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He's not making much headway with minority voters, is he?
I wouldn't expect overnight results from any demographic. Trump was depicted as a grand wizard for the KKK for 8 months - give it time. It would be absolutely shocking to see a candidate go from say 2% to 20%...that's a 900% increase!
Ground game is worth about 2 points in the poll. A lot of her money isn't being spent on ads like Trumps, instead it is going to local campaign staffs and the ground game. These staffers register people to vote and arrange for them to have transportation to vote and make sure they are reminded to vote.
I would go in and honestly add 2 points to her poll numbers in states because Trump has no ground game to speak of.
I agree about the importance of the ground game but doubt it will be as strong as we saw the last two elections. I don't see the AA communities getting all the fired up over HC. In fact I wouldn't be surprised if Trump does better with the Black vote than predicted. Hispanics? While I doubt he'll come anywhere near receiving what Bush picked up in 2004 the Trump numbers won't be a total disaster which the left predicts either.
I'd knock that 2 point ground game down to 0.5 this election.
The second lowest--at 83%--was Jimmy Carter in 1980 (a race Carter lost).
[via Infowars.com]
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Clinton is getting only 73% of black support now, the lowest for a Democrat since 1960.
