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Old 09-14-2016, 07:24 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
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Trafalger Group

South Carolina


Trump 53%
Clinton 38%
Johnson 3%
Stein 1%

 
Old 09-14-2016, 07:31 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
538's polls-plus forecast now gives Trump a 53.5% chance of winning Ohio. The now-cast gives him a 51.7% chance.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 07:39 AM
 
Location: Phoenix
30,369 posts, read 19,162,886 times
Reputation: 26255
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
538's polls-plus forecast now gives Trump a 53.5% chance of winning Ohio. The now-cast gives him a 51.7% chance.
Yep, his polls plus forecast has Trump winning NC & Ohio and a 49.5% chance of winning Florida....if he holds the states 538 show as Trump's in the plus forecast, all Trump has to do to go over 270 is flip 1% in Florida and he's Prez....it's going to happen barring something unforeseen to trip him up.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 07:55 AM
 
Location: Florida
33,571 posts, read 18,161,091 times
Reputation: 15546
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tall Traveler View Post
Yep, his polls plus forecast has Trump winning NC & Ohio and a 49.5% chance of winning Florida....if he holds the states 538 show as Trump's in the plus forecast, all Trump has to do to go over 270 is flip 1% in Florida and he's Prez....it's going to happen barring something unforeseen to trip him up.
I am a Trump supporter and going to see Trump this coming Monday in Florida. Got my tickets on line.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 08:17 AM
 
Location: Middle of nowhere
24,260 posts, read 14,207,906 times
Reputation: 9895
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tall Traveler View Post
Yep, his polls plus forecast has Trump winning NC & Ohio and a 49.5% chance of winning Florida....if he holds the states 538 show as Trump's in the plus forecast, all Trump has to do to go over 270 is flip 1% in Florida and he's Prez....it's going to happen barring something unforeseen to trip him up.
Unless I'm missing something that still only gives him 259. I could be missing a state, only one cup of coffee in me this morning.

2016 Presidential Election Interactive Map
 
Old 09-14-2016, 08:28 AM
 
17,342 posts, read 11,281,227 times
Reputation: 40978
There are several states now where trump is within 3-5. If trends continue in his favor he'll probably win more than one of those. Turnout will be key.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 08:29 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
Reuters/Ipsos

Trump 39%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 8%
Stein 2%

RCP 4-way average down to Clinton +1.8%.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 08:32 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sugah Ray View Post
Yeah they won't hear about until next tuesday when you guys open your 200th thread about it.

Or maybe they will hear about it when Assange send us his October surprise next month.

No worries, things will change... someday...we still have 55 more days
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sugah Ray View Post
Right, right, according to your brain poll.
Tiny sample, but check out the couple Ohio polls before and after the gaffe/health collapse.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 09:59 AM
 
Location: Pyongjang
5,701 posts, read 3,222,313 times
Reputation: 3925
Trump is blowing by Clinton in Ohio. Her collapse last week is probably costing her 5-8 points nationwide. Trump up 5 nationally and 5 in Ohio. Already ahead in Florida, probably up 5 now. Trump crushing it in MaineCD2. I didn't think it was going to be this easy!

President Trump!!
 
Old 09-14-2016, 10:12 AM
 
Location: St. Louis
7,444 posts, read 7,016,699 times
Reputation: 4601
Default Deplorables surging to Trump in Ohio, he's up 5...

in key battleground state:

Ohio Poll - Bloomberg Politics
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