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This result is pretty consistent with what other polls have been showing: Obama got a solid bounce out of the convention. It is significant in that it is outside the MOE in Obama's favor. Let's hope it holds up through Nov 6.
I really don't understand the giddyness of the left over the convention bounce. Let's briefly analyze:
1) He's the incumbent.
2) He's the incumbent.
3) He's the incumbent.
4) He's the incumbent.
5) He's the incumbent.
To be giddy about a convention bounce is a de facto acknowledgement that Barack Obama is a massively weakened President who completely fumbled the 2008 mandate he was given. If he didn't get a bounce after the convention, there would be lots to worry about. Considering that this President has been tied with a Romney for the duration of the campaign, i'd reconcile that Democrats are collectively shaking in their shoes that this very slight uptick will hold.
I really don't understand the giddiness of the left over the convention bounce. Let's briefly analyze:
1) He's the incumbent.
2) He's the incumbent.
3) He's the incumbent.
4) He's the incumbent.
5) He's the incumbent.
To be giddy about a convention bounce is a de facto acknowledgement that Barack Obama is a massively weakened President who completely fumbled the 2008 mandate he was given. If he didn't get a bounce after the convention, there would be lots to worry about. Considering that this President has been tied with a Romney for the duration of the campaign, i'd reconcile that Democrats are collectively shaking in their shoes hoping that this very slight uptick will hold.
Why, you don't want folks to see this? Sorry Trace, I have seen dozens of your partisan threads. Why are you so eager to bury this one?
By the way, I read Nate Silver's justifications over the weekend. They are pretty well researched and bring in a number of factors and are worth a read. Intrade puts it at 58.9%
Personally, I don't like to count my chickens, but it is definitely looking better and better for Obama.
What makes you think she doesn't want anyone to see this? What she is asking, why isn't this on the polls thread like we thought all this stuff would be??? If you want to know the latest, go to the polls thread, if you don't want to do that, just live in the world of dreaming.
The said thing is that alot of the Gop Taliban are goning to go and crawl back under their rocks on election night and I will have to do my gloating without the teabaggers and the Gop Taliban
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