantics.
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Old 11-15-2018, 04:06 PM
 
Location: Texas
38,859 posts, read 25,562,839 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by case44 View Post
It was not a blue wave like left-wingers would have anyone believe. You can blame the forty-five Republicans in the House who could not support President Trump and who have decided to retire at the end of their terms. That's what caused the big flip in the House in the first place, as many of their seats flipped the wrong way. Had a lot of them stayed, you might have seen a different result.
Or, it could be the 12 million more votes that Dem candidates got than their Pub opponents.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/...-minority-rule

Quote:
Conservatives will come back in 2020 and retake the House. Bank on it.
Pubs are looking at their minority rule coming to an end.

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Old 11-15-2018, 04:06 PM
 
Location: Clyde Hill, WA
6,061 posts, read 2,014,523 times
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Look at GOP vs. Dem-controlled entities, including the White House, US House, US Senate, governorships, and state elected bodies. The GOP now controls about 60% of these, and Democrats 40%. Down from about 67-33 prior to last Tues.

It's a nice pickup, but is it a wave?
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