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Old 10-08-2020, 06:40 PM
 
7,250 posts, read 4,823,007 times
Reputation: 6599

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With all the enthusiasm OP seems to have, should make for a great sky screamer.

 
Old 10-09-2020, 06:28 AM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,770 posts, read 105,262,141 times
Reputation: 49251
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/06/p...ion/index.html


The people will speak in a loud and resounding voice, no more DRUMPF!!

Go #TeamJoe #TeamKamala!!!!
This is just another example of why you and others put too much into the polls: You are quoting a polls taken a few days ago and yet there are new polls that show how well Trump is doing in so many states. These polls are changing hourly now, not just daily!!!!
 
Old 10-09-2020, 07:28 AM
 
5,307 posts, read 6,268,710 times
Reputation: 3136
Quote:
Originally Posted by nmnita View Post
This is just another example of why you and others put too much into the polls: You are quoting a polls taken a few days ago and yet there are new polls that show how well Trump is doing in so many states. These polls are changing hourly now, not just daily!!!!
The most important aspect of polling is following trends. Exact numbers are sketchy but the margin of error gives a range. You would always rather be the person heading up instead of down. In 2016 the polls showed Trump closing late- and he did. Even then they had Hillary's percent of support correct.
 
Old 10-09-2020, 08:12 AM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,770 posts, read 105,262,141 times
Reputation: 49251
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrpeatie View Post
The most important aspect of polling is following trends. Exact numbers are sketchy but the margin of error gives a range. You would always rather be the person heading up instead of down. In 2016 the polls showed Trump closing late- and he did. Even then they had Hillary's percent of support correct.
Exactly
 
Old 10-09-2020, 08:17 AM
 
6,829 posts, read 2,132,633 times
Reputation: 2591
Whatever happens, I voted for Trump via mail in ballot. I'm in Florida.
 
Old 10-10-2020, 10:29 PM
 
Location: Rural Wisconsin
20,169 posts, read 9,686,052 times
Reputation: 38925
Biden's non-event in Arizona. Where is everybody??


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CsAuwWWmpBU
 
Old 10-10-2020, 10:35 PM
 
Location: SoCal
4,168 posts, read 2,169,946 times
Reputation: 2317
For all of you Democrats are cheering that Biden will win, you might want to hold off on your vine. Remember that Hillary had similar lead in around the same time in '16 and she still lost. Also remember we do not elect using national numbers so it's irrelevant. Instead look at each individual states and those states that count, Biden is not doing as great as Hillary was doing in '16 at this time.
 
Old 10-10-2020, 10:37 PM
 
2,068 posts, read 1,008,582 times
Reputation: 3641
Every poll that calls me, I'm voting to Biden.

Right.


My last Democrat vote was in 1990, for Ann Richards. Even I couldn't vote for Clayton "just lie back and enjoy it" Williams.
 
Old 10-10-2020, 10:46 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,262 posts, read 19,582,753 times
Reputation: 5372
Quote:
Originally Posted by looker009 View Post
For all of you Democrats are cheering that Biden will win, you might want to hold off on your vine. Remember that Hillary had similar lead in around the same time in '16 and she still lost. Also remember we do not elect using national numbers so it's irrelevant. Instead look at each individual states and those states that count, Biden is not doing as great as Hillary was doing in '16 at this time.
Biden's current lead in the RCP average is 4-8 points HIGHER than the range it stayed in for much of the last 6 months of the election in 2016, and a little over 2 points larger now than Clinton's high point. Same with 538. Also, while it will obviously be determined by EV, you get to a point where if you lose by a certain amount nationally the states simply aren't going to be there. Trump isn't going to lose by 8-10 nationally and have any chance to win any of Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, etc
 
Old 10-10-2020, 10:49 PM
 
Location: SoCal
4,168 posts, read 2,169,946 times
Reputation: 2317
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Biden's current lead in the RCP average is 4-8 points HIGHER than the range it stayed in for much of the last 6 months of the election in 2016, and a little over 2 points larger now than Clinton's high point. Same with 538. Also, while it will obviously be determined by EV, you get to a point where if you lose by a certain amount nationally the states simply aren't going to be there. Trump isn't going to lose by 8-10 nationally and have any chance to win any of Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, etc

You might want to tell that to MSNBC https://www.msnbc.com/the-beat-with-...ge-93560389640
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