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NRO's Josh Jordan sums up the situation in Ohio pretty well:
Quote:
Obama won in 2008 largely because of a healthy lead among independents and a highly enthusiastic base’s turning out votes. Right now Romney is leading big with independents, has a more enthusiastic base, and is drawing crowds in Ohio that rival Obama’s. While he is down 2.5 points in the polls, the average poll is assuming 2008 turnout which is unlikely to repeat itself this year. Adding the fact that early voting is trending more Republican than in 2008, there is a lot of reason for optimism that this race is much closer than the current polls suggest. Not bad for a candidate who was declared dead in the state just a few weeks ago.
All of a sudden some of the Repubs are picking apart certain polls and refusing to believe them.
They were agreeing with the polls the past couple weeks when Romney was peaking. Now, all of a sudden, certain polls are wrong. Not the polls that favor Romney, just the Obama favoring polls are wrong (somehow only the Romney favoring polls are correct).
The Florida polls that break out Jewish voters show Obama leading about 75:25 with that demographic. They do caution, though, that the sample is small.
All of a sudden some of the Repubs are picking apart certain polls and refusing to believe them.
They were agreeing with the polls the past couple weeks when Romney was peaking. Now, all of a sudden, certain polls are wrong. Not the polls that favor Romney, just the Obama favoring polls are wrong (somehow only the Romney favoring polls are correct).
Yep, the Cons only believe the polls when they find one that shows Romney ahead.
Romney is actually leading then. There is NO WAY democrats will exceed the enthusiasm of 2008.
In this poll, they over sample dems, seriously under sample Indies...but this is what they need to do to keep obama in the lead.
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