How big will Metro Miami become by 2040? (Palmetto, Palm Beach: crime, how much)

[Slyman11]

Guessing whats to happen in the future is anyone's guess as anything can happen. However with a metro of 5.5 million now, what do you think will be Miami's metro population in 2040?

My take is that Miami's growth will slow down, as it has nearly every decade because of the limit of developable land but by 2040 Metro Miami should be between 7 million to 8 million. What are your thoughts and what can prevent Miami from growing? What can speed Miami's growth up? Does anyone else think South Florida will become a massive collection of skyscrapers by 2040 since land is limited?

[xS☺B☺s]

I hear everybody's movin' out. 2.2M by 2040.

[straight shooter]

The elimination of the urban development boundary with surely contribute to the growth of Miami. I hope it never happens but as time goes by the pressure to remove it or move it will increase. One thing that we will surely see a lot of in the future is the demolition of homes and older buildings to make way for more high rises, especially in the little havana area.

[perry335654]

Originally Posted by straight shooter

The elimination of the urban development boundary with surely contribute to the growth of Miami. I hope it never happens but as time goes by the pressure to remove it or move it will increase. One thing that we will surely see a lot of in the future is the demolition of homes and older buildings to make way for more high rises, especially in the little havana area.

I agree with you here as you said there will be a lot of razing of homes and erecting of at least mid-rise to high-rises. I think will see the same in Little Haiti also.

[Slyman11]

Originally Posted by straight shooter

One thing that we will surely see a lot of in the future is the demolition of homes and older buildings to make way for more high rises, especially in the little havana area.

I agree, land is one resource the Miami area will never have and in the future private single family homes will become more of a past-time/rarity/antique like 1970's style malt shops. I am expecting the Miami area to trail only NY and LA on the urban structure of the metro

By 2040, which is thirty years away I believe Miami has a very good chance of surpassing 7 million in the metro as it already has 5.5/5.6 million inhabitants.

[Glasvegas]

Originally Posted by xS☺Be

I hear everybody's movin' out. 2.2M by 2040.

That trend will reverse at some point. Miami's year round climate and strategic advantage in terms of location will see it through, eventually. The availability of relatively affordable high rise housing stock will also draw many in. Miami will experience another huge population growth spurt at some point in the future, IMO. I just hope the city sorts out its infrastructure before that happens.

[Slyman11]

Originally Posted by Glasvegas

That trend will reverse at some point. Miami's year round climate and strategic advantage in terms of location will see it through, eventually. The availability of relatively affordable high rise housing stock will also draw many in. Miami will experience another huge population growth spurt at some point in the future, IMO. I just hope the city sorts out its infrastructure before that happens.

I don't think Metro Miami's population is declining, however it is growing slower than it was pre-recession. It's similar to the growth of Metro Atlanta or Metro Phoenix, all were booming before the recession but slowed down and have slightly stagnated since the recession.

I think Miami will sort its issues out as well. It's poised to become one of America's greatest cities.

[hurricaneMan1992]

Assuming we expand mass transit within 30 years, my guess is over 8M. Otherwise, closer to 6.5M. No matter how much we expand the Palmetto or add express lanes, our car-based infrastructure likely cannnot handle 8M. At 6-7M, much of Broward and Palm Beach start looking a lot like 27th ave and calle ocho in Miami.

Another factor is that in 30 years we have to worry about getting enough water--salt water intrusion into the Biscayne Aquifer is going to be a big problem, especially if sea levels continue to rise! Hopefully desalinization technology gets cheaper by then.

[Glasvegas]

Originally Posted by Slyman11

I don't think Metro Miami's population is declining, however it is growing slower than it was pre-recession. It's similar to the growth of Metro Atlanta or Metro Phoenix, all were booming before the recession but slowed down and have slightly stagnated since the recession.

I think Miami will sort its issues out as well. It's poised to become one of America's greatest cities.

I would like to see it become great actually and just for its geographical location alone, it has that potential. If it could somehow attract more "blue chip" corporations, high tech industry and improve its mass transit. education system and engage in some sort of crackdown on fraud and other criminality, it could become one of the most desirable cities in the US. It's already a bridge between the US and Latin America....build on that. I always said that of all Miami's awful politicians, Manny Diaz had the right idea(s). His vision of Miami was one that I would have embraced, had it been able to come to fruition.

[Slyman11]

Originally Posted by Glasvegas

I would like to see it become great actually and just for its geographical location alone, it has that potential. If it could somehow attract more "blue chip" corporations, high tech industry and improve its mass transit. education system and engage in some sort of crackdown on fraud and other criminality, it could become one of the most desirable cities in the US. It's already a bridge between the US and Latin America....build on that. I always said that of all Miami's awful politicians, Manny Diaz had the right idea(s). His vision of Miami was one that I would have embraced, had it been able to come to fruition.

I agree, Miami is a great place but its lagging in quality of life issues. As much as I love Miami and living in Miami, I am very glad its only for part of the year.

Miami needs a better school system, reduce more poverty, get more industries, improve its economy, educate its populace, build stronger lasting infrastructure, improve the museum, theater, symphony, orchestra scenes, and it will be a metro as strong as many others. Miami is making strides, its crime is dropping, its transit is expanding, its airport is always improving, its becoming more walkable and urban, its maturing.