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Old 01-27-2015, 12:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16620

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Oh boy.. As with any storm... There's always that one area... Upton thinks the band will stall over Fairfield and New Haven. They lowered totals in NY NJ a bit


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
237 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A POWERFUL STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY...MOVE OVERHEAD WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...AND PASS EAST ON THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
STATES WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY...AND ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
SOME IMPORTANT CHANGES MADE WITH THIS UPDATE BASED ON RADAR AND
HI-RES MODEL TRENDS. FIRST LEADING INTENSE SNOW BAND IS FALLING
APART OVER THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NE NJ...WHILE ANOTHER MORE
INTENSE BAND DRIVEN BY STRONG MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS IN THE
PRESENCE OF COUPLED UPPER JET STREAKS...ONE OVER UPSTATE NY AND
ANOTHER WELL OFFSHORE...MOVES WWD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CT/LONG
ISLAND...WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR. PER LATEST
NAM/RAP/HRRR TREND OF MID/UPPER LEVEL FEATURES...IT APPEARS THIS
BAND MAY STALL OVER OR NEAR FAIRFIELD/NEW HAVEN/WRN SUFFOLK
COUNTIES TOWARD DAYBREAK AND SLOWLY WEAKEN/REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
THE MORNING. PARTS OF THIS AREA COULD SEE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
UPWARDS OF 30 INCHES.


MEANWHILE...WITH SNOW BANDS HAVING TROUBLE MAKING IT MUCH PAST
NYC...HAVE LOWERED AMTS A LITTLE IN NYC/WESTCHESTER/PUTNAM...WITH
TOTALS MOSTLY 14-18 INCHES...AND EVEN MORE WEST OF THE
HUDSON...WITH 10-14 INCHES JUST OUTSIDE NYC AND 6-10 INCHES FOR
THE INTERIOR. ALSO REPLACED BLIZZARD WARNINGS ACROSS THE INTERIOR
WITH WINTER STORM WARNINGS...AS WINDS/VSBYS THERE ARE FALLING
SHORT. BLIZZARD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AREA.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45-50 MPH
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ACROSS EXTREME ERN LI...WIND GUSTS
OF 60-70 MPH POSSIBLE
.
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Old 01-27-2015, 02:29 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,164,409 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Oh boy.. As with any storm... There's always that one area... Upton thinks the band will stall over Fairfield and New Haven. They lowered totals in NY NJ a bit


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
237 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A POWERFUL STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY...MOVE OVERHEAD WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...AND PASS EAST ON THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
STATES WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY...AND ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
SOME IMPORTANT CHANGES MADE WITH THIS UPDATE BASED ON RADAR AND
HI-RES MODEL TRENDS. FIRST LEADING INTENSE SNOW BAND IS FALLING
APART OVER THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NE NJ...WHILE ANOTHER MORE
INTENSE BAND DRIVEN BY STRONG MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS IN THE
PRESENCE OF COUPLED UPPER JET STREAKS...ONE OVER UPSTATE NY AND
ANOTHER WELL OFFSHORE...MOVES WWD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CT/LONG
ISLAND...WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR. PER LATEST
NAM/RAP/HRRR TREND OF MID/UPPER LEVEL FEATURES...IT APPEARS THIS
BAND MAY STALL OVER OR NEAR FAIRFIELD/NEW HAVEN/WRN SUFFOLK
COUNTIES TOWARD DAYBREAK AND SLOWLY WEAKEN/REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
THE MORNING. PARTS OF THIS AREA COULD SEE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
UPWARDS OF 30 INCHES.


MEANWHILE...WITH SNOW BANDS HAVING TROUBLE MAKING IT MUCH PAST
NYC...HAVE LOWERED AMTS A LITTLE IN NYC/WESTCHESTER/PUTNAM...WITH
TOTALS MOSTLY 14-18 INCHES...AND EVEN MORE WEST OF THE
HUDSON...WITH 10-14 INCHES JUST OUTSIDE NYC AND 6-10 INCHES FOR
THE INTERIOR. ALSO REPLACED BLIZZARD WARNINGS ACROSS THE INTERIOR
WITH WINTER STORM WARNINGS...AS WINDS/VSBYS THERE ARE FALLING
SHORT. BLIZZARD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AREA.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45-50 MPH
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ACROSS EXTREME ERN LI...WIND GUSTS
OF 60-70 MPH POSSIBLE
.
Wow..complete bust for Northern Fairfield ...and NWS refuses to change their forecast..what an epic fail for the Euro model..
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Old 01-27-2015, 02:47 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16620
4:45am. Looks to me Eastern CT is going to have bigger totals than western CT. Radar loop past few hours.

Watch that band stop at Hartford then redevelop in Eastern CT

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Old 01-27-2015, 02:59 AM
 
21,621 posts, read 31,215,012 times
Reputation: 9776
This looks to be an eastern CT storm. Fine by me!
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Old 01-27-2015, 03:00 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,164,409 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
4:45am. Looks to me Eastern CT is going to have bigger totals than western CT. Radar loop past few hours.

Watch that band stop at Hartford then redevelop in Eastern CT

Historic blizzard? Historic bust.

Wonder if NWS is gonna put all its eggs in one model basket ever again.
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Old 01-27-2015, 03:06 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16620
Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
Historic blizzard? Historic bust.

Wonder if NWS is gonna put all its eggs in one model basket ever again.
Lol. I'm waiting till it officially over to use the B word. Question is, can a foot drop in next 7 hrs to make up for it? They lowered Fairfields totals. 18-24 now. Lol. I honestly have no idea where I'm at. About 7" now.

Oh wait... Their forecast goes till 7am Wednesday! Another 24hrs
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Old 01-27-2015, 03:08 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16620
Islip with 14 inches of snow.

BDL 1.5"?! As of 2am

http://forecast.weather.gov/product....OX&product=PNS
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Old 01-27-2015, 03:10 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,164,409 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Lol. I'm waiting till it officially over to use the B word. Question is, can a foot drop in next 7 hrs to make up for it? They lowered Fairfields totals. 18-24 now. Lol. I honestly have no idea where I'm at. About 7" now.

Oh wait... Their forecast goes till 7am Wednesday! Another 24hrs
Storm is regressing east..its over for 84 corridor. Better get ready for work, this isn't even worthy of being called a snowstorm.

Frankly even Boston numbers look overblown.
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Old 01-27-2015, 03:11 AM
 
Location: Warren County, NJ
708 posts, read 1,060,223 times
Reputation: 1100
I am a little jealous of CT right now. I didn't want 3 ft, but I did want more than the lousy half inch we got here so far.
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Old 01-27-2015, 03:13 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16620
Darren S. Adjusted snowfall map

https://twitter.com/DarrenSweeney/st...11542679547904
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