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If Florida goes blue, I would definitely call the election for Obama. Now if you are asking me if I think Obama will win Florida, no, but it would not be good for Romney if he does.
Yes, and if your aunt had testicles she would be your uncle
Romney actually LEADS in this poll because pollster is again using a ridiculous NINE point adv for dems. We can call it a tie if you like. [/QUOTEWe'll call it what it is. Obama up by 3. Completely consistent with other recent polls. Needless to remind you, no Ohio, no presidency!
Oh, you're right it's consistent with other polls showing obama TANKING across the board. The MoE is 3, so this is deemed a TIE.
NOW, unskew from the ridiculous Dem+9 and Romney will lead.
What the polls are telling us is that this race is too close to call.
First Romney got a real bounce from the convention
Then Obama clawed that back and the momentum seemed to be with him
Then Romney got another bounce from an excellent first debate
But Obama did pretty well in the second debate and seems to have clawed back the second bounce.
Uh being up by 2.5 pts is NOT considered a heavy trend toward Romney. I will tell you this. I am in Fla, in your rural areas, like country hick areas, its all Romney Ryan. When you go to the metropolitian areas like Orlando, Tampa, Miami, Jacksonville, its all Obama/Biden. South Fla right now is close, but just watch the I-4 corridor.
Ironically the Tampa Tribune endorsed Obama today and the Republican convention was hosted in Tampa. Orlando Sentinel endorsed Romney today. So just knowing that info alone tells me how tight this race will be in Fla. Romney's saving grace in Fla is he is white and has a nice family. But the seniors are confused with his flip flopping, then you have the elderly that feel Obama is a communist.
Then you have your retirees in the Metro areas that are very much Obama supporters. The entire pandhandle will be red for Romney Ryan--very very racist in those areas, anywhere south of ocala will be Obama territory, so Fla will be interesting.
I feel Obama will get fla based on what I see. I hear people say they are voting for Romney because he is white and they feel comfortable with that, but they honestly don't trust him. So its sad to see that race does play heavily in voting here in Fla.
Obama's saving grace is college kids, women, latinos, and seniors...so we shall see....shall be interesting.
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