[Cambium]

Euro just came in west...Torrential rains for everyone.. Next Euro is 2pm..

So to recap...
Model showing :

All snow - 5
All Rain - 1
Mixed - 1
Nothing - 0

[jp03]

[quote=Cambium;17524350]Can you provide a link to back this claim up? Anyone calling for anything at this point is considered wishcastiing..so i'd like to see whos doing this.[/QUOT

Look out. That can cause an infraction.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

Yes, it is quite rare for Central Park to fall below zero. However, believe it or not…it is also pretty rare for most of coastal Connecticut to fall below zero as well.

I have been at my location (about 1 mile from the beach) for 12 years…and only once had a low of – 2 F. In fact, in most years, I have lows that are above 10 F. My guess is that a lot of these temps that are being given are all subject to exposure issues. I really don’t trust temps recorded before even 1960. You know the stories about the old signal core (they used to record weather data in the early 1900’s). They were drunk half the time (lol).

Yes, I know when you look at the record lows on the OKX website for Bridgeport, they are almost as rare as NYC.

My point (which you elaborated quite well here) is that it seems to be rarer than in the past and I like your take on it as I somewhat question the "cold bias" of the past as well. For NYC I think it's majorly urban heat island and development over the past century, as a look at the "normals" (something I addressed earlier in this thread) show increasing lows but steady if not dropping highs, which is more an UHI signature than "global warming". But I've always thought something like what you say came into play too (if you go further into the OKX website, you see that "traces of snow" were rarely recorded until the 1920s.....lots more winter months with "0 snow" in the earlier years that were probably a trace).

[jp03]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Euro just came in west...Torrential rains for everyone.. Next Euro is 2pm..

So to recap...
Model showing :

All snow - 5
All Rain - 1
Mixed - 1
Nothing - 0

FYI..good reporting on this. No bias, just telling us whats possible ...As a compliment, I am going up there this morning...and after checking my usual sites , I came on here to check your take...kudos. I have to deal with Charlotte weather Tuesday AND Connecticut..not a time to travel Neither place is settled timing or what.

[Cambium]

From National Weather Service..

Like I said...So far with the current tracks Coastal fairfield and New Haven counties will get a mix of rain, sleet and snow but snow accumulations will still be high.. Anyplace more than 75 miles from the coast will get a ton of snow.

National Weather Service Text Product Display

EXPECT SNOW TO MOVE IN LATER TUESDAY...WITH WINTRY MIX COAST AND MORE SNOW INTERIOR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IF FORECAST TRACK VERIFIES.

ANOTHER WEAKER TROUGH PIVOTS BEHIND THIS CLOSED UPPER LOW. THIS
TROUGH COULD TRIGGER A FEW SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY.

AS FOR TEMPS...INITIAL ARCTIC AIR WILL MODERATE THROUGH MID
WEEK...THEN COLDER AIR IS USHERED BACK IN BEHIND THIS DEPARTING
SYSTEM.

Moderate meaning 20's and lower 30s by end of next week.

[renovating]

Originally Posted by Cambium

From National Weather Service..

Like I said...So far with the current tracks Coastal fairfield and New Haven counties will get a mix of rain, sleet and snow but snow accumulations will still be high..

National Weather Service Text Product Display

EXPECT SNOW TO MOVE IN LATER TUESDAY...WITH WINTRY MIX COAST AND MORE SNOW INTERIOR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IF FORECAST TRACK VERIFIES.

ANOTHER WEAKER TROUGH PIVOTS BEHIND THIS CLOSED UPPER LOW. THIS
TROUGH COULD TRIGGER A FEW SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY.

Where are you seeing this? I went on the National Weather Service website and here is what is forecasted for Fairfield next week:

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29.

Tuesday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Wednesday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Wednesday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 40.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19.

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 31.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by renovating

Where are you seeing this?

I provided a link as I always do to back up my statement unlike ....

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by jp03

FYI..good reporting on this. No bias, just telling us whats possible ...

Always, always do. Thanks for noticing.. New run of a model coming out right now...

[andthentherewere3]

All I've seen forecast for next Tuesday/Wednesday is snow or a mix. No accumulation predictions so far. I am really hoping it comes to nothing, I have totally had it with this winter.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by andthentherewere3

All I've seen forecast for next Tuesday/Wednesday is snow or a mix. No accumulation predictions so far. I am really hoping it comes to nothing, I have totally had it with this winter.

From Day 6-10 its about whether or not theres a potential for a storm..
Day 4-6 Its about tracking and moisture content
Day 0-3 Its about amount of precip once track is determined.
Day 0 - Watching the actual weather above us and not the models

We're 4 days away. Right now only one can say the "potential" per model run..One model has 3 inches of rain, another model has 2 feet of snow. One model has 6 inches of snow after 1 inch of rain. 1 model has nothing at all. lol

Right now we all know the potential is there for something massive.