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Old 10-20-2012, 07:32 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,076 posts, read 51,246,227 times
Reputation: 28325

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Quote:
Originally Posted by ObserverNY View Post
Funny how you completely over-look the very large Jewish vote in Florida:



p.s. - that's in W. Palm Beach county, definitely south of Ocala.
The Florida polls that break out Jewish voters show Obama leading about 75:25 with that demographic. They do caution, though, that the sample is small.

 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:32 AM
 
Location: Everywhere you want to be
2,106 posts, read 3,063,446 times
Reputation: 1007
Arrow Electoral College Map Predictions for 2012

So we are rapidly approach that day, Nov 6th. Some of you reading this have already voted, some may have to wait later to vote. I was curious how do you think the electoral map will look on Nov 6th? Which key swing states do you think your candidate will get??

In order to become POTUS you must reach 270 electoral votes to win.


My prediction is 294 Obama; 212 Romney
Key swing states for Obama: Fla, WI, OH, MI, NV, IA

Key swing states for Romney: VA, CO, NC

That is my prediction--any thoughts??
 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:40 AM
 
Location: Everywhere you want to be
2,106 posts, read 3,063,446 times
Reputation: 1007
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
The Florida polls that break out Jewish voters show Obama leading about 75:25 with that demographic. They do caution, though, that the sample is small.
I have read that, the other guy searched high and low to find that sign. Do you know how many anti Obama signs I see?? LOL

The Jewish community has also been outraged about Mitt Romney's religious beliefs in that Mitt's Mormons baptized the dead into the faith including Obama's mom, MLK, and the holocaust victims. The Jewish people find that utterly disrespectful and alot are not voting for him for that reason; granted some don't like Obama so some may not vote.
 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:42 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,113 posts, read 34,739,914 times
Reputation: 15093
Quote:
Originally Posted by ObserverNY View Post
Funny how you completely over-look the very large Jewish vote in Florida:



p.s. - that's in W. Palm Beach county, definitely south of Ocala.
What makes you think all Jews think the same? Believe it or not, there are Jews that don't have special warm and fuzzy feelings towards Israel.
 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:48 AM
 
Location: Waltham, MA
235 posts, read 276,414 times
Reputation: 81
Quote:
Originally Posted by chica_bella813 View Post
How do pollsters keep it close?? So you think they are releasing false info?? What I dont understand is the President is clearly up in the electoral map in Nytimes and Huffington Post, they have the President at 277. Real Clear Politics and Rasmusseun have it Obama 201 and Romney 206. So I dont understand that? I don't see much enthusiasm for either one in my area. Some saturday mornings on the corner you will see a group of people with the American flag holding Romney/Ryan posters. Maybe 10 if that of them. They don't stay long, i think because they don't get that much support from the people driving by
What you see on RCP is map with toss up states which show Obama 201 and Romney 206


RCP also has a map which is map with no toss up states which shows Obama 277 Romney 261.

Basically, map with no toss up states is the end result of the map with toss up...

Hope this helps
 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:51 AM
 
Location: USA - midwest
5,944 posts, read 5,585,553 times
Reputation: 2606
I'd maybe shuffle the states a little, but I think your electoral count is on target.
 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:52 AM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,771 posts, read 104,772,037 times
Reputation: 49248
Quote:
Originally Posted by chica_bella813 View Post
So we are rapidly approach that day, Nov 6th. Some of you reading this have already voted, some may have to wait later to vote. I was curious how do you think the electoral map will look on Nov 6th? Which key swing states do you think your candidate will get??

In order to become POTUS you must reach 270 electoral votes to win.


My prediction is 294 Obama; 212 Romney
Key swing states for Obama: Fla, WI, OH, MI, NV, IA

Key swing states for Romney: VA, CO, NC

That is my prediction--any thoughts??
yes, as you are saying, this is your prediction but it does differ from the experts the last couple of days. Even though I do not think there are that many undecideds, Monday night may make a slight difference for some; Romney is going to take NC for sure, VA is still too close to call and so is CO, though he may very well take both. Fl is most likely his and NV is still very close. Yes, Obama will carry OH, MI, and probably IA. WI shold be Romneys but it is too close to call as well. Some of the states you haven't mentioned that seem to be changing: PA, is one of them and NH another.

Nita
 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:53 AM
 
Location: Norman, OK
3,478 posts, read 7,257,297 times
Reputation: 1201
277-261 now? Wow that is a big drop for Obama. Just last week it was up near 290-300.
 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:54 AM
 
12,265 posts, read 6,475,781 times
Reputation: 9440
Florida could be a problem for Obama but he has nothing to worry about in Pa. and Mich. If Obama holds onto his slim lead in Ohio Romney can spend the next 4 years visiting his tax shelters in Switzerland and the Caymans.
 
Old 10-20-2012, 07:55 AM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,128,317 times
Reputation: 9383
Quote:
Originally Posted by gmagoo View Post
Florida could be a problem for Obama but he has nothing to worry about in Pa. and Mich. If Obama holds onto his slim lead in Ohio Romney can spend the next 4 years visiting his tax shelters in Switzerland and the Caymans.
Obama lost that slim lead in Ohio..

You guys need to wake up to reality soon.

If tax shelters are the wose thing you could come up with, you're in trouble..
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