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Hopefully after it makes more of the turn later today/tonight the models will be in better agreement, or at least more confidence in them. Looks like it peaked in intensity. Forecast wind speed, if correct, calls for fairly slow weakening with higher shear around. The rapid intensification we saw earlier is still a science we're learning. And as previously mentioned the interaction with the islands will shake up its structure weakening it, for a time at least.
With the High over Mexico too much resistance with the NW winds so its blocked from going into the Gulf as we've known for days now... With the High in the Atlantic right there, the only Avenue is to "go with the flow" in that direction. Upper Low over Ohio Valley blocking it from going into U.S interior
One wonders why this thing didn't just move SouthWest towards the Pacific though.
From it's current spot within 75 miles of it, here are all the other storms for Sept,Oct,Nov,Dec only.
Close up.. Only 5 went East side of Florida. None hit Jamaica so nobody alive today saw a Hurricane hit Jamaica this late from that spot.
As I been pointing out since it was a wave in the Atlantic at such low latitude, it's pretty rare to hit or affect the East coast this time of year from that latitude.
8am Update just posting the info.. Take Note.. still moving West but notice the speed. Down to 7mph now. He has his signal on and ready to make the turn.
Tropical storm winds extend 200+ miles. Hurricane force winds only 45 miles.
Quote:
HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
800 AM EDT SAT OCT 01 2016
...POWERFUL MATTHEW MOVING WESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 73.1W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM S OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES
Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible
this weekend, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane
through Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the
aircraft is 947 mb (27.96 inches).
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
Are we possibly looking at a Category 4 Hurricane by Sunday?
Curious why you chose to reply to that post and ask that question. Just curious, that's all. Only because there were more posts after that, that showed it already hit Category 5 status and back to Cat 4 now this morning. It should remain a Cat 3-4 till Monday.
Keep tabs on this thread, I'll be updating the possible outcomes from it. Maine is in the game to get affected
Cambium,
I just had a chance to sit down this morning to read this new thread from that post! I work about 50hrs a week and rarely have much time to go through the posts on the Autumn & Maine threads...
This is a new thread I happened upon!
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Matthew in Maine!
post! I work about 50hrs a week and rarely have much time to go through the posts on the Autumn & Maine threads...
