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Old 08-26-2016, 07:24 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,929,264 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives View Post
And now we have one that has HRC up 5. Every time it looks like momentum is favoring Trump, a poll or polls is released that refutes the notion.
But that begs the question...who the hell is "icitizen"?? What ever it is, it's not on RCP and I don't see it listed on 538 which grades about 100+ pollsters.

 
Old 08-26-2016, 07:31 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,929,264 times
Reputation: 6927
Reuters poll ain't bad for Trump. Hillary's lead peaked at 12% earlier this month. It's now 3% in a 4-way race.
 
Old 08-26-2016, 07:34 PM
 
Location: Pasadena, CA
9,828 posts, read 9,410,810 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
But that begs the question...who the hell is "icitizen"?? What ever it is, it's not on RCP and I don't see it listed on 538 which grades about 100+ pollsters.
And yet, you had no problem citing a Zogby poll (AKA: worst pollster in the world) when the results were somewhat favorable to Trump.

Now suddenly, the reputation of the pollster is critically important to you. Amazing.
 
Old 08-26-2016, 08:20 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,929,264 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives View Post
And yet, you had no problem citing a Zogby poll (AKA: worst pollster in the world) when the results were somewhat favorable to Trump.

Now suddenly, the reputation of the pollster is critically important to you. Amazing.
I listed Zogby among a group of 7-8 other polls...never made any statements that hinged on a Zogby poll. I have no idea how good they are, but I bet most people have at least heard of Zogby. I've never heard of "icitizen" thus I looked it up...can't find anything about whatever it is.
 
Old 08-26-2016, 08:32 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,276,638 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
But that begs the question...who the hell is "icitizen"?? What ever it is, it's not on RCP and I don't see it listed on 538 which grades about 100+ pollsters.
I usually don't post new pollsters but they have used them a few times this year. Then again maybe that's not a great idea since they seem to be adding a lot of new polls this year when they were more picky in the past.
 
Old 08-26-2016, 08:58 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,276,638 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Reuters poll ain't bad for Trump. Hillary's lead peaked at 12% earlier this month. It's now 3% in a 4-way race.
That was actually this week. It's pretty much been 4-6 points for the last 3 months though. Not much movement with Reuters.
 
Old 08-27-2016, 08:52 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,796 posts, read 40,996,819 times
Reputation: 62174
The write up on Yahoo of the National Reuters poll and linked to by Drudge is biased. Please note that I am not saying the poll is biased, just the Yahoo write up. Since Gary Johnson is on every ballot (not sure about Stein) media sources should NOT be headlining the Trump vs Clinton number. They should be headlining the number that includes Johnson where right now Clinton is ahead of Trump by 3.

The state polls write ups, of course, should include everyone on the ballot in that state although there may be a 1% or more cut-off.
 
Old 08-27-2016, 08:55 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,276,638 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
The write up on Yahoo of the National Reuters poll and linked to by Drudge is biased. Please note that I am not saying the poll is biased, just the Yahoo write up. Since Gary Johnson is on every ballot (not sure about Stein) media sources should NOT be headlining the Trump vs Clinton number. They should be headlining the number that includes Johnson where right now Clinton is ahead of Trump by 3.

The state polls write ups, of course, should include everyone on the ballot in that state although there may be a 1% or more cut-off.
They headline it because 3rd parties always decline by election day. It's why they never consider them when they put polls out. Gary Johnson will likely do better than 3rd party candidate do. But he won't be getting much more than 5-7 percent of the vote most likely. Stein will pretty much get what she did during the last election.
 
Old 08-27-2016, 10:15 AM
 
Location: Georgia
1,202 posts, read 641,258 times
Reputation: 309
Default Mason-Dixon poll has Trump up 4 in Florida

Mason-Dixon Central Florida Poll: Trump at 46 and Hillary 42

and up 14 among independents.
 
Old 08-27-2016, 10:17 AM
 
Location: Stasis
15,823 posts, read 12,460,508 times
Reputation: 8599
Note - this is just central Florida Voters (I-4 Corridor).
They found a small pocket where Trump leads Hillary,


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