***Presidential Polls*** #2 (border, government, 2010, capital)

[sanrene]

Originally Posted by Ponderosa

Neither of those matter - and PPP is another robo poll with an automated voice that does not call cells phones. Marist, in theory at least, is more reliable. If I were a Romneyan, I would be very worried about the trend I see in early voting in IA. It shows Obama's vaunted ground game there is proving to be everything they said it would be.

What trend?

Ace of Spades HQ

18%

In fact, the Democratic "advantage" so far matches the 2004 "advantage", a race they lost by over 10,000 votes.

http://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/20...enteestats.pdf

[florida.bob]

Originally Posted by FargoBison

What polls are you talking about? All the polls I've seen from today have been pretty positive for Mitt.

It's that Romnesia problem. Some people don't know up from down.

[FargoBison]

Still no debate bounce for Obama...

Iowa voters think Obama won this week's debate 45/36, similar to New Hampshire, but not having a big impact on the head to head

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/259340738041634816

[EdwardA]

Originally Posted by Ponderosa

Neither of those matter - and PPP is another robo poll with an automated voice that does not call cells phones. Marist, in theory at least, is more reliable. If I were a Romneyan, I would be very worried about the trend I see in early voting in IA. It shows Obama's vaunted ground game there is proving to be everything they said it would be.

Here they go again
I told you up thread Chuck Todd poo-pooed his own poll the EV is way off 32% in poll vs 18% officially

[Cardiff Kook]

i'm curious how pubs assume OH has already gone to Romney?

[Ponderosa]

Originally Posted by FargoBison

Still no debate bounce for Obama...



https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/259340738041634816

Well, I for one, never expected a debate bounce. I did expect that the polls would firm up with Obama holding on to slim margins in enough key states that he would win the election and that is exactly what is taking place. Obama does not need a bounce; he just can't weather much of a dip and that clearly is not in the cards at this point.

[sanrene]

Originally Posted by GMUAlum08

i'm curious how pubs assume OH has already gone to Romney?

OH is considered a RED state that goes blue occasionally.

Ohio Presidential Election Voting History

Logic flows that IF PA and MI are so close, the more purple/red states, like OH, VA are already in Mitt's column.

[Ponderosa]

Originally Posted by sanrene

OH is considered a RED state that goes blue occasionally.

Ohio Presidential Election Voting History

Logic flows that IF PA and MI are so close, the more purple/red states, like OH, VA are already in Mitt's column.

Polls show otherwise in OH at least. Romney's position on the auto industry will cost him Ohio, and his position on immigration will cost him Nevada.

[Cardiff Kook]

Originally Posted by sanrene

OH is considered a RED state that goes blue occasionally.

Ohio Presidential Election Voting History

Logic flows that IF PA and MI are so close, the more purple/red states, like OH, VA are already in Mitt's column.

so these assumptions are being based off history? okay

[Ponderosa]

Originally Posted by GMUAlum08

so these assumptions are being based off history? okay

In the Republican mind (il)logic always trumps science.