Lina Hidalgo clinging to 1-pt lead against GOP's Alexandra del Moral Mealer (Houston: lawsuit, rich)

[astrohip]

Originally Posted by SanJac

Not sure how reliable these numbers are. In general, nationally, Democrats have been losing ground over the last month though.

A new poll released by Defend Texas Liberty PAC

Nope, fake news (to steal a phrase). That's a far right-wing group, and I'm sure the poll found a way to skew the numbers the way they want.

My call: 57-43 Lina

[SanJac]

Originally Posted by astrohip

Nope, fake news (to steal a phrase). That's a far right-wing group, and I'm sure the poll found a way to skew the numbers the way they want.

My call: 57-43 Lina

That’s a bold prediction. I personally think it will be a nail biter. We shall see…

[westsidewolf1989]

Originally Posted by astrohip

Nope, fake news (to steal a phrase). That's a far right-wing group, and I'm sure the poll found a way to skew the numbers the way they want.

My call: 57-43 Lina

Potentially, but there was also this from the press release...

On behalf of the conservative Defend Texas Liberty Political Action Committee (PAC), CWS Research conducted the survey of 900 likely voters in Harris County between September 24 and October 1. Among respondents, 38 percent identified as Democrats, 34 percent as Republicans, and 28 percent said they were politically independent.

I agree it will be a nail biter, but think Hidalgo will win despite not being a popular candidate (I've seen a lot more Mealer signs than ones for Hidalgo around a variety of parts of Houston)

[WRM20]

In a shocking turn of events, at least to me, the Chronicle endorsed Mealer. Which is beyond stupid. They went on and on about how Cagle and Ramsey might not have acted like cowards if their concerns had been listed to a while back. No, Cagle and Ramsey want it their way, where Commissioner's Court looks after the rich white folks while the poor suffer. If Mealer is elected County Judge, adn the R's have a 3-2 advantage, we will see the completely stupid budgets that Cagle and Ramsey proposed that didn't pay for mandatory stuff, like like software licenses, security for county buildings, elections, etc.

[houston-nomad]

Originally Posted by WRM20

In a shocking turn of events, at least to me, the Chronicle endorsed Mealer. Which is beyond stupid. They went on and on about how Cagle and Ramsey might not have acted like cowards if their concerns had been listed to a while back. No, Cagle and Ramsey want it their way, where Commissioner's Court looks after the rich white folks while the poor suffer. If Mealer is elected County Judge, adn the R's have a 3-2 advantage, we will see the completely stupid budgets that Cagle and Ramsey proposed that didn't pay for mandatory stuff, like like software licenses, security for county buildings, elections, etc.

I agree. They totally failed to call out the GOP BS in their editorial.

[SanJac]

Originally Posted by WRM20

In a shocking turn of events, at least to me, the Chronicle endorsed Mealer. Which is beyond stupid. They went on and on about how Cagle and Ramsey might not have acted like cowards if their concerns had been listed to a while back. No, Cagle and Ramsey want it their way, where Commissioner's Court looks after the rich white folks while the poor suffer. If Mealer is elected County Judge, adn the R's have a 3-2 advantage, we will see the completely stupid budgets that Cagle and Ramsey proposed that didn't pay for mandatory stuff, like like software licenses, security for county buildings, elections, etc.

I’m surprised too. It seems that Paul Castro had a heavy influence on the editorial committee.

Paul Castro, a middle school principal who was thrust into the spotlight and into the role of criminal justice watchdog after his son David, a 17-year-old National Merit Scholar and Altuve devotee, was gunned down by a repeat violent offender during a road rage incident on their way home from an Astros game.

Castro, who calls himself a “cast-in-the-wool Democrat,” says he made the tough decision to split his ticket this year, voting against Republicans on the state level and against Hidalgo locally, largely due to her insufficient action on crime.

And the prevailing argument…

Our gravest concerns, though, involve Hidalgo’s failure to respond with urgency to Harris County’s crime wave. In a county where more than two-thirds of likely voters list public safety as the most important issue in this race, it weighed heavily on our decision.

We concur with Castro’s biggest criticism of Hidalgo’s record on crime: she hasn’t prioritized clearing the courthouse backlog dating back to Harvey, which is the single biggest threat to public safety because it delays trials — and justice — sometimes for years in thousands of cases, including those involving repeat violent offenders, who often remain free while their cases slog through the system. Even strong cases become harder to prosecute as evidence ages and memories fade.

[As Above So Below...]

I definitely think it will be a nail biter. Im thinking maybe as close as 51-49.

[ParaguaneroSwag]

If 51-49 is considered to be a nail biter, then sure I’ll say it’ll likely be a nail biter. The problem is that this would position it to be “less of a nail biter” than 2018. Just about every election, it’s always the same thing. A bunch of articles supposedly “exposing the flaws” blow up and half of the population runs away with it thinking this will be it. All while not noticing that they are actually annoying the center more than they are convincing them. Sure, something like 51-49 sounds reasonable. But that number is slightly more Democratic than 2018 was

[ParaguaneroSwag]

on the contrary, I am not surprised that the Chronicle endorsed Mealer. I wouldn’t have expected it, but I am not surprised at all. The Chronicle is following the path that pays them more. Just as I’m annoyed with all media out there, I include the chronicle in it. They have no structure and are simply following which articles grant them more click bait. I suppose I can’t blame them too much for that because they are a business at the end of the day and the goal of a business is to make money. But regardless of the reason, I will not follow

[astrohip]

Originally Posted by westsidewolf1989

On behalf of the conservative Defend Texas Liberty Political Action Committee (PAC), CWS Research conducted the survey of 900 likely voters in Harris County between September 24 and October 1. Among respondents, 38 percent identified as Democrats, 34 percent as Republicans, and 28 percent said they were politically independent.

Thanks for sharing that. Good info, and I hadn't noticed it. One thought on this: In the last county-wide election (2020), for offices that encompass the entire county, the votes ranged from 57-43 Dem, to 54-46. So by hand-picking a 38-34 spread, they can get the results they want, by tweaking the independents.

Originally Posted by WRM20

In a shocking turn of events, at least to me, the Chronicle endorsed Mealer. Which is beyond stupid.

I had not seen that yet. I think you're being kind in your opinion.

To endorse someone who actually said publicly they believe the 2020 Presidential election was stolen...