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Old 05-10-2013, 04:34 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,343,211 times
Reputation: 7627

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It's looking more and more like gold's glory days are behind it - with gold prices on an apparent downward trajectory, it's now given up all the gains it made since Dec of 2010 and many analysts now expect it to end up where it was in the middle of 2009 - in effect, giving up virtually all the gains it made during the Great Recession. As it is, the S&P 500 has now outperformed gold over the last year, last 3 years and last 10 years. Only the 5-year term shows gold with a SLIGHT price gain advantage over the S&P 500 (and that will be gone too if gold drops another 100 points or so).

More to the point however, the US dollar has NOT crashed - the expectation of which was likely THE reason for gold's rise back then to begin with. Now that's becoming more obvious that the US dollar is NOT going to collapse (US economy well into recovery, US deficit on the way down) folks are realizing that there is no real upside to owning gold.

Bad news for gold is good news for the US - and lately gold has been experiencing not much else but bad news.



Ken
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Old 05-10-2013, 04:35 PM
 
Location: Virginia Beach
8,346 posts, read 7,048,492 times
Reputation: 2874
inb4 liberal conspiracy
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Old 05-10-2013, 04:46 PM
 
9,659 posts, read 10,231,741 times
Reputation: 3225
Meh.

Maybe next time.
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Old 05-10-2013, 04:59 PM
 
Location: Wisconsin
37,981 posts, read 22,172,656 times
Reputation: 13811
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordBalfor View Post
It's looking more and more like gold's glory days are behind it - with gold prices on an apparent downward trajectory, it's now given up all the gains it made since Dec of 2010 and many analysts now expect it to end up where it was in the middle of 2009 - in effect, giving up virtually all the gains it made during the Great Recession. As it is, the S&P 500 has now outperformed gold over the last year, last 3 years and last 10 years. Only the 5-year term shows gold with a SLIGHT price gain advantage over the S&P 500 (and that will be gone too if gold drops another 100 points or so).

More to the point however, the US dollar has NOT crashed - the expectation of which was likely THE reason for gold's rise back then to begin with. Now that's becoming more obvious that the US dollar is NOT going to collapse (US economy well into recovery, US deficit on the way down) folks are realizing that there is no real upside to owning gold.

Bad news for gold is good news for the US - and lately gold has been experiencing not much else but bad news.



Ken
so you are telling us that the dollar is the only thing to affect the buying and selling of gold?
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Old 05-10-2013, 05:01 PM
 
Location: Missouri
4,272 posts, read 3,790,095 times
Reputation: 1937
These things go in cycles. I wasn't in on this one. I hope to catch the next wave, though.
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Old 05-10-2013, 05:06 PM
 
Location: Unperson Everyman Land
38,644 posts, read 26,398,078 times
Reputation: 12656
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordBalfor View Post
It's looking more and more like gold's glory days are behind it - with gold prices on an apparent downward trajectory, it's now given up all the gains it made since Dec of 2010 and many analysts now expect it to end up where it was in the middle of 2009 - in effect, giving up virtually all the gains it made during the Great Recession. As it is, the S&P 500 has now outperformed gold over the last year, last 3 years and last 10 years. Only the 5-year term shows gold with a SLIGHT price gain advantage over the S&P 500 (and that will be gone too if gold drops another 100 points or so).

More to the point however, the US dollar has NOT crashed - the expectation of which was likely THE reason for gold's rise back then to begin with. Now that's becoming more obvious that the US dollar is NOT going to collapse (US economy well into recovery, US deficit on the way down) folks are realizing that there is no real upside to owning gold.

Bad news for gold is good news for the US - and lately gold has been experiencing not much else but bad news.



Ken

Gold has doubled in price since 2008.

It could be five times the 2008 price, but since it's only doubled in five years, this proves positively that everything the regime is doing is working just fine.


Historical Gold Price Chart | MacroTrends
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Old 05-10-2013, 05:07 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,343,211 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wapasha View Post
so you are telling us that the dollar is the only thing to affect the buying and selling of gold?
Of course not, but gold has traditionally been bought as a hedge against inflation - in this case because of a fear the US dollar would collapse. That didn't happen, hence gold is returning to more rational prices.

I might add, I've warned gold bugs all along that that would happen - I saw it all unfold before (back in 1980).

Ken
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Old 05-10-2013, 05:14 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,343,211 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by momonkey View Post
Gold has doubled in price since 2008.

It could be five times the 2008 price, but since it's only doubled in five years, this proves positively that everything the regime is doing is working just fine.


Historical Gold Price Chart | MacroTrends
Get back to me in 6 months and tell me again that gold is double the 2008 price - and GOOD LUCK.


On the other hand, MAYBE you'll be able to 'brag" that gold is up 50% from it's 2008 price.

Ken

Last edited by LordBalfor; 05-10-2013 at 05:46 PM..
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Old 05-10-2013, 05:16 PM
 
Location: Where they serve real ale.
7,242 posts, read 7,910,626 times
Reputation: 3497
Like virtually everything right wing conservatives spew it was nonsense. Their positions almost always don't stand up to reality.
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Old 05-10-2013, 05:22 PM
 
Location: North America
5,960 posts, read 5,548,310 times
Reputation: 1951
Gold doesn't have a political agenda.
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