Philadelphia Mayor 2023 - Official Thread (Washington, Columbia: foreclosure, evictions, mortgage)

[thedirtypirate]

Originally Posted by MarketStEl

She's the first in our mayoral candidate series. We also have confirmed so far: Derek Green, Rebecca Rhynhart, James DeLeon (who I will be interviewing and thus need to read up on him) and Jeff Brown. Former Mayor Nutter is also paying us a visit to talk about his grilling of the candidates.

I trust that others will be added as they confirm.

Nice, good to hear.

It's been a while since you went over her record in Kensington. Care to refresh my memory?

That she was the council woman that oversaw the open air drug market spiral out of control into the worldwide embarrassment that it has become. Fair or not, things didn't get better in her district while she was the leader.

[Muinteoir]

Originally Posted by mphilly

Yeah, there are actually a few candidates this year I’d be happy to vote for and Rhynhart and Domb are two of them. Unfortunately like you said Domb and Rhynhart will probably split the vote which means Gym will end up winning.

This is what will make voting difficult. The primary field is way too crowded.

[thedirtypirate]

Jeff Brown being able to secure tons of water at his stores is some irony. Sometimes things just fall into your lap

[MPK21]

Originally Posted by cpomp

Can someone explain the benefits (if any) to this mentality?
Wouldn't incremental reductions to the wage and BIRT taxes largely benefit the population and make Philadelphia a more economically competitive place to live and do business? What am I missing?

Philly Mayor Jim Kenney proposes small tax cuts and increased police spending in his final budget address to City Council
https://www.inquirer.com/news/philad...-20230302.html

Kenney’s plan would continue to slightly decrease the city’s wage tax, lowering the rate for Philadelphia residents from 3.79% to 3.7565%. It also asks Council to approve a lowering of the net income portion of the business income and receipts tax from 5.99% to 5.83%.

Gauthier said she intends to probe the administration’s tax cut plan during the budget hearing process, saying the city is “continuing to push lower business taxes without proof that that’s going to get us where we need to be.” She and other progressive members last year opposed cuts to the business taxes.

“I think we have to invest in people, directly in people, and into neighborhoods,” she said, “as opposed to this idea that we’re going to cut the tax rate and magically things are going to trickle down.”

Not when you're a socialist disguised as a ''progressive''; otherwise you're not missing anything here.

[thedirtypirate]

After listening to Rhynhart more, I worry way to much she's beholden to the exact same forces as Gym Kenney. we need someone actually not afraid to **** the city hall machine off and challenge the status quo

[MPK21]

Originally Posted by cpomp

Not Philadelphia, but similar Mayoral situation. Incumbent Lori Lightfoot lost her reelection bid in Chicago, and two different candidates will face each other in a runoff on April 4th.

Paul Vallas - More moderate candidate.

Brandon Johnson - Progressive candidate.

If Chicagoans elect Paul Vallas, might that be a foreshadow for Philadelphia's Mayoral primary in May?

https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/28/polit...lts/index.html

The Chicago mayoral election should be looked at by Philly.

Unlike Philly, the Chicago election process than Philly in that basically the 1st run off could result in a mayoral winner if any candidate receives 50%+ of the votes. This is how Lightfoot squeaked into a 2019 win from a large pool of candidates; she managed to have a final win by portraying herself as an ''outsider'' against a veteran local pol; her victory of course focused on her being a gay black female.

Like Philly, experienced the tolerated and encouraged from City Hall 2020 anarchy for 5 1/2 months and the resulting crime, gun violence, huge homicide spikes, lockdowns, and population declines

Regardless, Lightfoot was literally told to pack her bags on February 28 leaving Chicago on the ropes and focused her loss on the fact that she's a gay black female...lol

So, Chicago is going to elect Paul Vallas, a 70 yo soon of Greek immigrants (not that anyone cares because all European ethnics are lumped into being white racist oppressors) or Brandon Johnson, a 47 yo black male, the progressive-idenity politics-teachers' union candidate with no real experience.

Johnson is even further left than Lightfoot and has the support of the corrupt and dangerous Chicago Teachers' Union, assorted local pols, and left wing groups like the Workers' Family Party. Johnson is big on, among other things, local and corporate tax increases to fund equitable housing programs; remains anti-cop funding, school $$ (is $$ really the issue in these big blue cities though?). This is a tight race.

We have a long list of Democrats to choose from for the general election. Domb & Rhynhart will split the voters wanting a balanced, wide ranging approach to multiple issues and we'll end up with someone like Gym for the November election. It's not reassuring that Rynhard passes herself off as a Progressive.

I don't believe Philly is at the Chicago dysfunction level yet but both cities continue to see population declines post-2020. Philly saw steep population declines 2020-2021 and is estimated to have lost another 22,000 in 2022. Philly could be at Chicago level dysfunction given that fact based local news is nonexistent here. It's interesting that both cities are looking to old white males to stem further declines but these oppressors will soon be gone; can Philly gamble with its future today though?

So we're looking at either a 68 y.o. white jewish business leader/politician male or a long list of local pols facing the Republican candidate in November. Since when did progressives own the ''housing issue?"

Chicago's mayoral election is April 4. Weather conditions and the standard apathy with certain demographics will determine the outcome; one thing is certain, the white lefties and progressive will be out 100% rain, sleet, or snow....just like they will be in Philly in May.

[MPK21]

estimated Philly population loss 7/1/21-7/1/22: 22,000.

The estimated Philly population loss 7/1/20-7/1/21: 11,000

These stats are concerning in that the Philly doubled its estimated population loss as the Wuhan Virus pandemic waned.

Philly saw a 100% increase compared to '20-'21. The largest 1 year population decrease since the 1970s leaving Philly's estimated population as of 7/1/22 at 1,570,000. All the real population growth is concentrated in FL, TX, and AZ.

Now is not the time to vote for candidates running with the ''No mayor has ever looked liked me'' or the ''we should have a (fill-in victim status here) as mayor'' qualifications. Yet those are the childish standards people use to vote today. Enough with the identity politics in local, state, and federal elections; we've seen the results with our current police commissioner.

Maybe Rhynhart looks good on paper but take a pass on her as anyone identifying with this Progressive nonsense can't be trusted and Philly is looking at its most important mayoral election in its history.

The best indicator that residents may be tired of living in a social experiment: 33,000 residents left the city in 2 years, the 2nd year doubling the loss of the 1st year. Philly must stop its population loss. On the other hand, our country is swirling the bowl so maybe the fact that several of its top urban centers are as well shouldn't be a surprise.

Reap what you sow.

[MPK21]

Originally Posted by thedirtypirate

After listening to Rhynhart more, I worry way to much she's beholden to the exact same forces as Gym Kenney. we need someone actually not afraid to **** the city hall machine off and challenge the status quo

Exactly.

Imagine ending up with a Gym (or anyone else other than Domb) vs. Oh election in November. A real scenario if a Dem other than Domb gets in is continued population, business, and general decline.

If it's anyone else other than Domb, "Go with Oh"-wonder if he's using this slogan lol, if not, you heard it hear first folks...Go with Oh!

In the meantime, let's see what happens in Chicago in 4 days (Tuesday, 4/4).

[Pennsport]

Originally Posted by MPK21

estimated Philly population loss 7/1/21-7/1/22: 22,000.

The estimated Philly population loss 7/1/20-7/1/21: 11,000

These stats are concerning in that the Philly doubled its estimated population loss as the Wuhan Virus pandemic waned.

Philly saw a 100% increase compared to '20-'21. The largest 1 year population decrease since the 1970s leaving Philly's estimated population as of 7/1/22 at 1,570,000. All the real population growth is concentrated in FL, TX, and AZ.

Now is not the time to vote for candidates running with the ''No mayor has ever looked liked me'' or the ''we should have a (fill-in victim status here) as mayor'' qualifications. Yet those are the childish standards people use to vote today. Enough with the identity politics in local, state, and federal elections; we've seen the results with our current police commissioner.

Maybe Rhynhart looks good on paper but take a pass on her as anyone identifying with this Progressive nonsense can't be trusted and Philly is looking at its most important mayoral election in its history.

The best indicator that residents may be tired of living in a social experiment: 33,000 residents left the city in 2 years, the 2nd year doubling the loss of the 1st year. Philly must stop its population loss. On the other hand, our country is swirling the bowl so maybe the fact that several of its top urban centers are as well shouldn't be a surprise.

Reap what you sow.

Well, first of all, recent data suggests that 1.5% reduction of population was heavily flawed, and it's actually more like .4% or 4k people. Second, almost all landlocked northern states (yes, cities took the brunt) lost residents to the sun and sand during COVID. Third, you have to look at from where in the city we are losing residents. Center City and surrounding neighborhoods have actually increased in population, leading one to believe that most of those leaving, or probably more accurate, just getting evicted or otherwise pushed out (due to working class job fallout from COVID shutdowns) and are moving to Newark, DE or Upper Darby, or (pick your close-to-Philly lower cost burb). I know these are substantial claims I'm making without references, but I'll find the sources and post them once I have some time to find these papers and sites. I saw the above a few weeks ago in referenceable publications and data readouts but can't recall where exactly.

Now with this said, I agree that we are at a catalyst. We absolutely need solid city leadership that will institute some tough love and accountability instead of catering to the fringe nonsense. The city core won't stay strong for long if middle of the day holdups, teens running wild attacking people and open-air gun fights are happening.

However, keep in mind that Gen Zs are "all in" on cities. Also, as more and more people work remotely or some sort of hybrid situation, a KOL sociologist (I'll find this direct quote as well) recently came out with a statement along these lines: people still want fun and interaction; and on paper, it's all well in good to live in a cul-de-sac with access to good schools and low crime, etc... But ultimately, many, especially those without school-age children, are choosing to be in areas where they can leave their home offices and experience life beyond a chain restaurant and driving to the same sameness.

I'm routing hard for Domb though...

[Tweb66]

So reading this thread, I have eliminated many (Gym) and I am inclined to vote Reinhardt. But I am interested in Domb, what is driving his voters? Rightly or wrongly, I am getting a Tom Knox vibe.