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Just how much support is there for the EU, in the various countries? Besides the elites, that is.
A better question to ask is: what is the source of the poll? Western EU claims 99% of Eastern Europe worship the eu because benefits...
If the poll is Russian, it's vice-versa: 99% dislike the EU because "communism was better".
I'd say in Eastern Europe at least it's something like 60% anti-EU and 40% support, if we're to believe independent researchers. There's growing sentiment against in countries like Slovakia, Czech Republic etc.
In 10 years it will be 80% against.
Though nobody wants to threaten the UK, don't even think that the EU would just go on as business as usual. It would be the 60 million pop and 3 trillion GDP vs the EU's 450 million pop and 15 trillion GDP. The EU would do everything it can to get the best negotiating result as possible, as it after all it's in a dominating position. Secondly, the EU could try to extort brexited Britain in any way possible when the opportunity arises.
Ok, I understand that the net contribution of the UK to the EU is around £8 billion annually and it's a big number. Finland's net contribution is £625 million, and that sounds as an acceptable figure, right? But divide the numbers with the population - every Finn person pays around £20 more than a Brit. And we are quite happy in the EU, though necessarily not so much right now in the €. But that's another story.
13% of the annual GDP of Britain comes from trade in the common market - the EU. That is about £261 billion every year. Say that the UK could immediately regain 50% of this in separate negotiations. The temporary deficit would the equivalent of 31 years of the net payments to the EU. And dream on with independent trade negotiations with say, Siam, Upper Volta, Rhodesia and the dominion of Newfoundland and Labrador. So how much does the EU membership really cost?
And what about Scotland? They were already close leaving the Union, and what if they think that they should be in the EU? Another referendum? The City of London has already warned about dire consequences if the brexit happens, and so does many economics. Meanwhile the countries in the EU would suffer individually, but in a much lower scale. For example Britain is Finland's 6th largest import/export partner, but a brexit would mean a 0.02% drop in our GDP annually. Britain is Finland's largest buyer of wood-based products, but hey, if you don't want to play in the common market, we can sell them to Portugal or something. And what if France and Germany pulls the plug on British exports and imports? They can find new markets, but boy would Britain be in trouble.
Brexit is bad for the UK and it's bad for Europe. It's also bad for NATO. I hope from all of my heart that Britain remains in the EU. For the sake of all of us.
Eventhough my inner British Bulldog, doesn't like what you are saying at all
I cant fault any of the main points you make
I think Britain should remain in, but without doubt the EU needs reform. It is too opaque and too unaccountable in many ways.
There is no doubt either party could survive without the other. Britain would probably have to become a bit more competitive, but if it plays it's cards right there is no reason why it couldnt thrive like other Anglosphere countries like Australia, New Zealand, Canada and dare I say it America.
The EU would probably survive without Britain, but Britain leaving would cause damage. It would undermine the legitimacy of the project. It may also spur other countries like Sweden, Denmark and perhaps Finland to debate leaving especially if the Britain thrives outside...
As for the Greenland remark, you joke but that is how some Brits see Britain. I recall a my old english teacher looking at a map of Europe and saying "This here is Britain and the landmass over there is Europe!". One of the boys responded "But sir, are we not in Europe?" and my teacher responded "Absolutely not"..
The EU would probably survive without Britain, but Britain leaving would cause damage. It would undermine the legitimacy of the project. It may also spur other countries like Sweden, Denmark and perhaps Finland to debate leaving especially if the Britain thrives outside...
Political experts claim that a brexit would not cause contamination. Nobody else would be leaving the EU, but it would tie Finland, Sweden, Denmark, Ireland, The Netherlands, Austria and others even closer to Germany. This is quite contrary what the brexit lobby wants and claims.
England should forget about their Empire. .-Is the law of history. .-
Currently outside the giant groups of countries can not be lived.-
Some believe that if England associated with its former colonies will remain as head of mouse .
The reality is that if it is not integrated in Europe until Scotland it will go with the UE .
And England finalize as only solution to survive to be a state over USA,.
I apologize that I recall neither title, nor author, but I came across a book once regarding the European Union. The British author analyzed the EU compared to the different political cultures of France, Britain, and Germany. The author concluded that the EU is based on French political culture.
During the last few years I've noticed people commenting online that the EU is beginning to resemble the Holy Roman Empire.
Would it make sense to think of the EU as a version of the Holy Roman Empire...influenced by French political culture?
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