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Since one month ago (I made a similar post), things have changed a little, in Hillary Clinton's favor. She has now been consistently leading in the polls in North Carolina. I believe she will win NC just like Obama did in 2008. This is primarily due to very high black voter turnout in NC. In 2012, 70% of black registered voters voted, compared to 68% of white registered voters. Since black people love the Clintons, I expect them to turnout in droves in NC for her and flip the state blue again!
Of course, this is in addition to her flipping Arizona blue for the first time in YEARS!
With that said, I expect Hillary Clinton to win in a near landslide.
Flipping Arizona blue might just happen because of Trump's relationship with Latino voters. It's a very important voting bloc there.
I also think Clinton could be competitive in South Carolina and Georgia. Those states aren't as Republican as most people perceive them to be in their urban areas.
Any prediction this far out is worth nothing. Much will happen between now and November and there is a very high probability that one or possibly both candidates will exhibit a fatal flaw. However, Democrats do have a built in advantage on the electoral map from the get go. Don't count on a black turnout like 2008-it won't happen.
Any prediction this far out is worth nothing. Much will happen between now and November and there is a very high probability that one or possibly both candidates will exhibit a fatal flaw. However, Democrats do have a built in advantage on the electoral map from the get go. Don't count on a black turnout like 2008-it won't happen.
This is where Obama will come in handy for Hillary. He can get the black voters out in huge numbers. Black turnout was greater than white turnout in 2012.
Since one month ago (I made a similar post), things have changed a little, in Hillary Clinton's favor. She has now been consistently leading in the polls in North Carolina. I believe she will win NC just like Obama did in 2008. This is primarily due to very high black voter turnout in NC. In 2012, 70% of black registered voters voted, compared to 68% of white registered voters. Since black people love the Clintons, I expect them to turnout in droves in NC for her and flip the state blue again!
Of course, this is in addition to her flipping Arizona blue for the first time in YEARS!
With that said, I expect Hillary Clinton to win in a near landslide.
Yeah, Arizona could well be purple this time around. Blue is a bit more of a challenge but with such a large Hispanic population it could well happen. Turnout will be key - and thanks to Trump, Hispanics are motivated to vote like never before. That's bad news for the GOP.
Yeah, Arizona could well be purple this time around. Blue is a bit more of a challenge but with such a large Hispanic population it could well happen. Turnout will be key - and thanks to Trump, Hispanics are motivated to vote like never before. That's bad news for the GOP.
Ken
Clinton doesn't need Arizona to win. She can win the states that Obama got in 2012 and take the ring. The rest is just icing on the cake, and more importantly, more possibilities to throw out more GOP members of Congress.
Clinton doesn't need Arizona to win. She can win the states that Obama got in 2012 and take the ring. The rest is just icing on the cake, and more importantly, more possibilities to throw out more GOP members of Congress.
Since one month ago (I made a similar post), things have changed a little, in Hillary Clinton's favor. She has now been consistently leading in the polls in North Carolina. I believe she will win NC just like Obama did in 2008. This is primarily due to very high black voter turnout in NC. In 2012, 70% of black registered voters voted, compared to 68% of white registered voters. Since black people love the Clintons, I expect them to turnout in droves in NC for her and flip the state blue again!
Of course, this is in addition to her flipping Arizona blue for the first time in YEARS!
With that said, I expect Hillary Clinton to win in a near landslide.
Interesting map and when it comes to the Southern states I believe the only southern swing state that will become BLUE is Florida for this Election.
Obama won it twice in 2008 & 2012 and will probably elect a Democrat Senator after Rubio's debacle.
I wouldn't be too quick to count Rubio out. The Senate election may wind up being Marco Rubio vs Alan Grayson. This might be Florida's version of Hillary vs Trump; a drink heavily, hold your nose and then vote election.
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