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That is very strange. Just today, Obama's approval rating jumped up to 58%. Somebody likes him.
Maybe it was the latest report on how well the economy is doing, even though some of you feel the end of civilization is coming.
Don
Nevertheless it's wishful thinking to believe the AA turnout will mirror 2008/2012. HC isn't anywhere near as popular as Obama and regarding the economy doing just fine I tend to doubt many in AA communities would agree.
Nevertheless it's wishful thinking to believe the AA turnout will mirror 2008/2012. HC isn't anywhere near as popular as Obama and regarding the economy doing just fine I tend to doubt many in AA communities would agree.
AA turnout is pretty steady every presidential election, even those before Obama.
Expect hispanic votes to make a bigger impact for 2 reasons:
#1 -Growing demographic
#2-Anti-Trump vote
Asian voters are mostly against Trump also. Although a small demographic.
Trump is only leading among white men that do not have a degree and African Americans are not a significant portion of the electorate. Also, 9-13% of AA's going for Trump seems high. I don't even remember the last time the GOP won that many votes from AA's.
Neither Jeb Bush/Ted Cruz would have done better than past Rep. presidential candidates.
However, this might well be different with Trump. When he speaks about moving the economy and creating jobs his background will help. Now many might say it's all bull**** but regardless his celebrity status and experience as a builder will help pick off a percentage of the AA vote other Rep. candidates wouldn't stand a chance nabbing.
"Hispanic voters made up only 8 percent of 2014 voters, compared to 10 percent in 2012, a disappointment to voter advocates who hoped that Latino votes would increase at least due to the growing population. In 2010, the last midterm election year, they were 7 percent of voters, according to Pew Research Center's Hispanic Trends Project.
And Democrats did not garner the support they were hoping to get from Latino voters."
2.) latino population growth has slowed consierably over many years now:
AA turnout is pretty steady every presidential election, even those before Obama.
Expect hispanic votes to make a bigger impact for 2 reasons:
#1 -Growing demographic
#2-Anti-Trump vote
Asian voters are mostly against Trump also. Although a small demographic.
The AA vote might be steady but the turnout will likely mirror 2004 than 08/2018
The anti-Trump Hispanic vote? I would guess that's already been factored in. Can you provide a recent link which shows Trump doing much worse with Hispanics than Romney at this point?
Still lousy for Clinton. Trump doesn't need much of it.
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