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Old 01-23-2024, 08:41 AM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,606,320 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
We been in a 1980s pattern since 2020, don't bet against it. Tick Tock


https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/st...69643634233384

A week later





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Old 01-23-2024, 09:14 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Can't think of username View Post
I'm talking about monitoring season heat monitoring, which in the context I mean would be specific to the Southeast US as the converse of the frost/cold weather monitoring (save for South Florida which is continuous heat monitoring).

I think you are probably already doing some monitoring season heat monitoring for the Southeast US even if unintentional, you have made comments about Southeast US monitoring season heat as it happened which is exactly what the heat monitoring I am referring to is.


My summer heat monitoring is for places like Minneapolis and especially the Northwoods.

By the way, on the other comment it seems like Charleston Battery so far has a seasonal low 2C colder than Gainesville Airport despite the reverse being exactly the opposite of current climate normals. It is also just like last winter.
The heat monitoring starts today! And it only gets better from here.

Save for North Carolina which has a statewide 17C maximum, all my major monitoring states have reached the tropical mark of an 18C+ temperature. Most of them have reached 20-25C too and the maximum in the Southeast US is a very toasty 28C in South Texas.

Quite fun monitoring this with snow on the ground here.
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Old 01-23-2024, 09:35 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,252,292 times
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Current temps at 5000'. Raining south of that line, Snowing north of it.



And if you look at the country as a whole, there's no cold cold airmass around now. Bye

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoa...19&parm=500mb#
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Old 01-23-2024, 01:12 PM
SFX
 
Location: Tennessee
1,635 posts, read 890,055 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SFX View Post
Looks like the model was spot on.

Which means the next one is really bad news

Winter is here
Worst snow and cold most people alive have ever experiences in TN

Quote:
Knoxville experienced four consecutive days with six inches or more of snow on the ground, from Jan. 15-18, and seven consecutive days of four inches or more of snow on the ground (Jan. 15-21). This is the longest stretch on record for the four-inch depth, the weather service said.
https://www.knoxnews.com/story/weath.../72322179007/#

Records for cold and freezing rain also were set.

It's not just awful, it's God awful.


With warm rain coming, the flooding might also be God awful.
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Old 01-23-2024, 02:09 PM
 
Location: Centre Wellington, ON
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I wonder what the seasonal low will be this winter. So far it's only -17.6C here in Centre Wellington. I'd have to double check, but if we don't beat that number, it may well be the warmest seasonal (winter) low in over 100 years of records here. Unless something happens in mid-late February, I'm not sure we'll beat that -17.6C number, as March tends not to be quite that cold.
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Old 01-23-2024, 03:59 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by memph View Post
I wonder what the seasonal low will be this winter. So far it's only -17.6C here in Centre Wellington. I'd have to double check, but if we don't beat that number, it may well be the warmest seasonal (winter) low in over 100 years of records here. Unless something happens in mid-late February, I'm not sure we'll beat that -17.6C number, as March tends not to be quite that cold.

8F(-13C) here. I doubt I go lower in February. Maybe March or April though. Lol.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Main OP models have the Sunday 28th storm...

GFS, Canadian, German has the energy transferring over Mid Atlantic and the coastal staying well off shore,

Euro says the primary will be a Lake Cutter () and then transfer over PA & NJ. Interesting the middle solution of this would bring a snowstorm to Philly to Boston

Still, I dont like the pattern leading up to this, too warm. Too ridgey
Annndddd GFS caves to Euro sending the storm towards the Great Lakes sending surge of warmth up the East. Something about that Euro seeing things so well.

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Old 01-23-2024, 04:49 PM
 
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Cali gets more rain in one day than i have had in 9 months. Rain in the gulf and as soon as hits the force field west of me POOF. Gonna be another record dry year and i am calling for under 30" again for the year.
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Old 01-23-2024, 04:50 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Winterbeard View Post
I was going to say...feel like it may not have been frigid, but the lack of sunshine has been noticeable. I suspect way down on normal. It's looked like the UK outside my window - monochrome.
I looked thru my records to the 1970's and never had this many cloudy days. Not even 1977 was this bad.
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Old 01-24-2024, 05:19 AM
 
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Nothing like cold rain in January



Milder temps incoming but I won't see the sun for about a week







January will end and February will open with a blow torch




If the MJO doesn't move into Phases 8,1, and 2 then forget about any sustained cold for February here. Looks like both the Euro and GFS stall it in Phases 6 and 7



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Old 01-24-2024, 05:59 AM
 
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Lot's of rain in California next week. Should help usher in a lush green spring.... Watch the screaming from global warming fanatics this summer about wildfires in California

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