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4Aug18 2pPDT/5pEDT East Pacific:
-The area of scattered showers S of Guatemala that originally had 20-30% chance of development suddenly bumped up to a higher chance and now Tropical Depression 11E. Looks to overall parallel the W Mexico coast. Direct effects to Socorro Island (south of Baja tip) possible. Elsewhere along the mainland should monitor for subtle shifts that could bring storm conditions inland. This system may interact with another system quickly developing just to its West.
5Aug18 5aPDT/8aEDT: Atlantic:
-With the 8a update Invest '97L' in the far N Atlantic jumps to 30-40% chance development (low-medium chance), well away from land though. East Pacific:
-See Hector thread
-Invest "94E" well behind Hector at 70-90% chance development
-Invest "95E" behind that 90-100% chance.
-TD11E likely named Tropical Storm shortly Central Pacific:
-See Hector thread, officially becomes a C Pac storm once it crosses 140W on the map
And here's this AM's sat image showing that huge plume of dust Cambium showed graphic for earlier (97L is in top center of picture...ya, you keep moving South and see what happens there buddy...but likely retreats back North and out before reaching that far South):
5Aug18 5aPDT/8aEDT:
... East Pacific:
-See Hector thread
-Invest "94E" well behind Hector at 70-90% chance development
-Invest "95E" behind that 90-100% chance.
-TD11E likely named Tropical Storm shortly
...
6Aug18 5pPDT/8pEDT:
Atlantic:
-Invest 97L off in central Atlantic was drifting generally SSW, now heading back NNE out to sea with 30% chance of development over the next day or so then gone. No worries from this one.
-Increased moisture near Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua region of the S Caribbean Sea should be held in check from any development with very high wind shear for awhile.
East Pacific:
-See Ileana and John threads
-Invest 94E well offshore of W Mexico with 70-80% development chance
Central Pacific:
-See Hector thread
7Aug18 AM update:
Atlantic: 97L looking much better organized, bumped to 50% chance of development, but small window left to do so, either way out to sea.
Sunrise:
East Pacific: -Invest 94E becomes Tropical Storm Kristy
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