Atlantic - Matthew forms September 28, 2016 (western, coast, wind, days)

[fluffydelusions]

All that rain

Floods already starting in southern #Haiti. CARE is there & ready to respond with food, water & emergency supplies. #HurricaneMatthew

https://twitter.com/CARE

[AJ1013]

I'm back inside the cone with the latest updates . This is definitely going to be an interesting week

[Psychoma]

Pic Macaya in SW Haiti is 7,700 ft elevation. Wow! Wonder what winds that high up would be like compared to sea level.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pic_Macaya

[nei]

Mountain sides facing the storm track will get drenched. Mudslides and flash floods ? Storm track is slow, so more time for rain to accumulate

[fluffydelusions]

A dropsonde in the NW eyewall of #Matthew just measured 166kt/191 mph at 886ft. Insanely strong winds just aloft.

https://twitter.com/wxtrackercody/st...11972808253440

[fluffydelusions]

[Cambium]

Surprise...... more shift west. While the speed is different, the main path seems to be coming in better agreement.. Almost riding the Florida beaches, curves and hits Carolinas, then Northeast up the coast.






Don't know what to say... Look where the eye is...


Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher
gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible
during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a
powerful hurricane through at least Wednesday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).







http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storm...cks_latest.png


https://s.w-x.co/staticmaps/MAX_WEB_...o_1280x720.jpg

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by nei

Mountain sides facing the storm track will get drenched. Mudslides and flash floods ? Storm track is slow, so more time for rain to accumulate

Nice to see you posting in here. Would love more of your insights!


Ignoring the wind aspect for a second... Here is the total rainfall the GFS00z produced. I like that NYC metro blob. lol But when you combine a power tropical system with a front no surprise 4"+ can fall for many areas.



Could be problems for coastal SC!


PWAT values are insane!

[Cambium]

I shouldn't be doing this since it's still 5-7 days away!

This is the GFS00z run showing the wind gusts Sunday morning.


Evacuations would be needed for the islands of MA between the rain and wind and water surge.


Notice the arrows.. Will feel like a NorEaster!

[Cambium]

interesting..... landmass to left of storm deflects a path to the right, and landmass to the right of the storm pulls it in? Don't know how or why that is the case.


Could that be why it decided to move NE towards Haiti?


https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...668736/photo/1


"Watch the dance, Will dance into Haiti, but then may avoid Cuba. Result of land effect to right of track pulls it in, left opposite to the rt"





The last frame is terrifying! WOW! BEAST!







http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floa...L_floater.html