How big will Metro Miami become by 2040? (Hollywood, Pembroke Pines: living in, prices)

[Slyman11]

While forecasting 30 years into the future is impossible it's pleasant to hypothesize possible circumstances.

Metro Miami as of April 1, 2010: 5,564,635
Metro Miami as of September 1, 2011: 5,638,310

In 17 months a surge of 73,675 new residents according to estimates, almost 53,000 for 12 months.

Houston, Riverside, Phoenix and Tampa climb in population rankings - The Business Journals

[roadtrip75]

Originally Posted by Glasvegas

If it could somehow attract more "blue chip" corporations, high tech industry

Why would any successful company move to a place with high cost of living and low human capital?

[tallrick]

The future of Miami is the same as Detroit. Large areas of the city are defined by extreme poverty. There is no economic engine to support large volumes of people being warehoused in south Florida. Where will these people work to generate the income to pay the overinflated rents, high energy costs and high food costs of living in an urban corridor with no local farms? This process of de-urbanization will begin with the hurricane that hits south Florida and strains the insurance system. In the meantime the ultra-loose monetary policy of the Fed allows money to flow into the Miami area to build increasingly useless "white elephants" like the Marlin's stadium or countless high rise condos and retail space, but in the end it will all be like the motor city is today.

[perry335654]

The Second Coming of the Lord will happen by then and the Earth will be wiped away and replaced with a new cosmos. Only the one's who have seeked the Lord's salvation will be safe.

[Broadrippleguy]

I don't live in Miami however as we saw with other fast growing areas like Las Vegas/Atlanta/California the housing market crash tanked the population growth.
I don't expect Miami to grow *As Fast* as the past 10-20 years it will probably still grow but at a slower clip which is good cause the metro area can better upgrade its infrastructure.
an example of this is here Indianapolis is the fastest growing region in the midwest and in the past 10 years we have had to. Upgrade our Airport/Widen I-465 to 4-5 lanes/Discuss Mass Transit and take action on that/Upgrade our sewer infrastructure cause its not designed for 1.7M people. (Luckily Greg Ballards RebuildIndy will provide the money for that). Government isn't very efficient everyone knows that so when you have fast population growth it takes them to long to upgrade infrastructure. All of this cost $$$$ and doing it in this short of time really puts a burden on the local governments to come up with the money.

[tallrick]

Nobody can even explain how Miami will survive once the international drug/money laundering trade fails as cash-strapped governments finally phase out drug prohibition laws. Almost all the money that infests Miami is siphoned from productive regions or laundered from illegal activities. The failure of Medicare will devastate the medical industry leaving what, tourism? That is going to be less important as Cuba becomes the casino of the caribbean.

[perry335654]

Originally Posted by Broadrippleguy

I don't live in Miami however as we saw with other fast growing areas like Las Vegas/Atlanta/California the housing market crash tanked the population growth.
I don't expect Miami to grow *As Fast* as the past 10-20 years it will probably still grow but at a slower clip which is good cause the metro area can better upgrade its infrastructure.
an example of this is here Indianapolis is the fastest growing region in the midwest and in the past 10 years we have had to. Upgrade our Airport/Widen I-465 to 4-5 lanes/Discuss Mass Transit and take action on that/Upgrade our sewer infrastructure cause its not designed for 1.7M people. (Luckily Greg Ballards RebuildIndy will provide the money for that). Government isn't very efficient everyone knows that so when you have fast population growth it takes them to long to upgrade infrastructure. All of this cost $$$$ and doing it in this short of time really puts a burden on the local governments to come up with the money.

Somebody that knows what their talking about and Miami is currently in the process with airport and widening of the roads, however it does put stress on local governments and natural resources with population growth..

[Slyman11]

As Southeast Florida continues to grow, it will continue to expand. The lack of developable land will cause developers to build vertically which is expensive but will happen in Palm Beach County, just as it has in Miami-Dade and Broward. Suburban areas will push into Martin and St. Lucie counties which will be added to the Metro Miami in the near future under both commuter threshold and 3 mile continuous development threshold.

2035 forecasts for the 5 county region leads to 7.2 million, the original 3 county region at the same time will have 6.5 million. Study predicts population growth resuming for Southeast Florida

[Manolón]

Originally Posted by tallrick

Nobody can even explain how Miami will survive once the international drug/money laundering trade fails as cash-strapped governments finally phase out drug prohibition laws. Almost all the money that infests Miami is siphoned from productive regions or laundered from illegal activities. The failure of Medicare will devastate the medical industry leaving what, tourism? That is going to be less important as Cuba becomes the casino of the caribbean.

----
Apocrifal writing found in the dry course of the Okeechobee river in a region called Hialeah in the year 2570.

The kingdom cometh is not of this world, the Lord visited Hialeah in the year of our Lord of 2050 and he sayeth: I will stamp out soft drinks and profane words and I will siphon out all money that infests Miami to make pills for Medicare. Thou shalt repent and make productive things like "churros" (unknown word), "high-tech novelas" and work hard to build a "Salsa Palace" (?)....

[WINTERFRONT]

Miami is pretty much done for. Not much growing in population will ever happen again. The same goes for the rest of America. It will eventually become Europe in that sense, but without the immigrants. Some steady grow of an upcoming generation and that's it. Future generations will stop procreating and there will be no more immigrants to do the "growing". In Europe at least the immigrants are the ones responsible for the fertility part. That won't happen in America. USA had its moment of light; now it's time for other countries to be on the spot.

-- Pope John II