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Old 12-29-2023, 06:33 AM
 
9,406 posts, read 8,379,537 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post

I've got better things to do with my time than worry about this nonsense. IMO
But you're taking time to post on message boards about this and other political ramblings so apparently you DO care.

 
Old 12-29-2023, 06:41 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,281,167 times
Reputation: 27863
Quote:
Originally Posted by Florida2014 View Post
But you're taking time to post on message boards about this and other political ramblings so apparently you DO care.
Step back and re-read my post. I've got better things to worry about besides a blown prediction I made on here. It makes no difference to anything. I also don't worry about grabbing every last dollar I can from investing. If I did, I'd put a lot more time into it.
 
Old 12-29-2023, 06:44 AM
 
Location: Richmond, VA
5,047 posts, read 6,351,599 times
Reputation: 7204
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
Step back and re-read my post. I've got better things to worry about besides a blown prediction I made on here. It makes no difference to anything. I also don't worry about grabbing every last dollar I can from investing. If I did, I'd put a lot more time into it.
Oh, hey, good thing you were fully invested and made the call just for fun :wink:


Just based on your posting history here-you DO put a lot of time into it. You would be better off indexing, but your choices are yours alone. You'll get there, just more slowly than other methods.
 
Old 12-29-2023, 06:52 AM
 
26,194 posts, read 21,601,431 times
Reputation: 22772
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
Step back and re-read my post. I've got better things to worry about besides a blown prediction I made on here. It makes no difference to anything. I also don't worry about grabbing every last dollar I can from investing. If I did, I'd put a lot more time into it.
Grabbing every last dollar makes it seem like you are just missing a bit, but 8% vs 26% isn’t grabbing every dollar or picking up a few bucks. Your consistency if nothing else is amazing but it’s all excusing poor performance because you think you know better despite what history has shown you.
 
Old 12-29-2023, 06:56 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,281,167 times
Reputation: 27863
Quote:
Originally Posted by GeorgiaTransplant View Post
Oh, hey, good thing you were fully invested and made the call just for fun :wink:


Just based on your posting history here-you DO put a lot of time into it. You would be better off indexing, but your choices are yours alone. You'll get there, just more slowly than other methods.
I post a lot more than I research stocks.
 
Old 12-29-2023, 06:57 AM
 
106,724 posts, read 108,937,910 times
Reputation: 80213
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
I post a lot more than I research stocks.
we know. ha ha
 
Old 12-29-2023, 06:58 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,281,167 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
Grabbing every last dollar makes it seem like you are just missing a bit, but 8% vs 26% isn’t grabbing every dollar or picking up a few bucks. Your consistency if nothing else is amazing but it’s all excusing poor performance because you think you know better despite what history has shown you.
Here are the last 10 years of DJIA returns. I sure don't see an annual average of 26%. Do you? I see two great years, a bunch of good years, and 3 losing years.

Year Average
Closing Price Year Open Year High Year Low Year Close Annual
% Change
2023 34,107.21 33,136.37 37,710.10 31,819.14 37,710.10 13.77%
2022 32,898.34 36,585.06 36,799.65 28,725.51 33,147.25 -8.78%
2021 34,055.29 30,223.89 36,488.63 29,982.62 36,338.30 18.73%
2020 26,890.67 28,868.80 30,606.48 18,591.93 30,606.48 7.25%
2019 26,379.59 23,346.24 28,645.26 22,686.22 28,538.44 22.34%
2018 25,046.86 24,824.01 26,828.39 21,792.20 23,327.46 -5.63%
2017 21,750.20 19,881.76 24,837.51 19,732.40 24,719.22 25.08%
2016 17,927.11 17,148.94 19,974.62 15,660.18 19,762.60 13.42%
2015 17,587.03 17,832.99 18,312.39 15,666.44 17,425.03 -2.23%
2014 16,777.69 16,441.35 18,053.71 15,372.80 17,823.07 7.52%
 
Old 12-29-2023, 06:59 AM
 
106,724 posts, read 108,937,910 times
Reputation: 80213
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
Grabbing every last dollar makes it seem like you are just missing a bit, but 8% vs 26% isn’t grabbing every dollar or picking up a few bucks. Your consistency if nothing else is amazing but it’s all excusing poor performance because you think you know better despite what history has shown you.
exactly .

it’s missing the low hanging fruit just there for the picking …no work , no research , no predicting , no nothing needed .

just get an s&p or total market fund and done
 
Old 12-29-2023, 07:04 AM
 
106,724 posts, read 108,937,910 times
Reputation: 80213
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
Here are the last 10 years of DJIA returns. I sure don't see an annual average of 26%. Do you? I see two great years, a bunch of good years, and 3 losing years.

Year Average
Closing Price Year Open Year High Year Low Year Close Annual
% Change
2023 34,107.21 33,136.37 37,710.10 31,819.14 37,710.10 13.77%
2022 32,898.34 36,585.06 36,799.65 28,725.51 33,147.25 -8.78%
2021 34,055.29 30,223.89 36,488.63 29,982.62 36,338.30 18.73%
2020 26,890.67 28,868.80 30,606.48 18,591.93 30,606.48 7.25%
2019 26,379.59 23,346.24 28,645.26 22,686.22 28,538.44 22.34%
2018 25,046.86 24,824.01 26,828.39 21,792.20 23,327.46 -5.63%
2017 21,750.20 19,881.76 24,837.51 19,732.40 24,719.22 25.08%
2016 17,927.11 17,148.94 19,974.62 15,660.18 19,762.60 13.42%
2015 17,587.03 17,832.99 18,312.39 15,666.44 17,425.03 -2.23%
2014 16,777.69 16,441.35 18,053.71 15,372.80 17,823.07 7.52%

he was referring to this years easy pickings ' 27% on the total market and 52% on nasdaq.. no research needed

going forward the lost compounding on that is a lot

not all of us will be 100% equities of course , but most of us have portfolios that fit our needs and not based on going in or out on what we think .

so someone with a 60/40 got what they should have . on the other hand someone 20/80 who really should have been 60/40 for their goal but were trying to time things shot themselves in the foot
 
Old 12-29-2023, 07:31 AM
 
37,626 posts, read 46,035,471 times
Reputation: 57241
Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
i

it also can say whether they are long term investors or market timers

so i like to know where posters stand many times .., i dont think its a great achievement from an investing standpoint to get a 25% return on a tiny part of one’s money while the bulk sits in cash at 4% …

on the other hand i am impressed when someone gets 25% on 90% of ALL their money because they are really moving that growth meter .

if in a pre retirement or retirement stage i like to know how others are allocated and how they position for retirement overall not just what a portion of money is in but what are they doing overall with all that money because that determines whether their draw is safe or not .

every penny of savings counts when we set our draw each year

so i take interest in things others may not …
I'm not looking to impress anyone LOL. And I have no draw to be concerned about either so those discussions are of less interest to me than to you.
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